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The Art of offense: Has Baylor birthed college football's most unstoppable system?

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Listening to defensive coaches discuss the outbreak of Bear maulings west of the Mississippi, you get the sense that something awful is happening to the men of their profession.

"You have to think differently when you face Baylor," TCU head coach and defensive guru Gary Patterson has said.

"Baylor was the best team we played [in 2012]," said UCLA head coach Jim Mora, a former defensive coordinator whose Bruins also faced Rose Bowl champion Stanford twice.

Asked after shutting down Oregon State in last year's Alamo Bowl how Pac-12 offenses compare to Baylor's, former Texas defensive coordinator Manny Diaz's face dropped. "We play a different sport in the Big 12."

These are signs that something historic is taking place.

185377169_mediumBaylor quarterback Bryce Petty. (Getty Images)

Watch the press conferences. Read the transcripts. Talk to the coaches. You'll find defensive coordinators talk about "containing" or "limiting" Baylor. Coaches are trying to temper fan and media expectations. These are signs that something historic is taking place.

Baylor is scoring 63.9 points through more than half of its season, putting the Bears on pace to break the NCAA Divison I scoring record set by Mississippi Valley State during Jerry Rice's senior year. Baylor ranks both No. 1 in passing yardage and No. 8 in rushing yardage out of 125 teams; Oregon is the only other team to even rank in the top 20 in both, and the Ducks rank 20th in passing. Baylor has five more 60-yard plays than the entire Big Ten Legends division has and at least twice as many as all but two teams in the country. If the Bears can survive a tough November schedule, they could reach the BCS National Championship just three years removed from 14 straight losing seasons.

And it's not the air raid. It's not the run ‘n' shoot. It's not just a spread offense. It's a blend head coach Art Briles has been cooking up for decades now.

"It started with my first football job, coaching in Hamlin [a Texas 2A high school] in '84-'85," Briles told SB Nation in June. "My first year there, we had a great football team, ran the split-back veer, went 13-0-1. In the second year, I saw that if you got deep in the playoffs, you're gonna face people with talent just as good or better than yours. So what I looked for was an edge, something different; so in '85 we went to the one-back, four wides and went 14-1.

When we got to Stephenville [a 4A school that hadn't made the state playoffs in 36 years], we definitely had to do something that gave ourselves a chance to get the opportunity to win football games. We weren't just gonna line up and beat people. We had to be a little unconventional, which we were. In 1990 we had a guy throw for over 3,000 yards, and then had a 3,000-yard passer every year over the next 10 years. In '98 we actually set a national record for total offense."

Briles joined Mike Leach's hell-raising Texas Tech program in 2000, then got his first college head job in 2003 at Houston. His top two quarterbacks there, Case Keenum and Kevin Kolb, rank first and tenth on the all-time FBS career passing yardage list. Briles left for Baylor in 2008, bringing Robert Griffin III along, and Big 12 defensive coordinators have been losing sleep ever since. (And they likely will be for years to come, if Briles stays: Baylor's building a $260 million, on-campus stadium; Nike nearly gives the Bears the Oregon treatment; and the offense that's helped make national names of three-star receiver recruits like Tevin Reese, Antwan Goodley, and the Dallas Cowboys' Terrance Williams just landed a commitment from 2014 five-star KD Cannon, the top receiver in Texas.)

* * *

What makes an offense great? In short, the ability to efficiently attack multiple parts of the field and overstress any defense. Good offenses can do something so well that defenses have to adjust their systems to stop it. Great offenses can punish defenses for that adjustment.

Many teams can't even figure out what Baylor's most threatening components are. Some coaches have had marginal success by attempting to take away the quick screens and passing game. Others have sought to prevent deep passes, yet Baylor's Reese and Goodley still manage to rank first and second nationally in yards per target with 17.7 and 17.5, about a full yard better than No. 3, Mike Evans of Texas A&M. And still others have done all they can to stop the running game, currently producing 303 yards per outing, from coming to life. It may be that Briles has now found the players to ensure that every choice by the defense will be wrong.

Baylor's hybrid offensive approach essentially combines many of the greatest tactics in offensive football into one cohesive and simple package.

First is Baylor's employment of the spread offense. Baylor's spread is more intense than most, with even the inside receivers lining up outside of the hash marks. Most every team in college football utilizes some aspect of spread tactics, but everything Baylor does is built around spacing out defenses so that individual matchups can be hammered.

Baylor1_medium

On the outside, speed is king. Baylor sends every receiver vertical early and often in every game. In particular, they love that most defensive schemes match safeties or linebackers in coverage against their slot receivers, so they make a habit of using play action or vertical routes. That makes safeties have to turn and run with 4.4 sprinters like Reese.

Who supports a safety in that task? By definition they are already the support players, the last lines of defense, the reinforcements. Briles attacks them first.

The Bear attack to the middle of the field is all about power. Right guard Desmine Hilliard weighs 330 pounds. Preseason All-American left guard Cyril Richardson weighs about 340. Baylor's run game is primarily based in inside zone and power-O blocking. Meaning, defensive linemen are constantly getting blocked at an angle or by double teams coming straight at them.

Baylor then pairs these running concepts with quarterback reads. Bryce Petty can either throw a perimeter screen or quick pass or keep the ball himself, based on his read of "overhang" defenders. These are the players who are being stressed to choose whether they'll align outside to run down a screen pass or inside to fill an interior running play. Read-option concepts guarantee those defenders are always wrong.

Of course, Baylor also has some of the best play-action as well. Old school, new school, it's all there in Waco.

Baylor2_medium


While they are known for their big plays, Baylor has the ability to work its way down the field the hard way with a quick passing game and power runs. Most of their running backs have been bigger, powerful runners such as the 240-pound Terrence Ganaway or current senior and 220-pound bowling ball, Glasco Martin.

This year, they have an extra element to the run game thanks to the diverse skills of their main back, Lache Seastrunk, who's averaging 9.05 yards per carry. "Lache Superior" combines the ability to fall forward for tough yardage with elite shake and enough breakaway speed to house runs through a crack of daylight.

When the Bears get their offense humming they love to go fast, snapping the ball within 15 seconds of the whistle. Imagine being a 300-pound defensive tackle against this offense. In 10 minutes of real time, you have had to fight double teams and down blocks from human beings bigger than you nine times and been asked to drive those same people backwards while rushing the quarterback four times (and you're not likely to get much pass-rushing help, since those receivers being out so wide limit what your defensive backs can do). After successfully beating a double team, your coaches screamed at you to chase down Reese ... turns out Petty made a pass read. Before the drive is done, you don't have much breath left for a goal line stand. If you last that long. Of Baylor's 55 offensive touchdowns, 29 have come from outside the red zone anyway.

Perhaps most astonishing is the play of this dastardly conspiracy's triggermen. Griffin III was a Heisman-winner and terrifying revelation, and crafty Nick Florence managed to match and even exceed some of his numbers in 2012.

Bryce Petty seems to have been fashioned in a Waco lab for the express purpose of running this offense. His deep throws, screens, and quick passes that comprise the bulk of the Baylor passing game are generally perfect both in accuracy and timing. He can throw on the run or scramble and would probably clock around 4.6 or 4.7 in the 40. At 230 pounds, he also has the strength to handle Baylor's inside run demands and survive the hits that come with being a spread quarterback.

Baylor achieves its insanely high level of proficiency at quarterback thanks to the practice routine that also makes its in-game tempo so quick. They line up and run their plays in practice even faster than they do on Saturdays, resulting in endless reps and enabling their timing and muscle memory to approach perfection.

Most of their plays are packaged together, so that Petty is making quick reads of individual defensive players after most snaps. Suffice to say, he almost always makes the defense wrong with his choices.

Thanks to the tremendous speed of their three featured offensive players, all of their concepts can turn into touchdowns if the defense makes a mistake.

Inside runs by Lache Seastrunk ...

Baylor3_medium

.... a quick throw to Antwan Goodley ...

Baylor4_medium

... or a deep bomb over the top of your helpless safeties to Tevin Reese ...

Baylor5_medium

... they can all make you pay from anywhere on the field with any concept. In this play, Petty has the choice to throw a screen pass, hand off for an inside run, or hit Reese on the boundary for a harmless-looking hitch pass. The most innocent option still proves deadly:

Baylor6_medium

* * *

Baylor has scored from its own side of the field (50 or more yards away) 17 times in seven games this year. Only Utah State topped that last year, and that took 13 games. The defense isn't safe anywhere. Has there ever been an offense more capable of scoring from any point on the field?

For that reason, most Big 12 defenses have tried simple approaches. Most have attempted to force Baylor to win with quick passes, possibly the lowest-percentage play in the Bears' arsenal.

However, it's becoming increasingly difficult to do even that. The last two years, Texas tried to combine a cautious Cover-2 with zone-blitzing, only to allow 48 and 50 points. Kansas State approached the 2013 Bears even more cautiously and gave up passing plays of 93, 72, and 54 yards. Backing your safeties 12 or 15 yards off the ball still doesn't ensure that Reese won't race past them, remarkable as that may be. Or he could take advantage of all that open grass and do his racing after receiving the ball.

West Virginia used 3-4 fronts to try and control the middle of the field with their stout defensive line, and they spread their linebackers wide to handle the stress points along the perimeter. Their safeties were then allowed to stay deep and keep everything in front of them. They gave up 73 points and 872 yards. The 'Eers surrendered three touchdowns of more than 45 yards — in the first 10 minutes.

What more can a defense do against Baylor?

As it happens, the Bears' remaining schedule may help us answer this question.

There is one approach that many teams have not dared to attempt: playing with a single deep safety and tighter outside coverage, in order to eliminate Baylor's ability to isolate defenders along the perimeter with runs and quick throws. This approach, of course, dares Baylor to destroy the defense by throwing downfield against one-on-one matchups.

Oklahoma attempted this tactic last season, and its secondary, playing mostly dime personnel, held the Bears to only 5.2 yards per pass. Perhaps the greatest advantage of the single-deep-safety approach is it allows the defense to keep six defenders in the box even against Baylor's spread-out, four-receiver formations. However, OU's dime package meant these six players were four DL, a young linebacker, and a 205-pound safety. Despite it being a fair fight in the middle with even numbers, Baylor's players ran over Oklahoma for 252 yards on the ground.

In their 2013 matchup, Oklahoma is sure to try this approach again. They've modified their defense to include greater speed, with 3-4 fronts and late-dropping safeties to help the run game and keep linebackers in the box:

Ouint_medium

Ou2_medium


Due to OU's injuries to nose tackle Jordan Phillips and top linebacker Corey Nelson and their overall youth on the defensive line, it's nearly certain that they will again be unable to stop Baylor's run game in this fair-fight scenario. A Baylor victory seems nearly inevitable.

However, Baylor could make a statement if it shreds Oklahoma's pass defense as well. Otherwise you could speculate, "what if another team with both a great secondary and a great run front challenged Baylor receivers with the Oklahoma strategy?"

What happens when they play a defense loaded with NFL prospects, particularly on the defensive line?

Then there's the final challenge for the Bears to answer before they'll convince the skeptics: What happens when they play a defense loaded with NFL prospects, particularly on the defensive line? If the Big 12 has a weakness as a conference, it's a lack of difference-makers in the trenches on defense.

What would happen if Baylor faced a team with the depth and size up front to survive the Bears' pace and run game? What if that team also had the speed and athleticism on the edge to try and take on Baylor's receivers?

Stanford could fit the billas might Michigan State, but Alabama is the clearest example of such a team. The Tide have a powerful enough line to play a five-man box and enough athletes to play dime-personnel packages. Those allow the safeties to play in a two-deep shell and keep the ball in front of them.

In this clip, Alabama's in dime personnel trying to cover the screens and inside runs at the same time, which is made possible by the lateral speed of their back seven and their impenetrable defensive line:

Bama_medium

Before a potential title game matchup against an athletic squad like the ones in Tuscaloosa, Eugene, or Tallahasse, the Bears have another premier program on their schedule. That game could decide the Big 12 and then some.

After being obliterated early in the year by BYU and Ole Miss, the Texas Longhorns have shockingly managed to turn their defense around. Texas has two strengths Baylor hasn't yet faced.

The Longhorns have the athletes in the secondary to play aggressive, single-deep safety coverages as Oklahoma does, but they also have arguably the best defensive line in college football. Starting defensive ends Jackson Jeffcoat (six sacks) and Cedric Reed (five sacks) are likely to give Baylor's offensive tackles more trouble than they are accustomed to. More importantly, Texas has future NFL Draft choices Chris Whaley and Malcom Brown on the inside, backed by more young and elite talent.

Texas_medium

The Longhorns also struggle at linebacker and safety against the run, making them less than the ideal test for the Bears' offense, but they will ask Briles' boys some questions that need answers.

Meanwhile, there's a lingering question for the rest of us: Might the greatest offense college football's ever seen have been birthed two decades ago by a Texas high school coach named Art Briles?

Sooner or later, we should all learn the answer to that question on the field.

Producer:Chris Mottram | Editor:Jason Kirk | Title Photo: USA Today Images


SB Nation's 2013 MLB awards

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Each year, SB Nation polls its network of team bloggers in a referendum on the major league season that mirrors that of the Baseball Writers Association of America. But with one difference: ours is unfettered by any of the pretensions that warp the ballots of the columnists and beat writers who vote on those “real” awards. SB Nation’s informed outsiders have no illusions that they are acting as guardians of the game and redactors of its history. Rather, they have a much higher standard to answer to: The choices each of them makes will be scrutinized by a community that lives and dies with its chosen team in a way that makes terms like “loyalty” and “devotion” seem painfully inadequate and occasionally challenges accepted notions of good mental health. In other words, they can’t afford to appear to be poseurs, parvenus, dilettantes. The threat of judgment and ridicule enforces a thoroughgoing integrity that would wither the average American statesman.

What follows is the results of our annual poll in three categories: Best Player, Best Pitcher and Best Rookie in each league. In some cases our results will anticipate those of the BBWAA, while in others we will likely diverge from them. In either case, the voters are prepared to defend their decisions with the tenacity of bulldogs. Living day to day in the arena, they know it’s what’s expected of them — and they wouldn’t have it any other way.

AL Best Player

For the last two seasons, one of the game’s dominant controversies has been whether Mike Trout (all-around excellent player) is more valuable than Miguel Cabrera (ultimate stationary masher). It wasn’t much of a conflict for our voters, who gave Trout a Nixon-McGovern-style landslide. Note also the strong showing by Oakland A’s third baseman Josh Donaldson, a strong threat on both offense and defense this year who was neglected by the establishment for both the All-Star Game bench and the Gold Glove awards.

Mike Trout

Los Angeles Angels

.323 AVG, .432 OBP, .557 SLG, 27 HR, 33 SB, 9.2 WAR
  • 1st - 35 votes
  • 2nd - 2 votes
  • 3rd - 2 votes
  • 4th - 0 votes
  • 5th - 0 votes
  • 6th - 0 votes
  • 7th - 0 votes
  • 8th - 0 votes
  • 9th - 0 votes
  • 10th - 0 votes
  • Votes, from 1st to 10th place

Miguel Cabrera

Detroit Tigers

.348 AVG, .442 OBP, .636 SLG, 44 HR, 3 SB, 7.2 WAR
  • 1st - 4 votes
  • 2nd - 28 votes
  • 3rd - 6 votes
  • 4th - 0 votes
  • 5th - 1 vote
  • 6th - 0 votes
  • 7th - 0 votes
  • 8th - 0 votes
  • 9th - 0 votes
  • 10th - 0 votes
  • Votes, from 1st to 10th place

Josh Donaldson

Oakland Athletics

.301 AVG, .384 OBP, .499 SLG, 24 HR, 5 SB, 8.0 WAR
  • 1st - 0 votes
  • 2nd - 6 votes
  • 3rd - 19 votes
  • 4th - 11 votes
  • 5th - 1 vote
  • 6th - 1 vote
  • 7th - 1 vote
  • 8th - 0 votes
  • 9th - 0 votes
  • 10th - 0 votes
  • Votes, from 1st to 10th place

Chris Davis

Baltimore Orioles

.286 AVG, .370 OBP, .634 SLG, 53 HR, 4 SB, 6.3 WAR
  • 1st - 0 votes
  • 2nd - 2 votes
  • 3rd - 10 votes
  • 4th - 15 votes
  • 5th - 8 votes
  • 6th - 3 votes
  • 7th - 1 vote
  • 8th - 0 votes
  • 9th - 0 votes
  • 10th - 0 votes
  • Votes, from 1st to 10th place

Evan Longoria

Tampa Bay Rays

.269 AVG, .343 OBP, .498 SLG, 32 HR, 1 SB, 6.3 WAR
  • 1st - 0 votes
  • 2nd - 0 votes
  • 3rd - 0 votes
  • 4th - 7 votes
  • 5th - 13 votes
  • 6th - 10 votes
  • 7th - 3 votes
  • 8th - 1 vote
  • 9th - 3 votes
  • 10th - 0 votes
  • Votes, from 1st to 10th place
  • 1st
  • 2nd
  • 3rd
  • 4th
  • 5th

NL Best Player

The voting for NL Best Player presented no problems for our panel; they came close to unanimity when it came to making the final choice. A year ago, Andrew McCutchen parlayed a torrid midseason stretch into MVP consideration, but the Pirates’ second-half fade, a slide mirrored in McCutchen’s production, knocked him down to third place. This year the Pirates hung on and made the postseason for the first time since the Bonds-Bonilla-Drabek days and the center fielder was a big reason why, hitting .339/.441/.561 in the second half. Clayton Kershaw, whose extraordinary 1.83 ERA (his third straight ERA title) figures to snatch some first-place votes from the position players in the BBWAA balloting, barely registers here. Note the fifth-place showing for Joey Votto, whose high-OBP/low-RBI season was much derided in Cincinnati this summer. We’ll see if the professional pundits are as perceptive.

Andrew McCutchen

Pittsburgh Pirates

.317 AVG, .404 OBP, .508 SLG, 21 HR, 27 SB, 8.2 WAR
  • 1st - 34 votes
  • 2nd - 2 votes
  • 3rd - 0 votes
  • 4th - 0 votes
  • 5th - 0 votes
  • 6th - 0 votes
  • 7th - 0 votes
  • 8th - 0 votes
  • 9th - 0 votes
  • 10th - 0 votes
  • Votes, from 1st to 10th place

Paul Goldschmidt

Arizona Diamondbacks

.302 AVG, .401 OBP, .551 SLG, 36 HR, 15 SB, 7.0 WAR
  • 1st - 0 votes
  • 2nd - 17 votes
  • 3rd - 12 votes
  • 4th - 5 votes
  • 5th - 0 votes
  • 6th - 1 votes
  • 7th - 0 votes
  • 8th - 0 votes
  • 9th - 0 votes
  • 10th - 1 votes
  • Votes, from 1st to 10th place

Matt Carpenter

St. Louis Cardinals

.318 AVG, .392 OBP, .481 SLG, 11 HR, 3 SB, 6.6 WAR
  • 1st - 0 votes
  • 2nd - 5 votes
  • 3rd - 4 votes
  • 4th - 8 votes
  • 5th - 6 votes
  • 6th - 5 votes
  • 7th - 2 votes
  • 8th - 3 votes
  • 9th - 0 votes
  • 10th - 1 vote
  • Votes, from 1st to 10th place

Joey Votto

Cincinnati Reds

.305 AVG, .435 OBP, .491 SLG, 24 HR, 6 SB, 6.4 WAR
  • 1st - 0 votes
  • 2nd - 2 votes
  • 3rd - 4 votes
  • 4th - 7 votes
  • 5th - 7 votes
  • 6th - 5 votes
  • 7th - 7 votes
  • 8th - 3 votes
  • 9th - 0 votes
  • 10th - 1 vote
  • Votes, from 1st to 10th place

Clayton Kershaw

Los Angeles Dodgers

33 GS, 236 IP, 1.83 ERA, 164 H, 232 SO, 52 BB, 7.8 WAR
  • 1st - 1 vote
  • 2nd - 6 votes
  • 3rd - 8 votes
  • 4th - 2 votes
  • 5th - 5 votes
  • 6th - 2 votes
  • 7th - 1 votes
  • 8th - 1 votes
  • 9th - 0 votes
  • 10th - 0 votes
  • Votes, from 1st to 10th place
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  • 5th

AL Best Pitcher

Max Scherzer takes our balloting going away, as he probably will the BBWAA voting. There were odd moments this season when an argument could have been constructed in favor of others, Yu Darvish, Chris Sale, Anibal Sanchez among them. In the end, even value metrics like WAR are no help to those that would prefer to construct a most-valuable pitcher narrative around something other than Scherzer’s league-leading 21 wins, are no help since the league leaders finished in an indistinguishable heap. In the final analysis, Scherzer was at least as good as any other pitcher on the circuit, and in this case the high win total isn’t a Bob Welch-LaMarr Hoyt-style red herring but a clue pointing to Scherzer’s mastery.

Max Scherzer

Detroit Tigers

32 GS, 214.1 IP, 2.90 ERA, 152 H, 240 SO, 56 BB, 6.7 WAR
  • 1st - 32 votes
  • 2nd - 5 votes
  • 3rd - 1 vote
  • 4th - 1 vote
  • 5th - 0 votes
  • Votes, from 1st to 5th place

Yu Darvish

Texas Rangers

32 GS, 209.2 IP, 2.83 ERA, 145 H, 277 SO, 80 BB, 5.8 WAR
  • 1st - 4 votes
  • 2nd - 6 votes
  • 3rd - 11 votes
  • 4th - 6 votes
  • 5th - 8 votes
  • Votes, from 1st to 5th place

Chris Sale

Chicago White Sox

30 GS, 214.1 IP, 3.07 ERA, 184 H, 226 SO, 46 BB, 6.9 WAR
  • 1st - 3 votes
  • 2nd - 8 votes
  • 3rd - 4 votes
  • 4th - 11 votes
  • 5th - 9 votes
  • Votes, from 1st to 5th place

Anibal Sanchez

Detroit Tigers

29 GS, 182 IP, 2.57 ERA, 156 H, 202 SO, 54 BB, 6.3 WAR
  • 1st - 0 votes
  • 2nd - 14 votes
  • 3rd - 7 votes
  • 4th - 4 votes
  • 5th - 8 votes
  • Votes, from 1st to 5th place

Felix Hernandez

Seattle Mariners

31 GS, 204.1 IP, 3.04 ERA, 185 H, 216 SO, 46 BB, 5.2 WAR
  • 1st - 0 votes
  • 2nd - 6 votes
  • 3rd - 10 votes
  • 4th - 9 votes
  • 5th - 3 votes
  • Votes, from 1st to 5th place
  • 1st
  • 2nd
  • 3rd
  • 4th
  • 5th

NL Best Pitcher

Legend has it that one elector in the 1820 presidential election purposely voted against James Monroe so that George Washington would remain the only president unanimously selected by the electoral college. We can only assume that the one voter who cast his ballot for Matt Harvey had the same sort of thing in mind where Clayton Kershaw was concerned.

Clayton Kershaw

Los Angeles Dodgers

33 GS, 236 IP, 1.83 ERA, 164 H, 232 SO, 52 BB, 7.8 WAR
  • 1st - 35 votes
  • 2nd - 1 vote
  • 3rd - 0 votes
  • 4th - 0 votes
  • 5th - 0 votes
  • Votes, from 1st to 5th place

Adam Wainwright

St. Louis Cardinals

34 GS, 241.1 IP, 2.94 ERA, 223 H, 219 SO, 35 BB, 6.2 WAR
  • 1st - 0 votes
  • 2nd - 14 votes
  • 3rd - 13 votes
  • 4th - 6 votes
  • 5th - 1 vote
  • Votes, from 1st to 5th place

Matt Harvey

New York Mets

26 GS, 178.1 IP, 2.27 ERA, 135 H, 191 SO, 31 BB, 5.2 WAR
  • 1st - 1 vote
  • 2nd - 8 votes
  • 3rd - 6 votes
  • 4th - 8 votes
  • 5th - 10 votes
  • Votes, from 1st to 5th place

Cliff Lee

Philadelphia Phillies

31 GS, 222.2 IP, 2.87 ERA, 193 H, 222 SO, 32 BB, 7.3 WAR
  • 1st - 0 votes
  • 2nd - 7 votes
  • 3rd - 8 votes
  • 4th - 11 votes
  • 5th - 5 votes
  • Votes, from 1st to 5th place

Jose Fernandez

Miami Marlins

28 GS, 172.2 IP, 2.19 ERA, 111 H, 187 SO, 58 BB, 6.3 WAR
  • 1st - 0 votes
  • 2nd - 6 votes
  • 3rd - 8 votes
  • 4th - 6 votes
  • 5th - 13 votes
  • Votes, from 1st to 5th place
  • 1st
  • 2nd
  • 3rd
  • 4th
  • 5th

AL Best Rookie

At midseason there was some question as to whether the American League would produce a rookie worth voting for at the end of the year. Because of a combination of service-time manipulation and his own development at Triple-A, Wil Myers had only been up briefly. By the end of the year, the field was still weak, but the leader had clearly established himself.

Wil Myers

Tampa Bay Rays

.293 AVG, .354 OBP, .478 SLG, 13 HR, 5 SB, 2.0 WAR
  • 1st - 33 votes
  • 2nd - 5 votes
  • 3rd - 1 vote
  • Votes, from 1st to 3rd place

Jose Iglesias

Detroit Tigers

.303 AVG, .349 OBP, .386 SLG, 2 HR, 5 SB, 1.9 WAR
  • 1st - 2 votes
  • 2nd - 17 votes
  • 3rd - 5 votes
  • Votes, from 1st to 3rd place

Chris Archer

Tampa Bay Rays

23 GS, 128.2 IP, 107 H, 101 SO, 38 BB, 3.22 ERA 2.2 WAR
  • 1st - 3 votes
  • 2nd - 2 votes
  • 3rd - 15 votes
  • Votes, from 1st to 3rd place

David Lough

Kansas City Royals

.286 AVG, .311 OBP, .413 SLG, 5 HR, 5 SB, 2.7 WAR
  • 1st - 1 vote
  • 2nd - 2 votes
  • 3rd - 4 votes
  • Votes, from 1st to 3rd place

Martin Perez

Texas Rangers

20 GS, 124.1 IP, 129 H, 84 SO, 37 BB, 3.62 ERA, 1.6 WAR
  • 1st - 0 votes
  • 2nd - 3 votes
  • 3rd - 5 votes
  • Votes, from 1st to 3rd place
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NL Best Rookie

The final controversial award on our ballot, Jose Fernandez of the Marlins seemed to have a lock on the award until Yasiel Puig came along in June and lit a fire under a Dodgers team that ultimately won its division. Perhaps if Puig had maintained his batting average in the .380s we might have had more of an argument, but a soft, injury-slowed September took some of the glow off of Puig’s debut, while Fernandez headed into the clubhouse with one of the best seasons by a rookie pitcher in the history of the game.

Jose Fernandez

Miami Marlins

28 GS, 172.2 IP, 2.19 ERA, 111 H, 187 SO, 58 BB, 6.3 WAR
  • 1st - 29 votes
  • 2nd - 7 votes
  • 3rd - 0 votes
  • Votes, from 1st to 3rd place

Yasiel Puig

Los Angeles Dodgers

.319 AVG, .391 OBP, .534 SLG, 19 HR, 11 SB, 5.0 WAR
  • 1st - 7 votes
  • 2nd - 28 votes
  • 3rd - 1 vote
  • Votes, from 1st to 3rd place

Hyun-jin Ryu

Los Angeles Dodgers

30 GS, 192 IP, 182 H, 154 SO, 49 BB, 3.00 ERA, 3.3 WAR
  • 1st - 0 votes
  • 2nd - 0 votes
  • 3rd - 13 votes
  • Votes, from 1st to 3rd place

Shelby Miller

St. Louis Cardinals

31 GS, 173.1 IP, 152 H, 169 SO, 57 BB, 3.06 ERA, 3.4 WAR
  • 1st - 0 votes
  • 2nd - 0 votes
  • 3rd - 8 votes
  • Votes, from 1st to 3rd place

Julio Teheran

Atlanta Braves

30 GS, 185.2 IP, 173 H, 170 SO, 45 BB, 3.20 ERA, 3.2 WAR
  • 1st - 0 votes
  • 2nd - 1 vote
  • 3rd - 4 votes
  • Votes, from 1st to 3rd place
  • 1st
  • 2nd
  • 3rd
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Words:Steven Goldman | Data:Eric Simon | Developer:Josh Laincz |Designer:Ramla Mahmood | Producer:Chris Mottram | Special Thanks:Georgia Cowley

Sunday Shootaround: Anthony Davis is already here

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Raising eyebrows

Ask anyone around the league what has caught their eye in the first week of the season, and it's a safe bet the first words out of their mouth will be "Anthony Davis," followed by long sighs. The long-winged bird of prey has arrived, and we’re not talking about Pierre the Pelican.

Barely a half-dozen games into his second season, Davis is putting on a nightly show for the rebranded New Orleans Pelicans. It’s not just the gaudy stats, although 23 points, 11.5 rebounds and 4.3 blocks tend to get your attention. Rather, it’s the way he plays: dominating stretches of the game with his soft touch, nimble athleticism and dontbringthatweakstuffinhere presence at the rim.

On Friday night against the Lakers, Davis reached back over his body to block a disbelieving Pau Gasol and then sprinted down the court and got fouled at the other basket. The whole play took a couple of seconds, but contained all of the jaw-dropping athleticism and court sense that makes fans giddy and opponents shake their heads.

In another sequence, Davis caught the ball above the free throw line, took one step to the dotted half circle and dunked from there. He eviscerated Gasol all night, swallowing up his shots and repeatedly beating him and the rest of the Lakers down the floor for dunks, en route to a career-high 32 points.

It's not like this is any great surprise. Davis entered the NBA fresh off a devastating season at Kentucky, where he controlled the college game from the opening tip. It was always going to happen. It was just a question of when.

As a rookie, Davis averaged a respectable 13.2 points and 8.5 rebounds while shooting over 50 percent from the field. It was a solid, if relatively unspectacular debut. He finished second in the Rookie of the Year voting to unanimous winner Damian Lillard despite posting a better PER, but no one really argued the decision too strenuously.

Perhaps that was because Davis' defensive impact didn't live up to his advanced billing. He blocked his share of shots, but New Orleans was a poor defensive team with him on the court. They weren't much better without him, which was an indictment of the whole roster.

Things are starting to change. With Jrue Holiday at the point, the Pelicans have someone to defend the ball, and with the addition of Tyreke Evans and a healthy Eric Gordon, they are more balanced offensively.

Early season small sample sizes abound, but New Orleans is ranked a respectable 11th in defensive rating and an equally-encouraging 11th on the offensive side, per Basketball Reference. Save for a dreadful 20-point loss to the Magic in their second game, they've also been competitive every night out and earned an impressive win in Memphis on Wednesday.

The Pelicans still have a long way to go. The depth is better, but still worrisome. Evans has been slow to adjust to his new role off the bench and Ryan Anderson's shooting and floor spacing are sorely missed. But, they are getting there, and thanks to Davis' emergence, they may be ahead of schedule.

Here are a few other pleasant developments from the first full week of the season:

PAUL GEORGE RISES AND THE PACERS TAKE CARE OF BUSINESS

When we last left the Pacers, they were on the wrong end of a rather incredible seven-game conference finals loss to the Miami Heat. It was incredible because no one really expected Indiana could keep up with Miami in a playoff series. Certainly few expected that George would be able to match LeBron James point-for-point and shot-for-shot like he did at times.

It was a massive leap forward for both the team and the player, and George was rewarded with a maximum contract extension in the offseason. Still, the prevailing wisdom was the Pacers would take a backseat to the Bulls once Derrick Rose returned to the court. They were good, obviously, but unless George took a massive leap into the superstar strata, they had probably reached their limit.

No one should be eager to put a cap on [George's] potential after what he's shown in his first few seasons

We might want to reconsider. George may not average 25-8-4 and shoot 40 percent from behind the arc for the entire season, but no one should be eager to put a cap on his potential after what he's shown in his first few seasons. The multi-talented hybrid forward has improved every year he's been in the league. The only stop left is legit star status.

The Pacers have followed his lead, winning their first six games while dispatching both the Pistons on the road and the Bulls at home. Both George and the Pacers have taken the essential lessons from their postseason baptism and applied them to the regular season. They have cracked the code on winning games. Double digit deficits in the second quarter disappear by the end of the third, and they are mastering the art of putting games away in crunch time.

The Pacers are also not in a mood to give ground back to Chicago. As George told NBA.com's Steve Aschburner:

"We want to step away from that shadow as the 'little brothers' of this division. Their success is the Michael Jordan era. This is a new age, this is a new team. It's ours till they take it."

GOLDEN STATE'S D

From Stephen Curry's otherworldly shooting to the untapped potential of Klay Thompson and Harrison Barnes, there is much to like about the Warriors this season. They play fast, bomb 3s and have a strong inside-out game with Curry and a slimmed-down David Lee. On pure aesthetic grounds, it's hard to top the Dubs for nightly entertainment.

That's all well and good. The Warriors have always been compulsively watchable, even as a guilty pleasure. What's different this season is their defensive chops.

It's really not that complicated, either. Andre Iguodala is one of the game's top perimeter defenders. Andrew Bogut is one of the league's premier rim protectors. Take those two talents and surround them with willing defenders and a sound scheme and the Warriors -- yes the Warriors -- have emerged as one of the top defensive squads in the league.

With so much depending on Bogut's health, it's futile to project where they might end up, but even without Curry on Friday, they battled the Spurs to the wire in a 76-74 defeat. It was a frustrating loss, made more so by some end-of-game miscues, but it was also encouraging. No way the Warriors hang in a game like that in the past. For now at least, the defense makes them a legit threat.

WELCOME BACK, KEVIN LOVE

The early season is full of obscure trivia, but none had as much resonance as the mark Kevin Love set when he averaged better than 26 points and 15 rebounds in his first five games. The only other player to do that in the last 15 years? Kevin Garnett, of course.

Long after his departure, KG still casts a very long shadow over the Timberwolves organization. Every mark, every number and every milestone has his name attached to it. Love and the Wolves thought they were ready to break out and write their own history last season, but injuries wrecked those plans. This year may be the one they get it right.

Love had another monster game on Friday with 32 points and 15 rebounds in a win over the Mavericks. He also had eight assists, which gives him 30 after six games. The numbers become a blur after a while, but no other power forward brings the array of skills that Love brings to the equation.

OvertimeMore thoughts from the week that was

And now, a word about the Knicks.

One of the things that was so remarkable about last year's 54-win season was the relative absence of drama. Sure, J.R. Smith did weird things at times, but he saved his most aberrant behavior for the postseason. Yes, there were injuries up and down the lineup, but whenever a Rasheed Wallace or Kurt Thomas went down, there was a Kenyon Martin waiting to gobble up minutes and boards.

Despite all that, the Knicks were an often joyous crew that delighted in launching 3s and propelling Carmelo Anthony to superstar status. Even dour coach Mike Woodson got a makeover as the stern, yet pliable strategist who didn't mind running out weird lineups and reveling in the nonconformity.

Or so it appeared. Once the postseason began, Woodson shied away from the small-ball strengths that defined his team and insisted on playing a more conventional style against the massive Indiana Pacers. It was the classic old-school move for a team that should have been firmly planted in the modern era.

Still, it would be wrong to blame everything on Woodson, especially since Smith's redemption story ended in a clang of missed jumpers and screaming headlines. It's also not as if the Knicks were a smoke and mirrors act. With Melo playing at his best and Tyson Chandler holding down the paint, they were a good, albeit flawed, team that went about as far as they could reasonably expect go.

Reason and expectations don't always line up in owner James Dolan's worldview

Reason and expectations don't always line up in owner James Dolan's worldview, however. He reportedly told his coaching staff he wanted a championship and he wanted it now. Nevermind that his team lacked depth or that the big offseason move was to bring in a 7-footer who doesn't rebound or play defense. This is Dolan's Knicks we're talking about.

It's unfortunate that Chandler broke his leg barely a week into the season, because there are few players who are more proud or more committed to their jobs than the 2012 Defensive Player of the Year. It was also unfortunate because the big man was mostly responsible for a defense that was just mediocre enough to keep them in games until the shots started falling.

With Chandler out of the lineup for 4-6 weeks, Woodson has turned to Andrea Bargnani to play, as he termed it, "serious minutes" at center. This has disaster written all over it. It's not as if the Knicks have the assets to go out and make a trade for a defensive big man either. The roster is top heavy and decidedly lacking in tradeable players outside of Iman Shumpert. They owe first-round picks in 2014 and 2016 and don't even have any second rounders to sweeten the pot.

Woodson and the Knicks have defied the doomsayers for a while now, and on his first night as a starter, Bargnani scored 25 points and even blocked five shots against the Bobcats. It took him 25 shots to get there, but hey, baby steps. This came on the heels of a closed door meeting convened by Melo after a home loss to the same Charlotte club, so credit them for making a statement.

The next month may define how this Knicks' season turns out. If it goes poorly, dysfunction and disarray may come with it.

Viewers GuideWhat we'll be watching this week

MONDAY Grizzlies at Pacers

Grit and grind versus bump and bang. Let’s count the intriguing matchups: We have the reigning Defensive Player of the Year in Marc Gasol against Roy Hibbert, the presumptive challenger. There’s Zach Randolph and David West in a manly contest of players no one messes with, and if we’re lucky, maybe Tony Allen will check Paul George. First one to 72 points wins.

TUESDAY Wizards at Mavericks

It’s a light night for the Association, but we’re intrigued by what we’ve seen from the Mavs so far, particularly Monta Ellis, who is averaging 24 points a game and shooting about 50 percent. The perpetually maligned guard has found new life in Big D playing on a team that doesn’t require him to be the best player, but doesn’t actually mind if he plays like he is the main guy. Good on ‘ya Monta. Keep doing what you do.

WEDNESDAY Bucks at Magic

We like to spread the love around here, so we’ll sample one of the most obscure games on the stocked Wednesday night buffet. Rookie guard Victor Oladipo is worthy enough of our attention, as is 30 and 20 man Nikola Vučević. With those two, plus second-year forwards Maurice Harkless and Andrew Nicholson, the Magic are creeping up the League Pass watchability rankings.

THURSDAY Thunder at Warriors

While his timing may not be all the way back, Russell Westbrook has not eased himself back into the Thunder lineup. He’s still the same old Russ, and that’s a good thing for an OKC team that was looking a little stale without him on the court. This is shaping up as an interesting little showdown between the upstart Dubs and the established Thunder, who are in danger of getting lapped in the hyper-competitive conference.

FRIDAY Timberwolves at Nuggets

Last year, the Nuggets did what many of us thought the Wolves would do. That is, rip off 57 wins and emerge from a pack of middle rans and become something of a serious threat in the West. The Nuggets faltered in large measure because of a season-ending injury to Danilo Gallinari, which just shows how precarious contenting status can be in this league. The Wolves never got started, of course, but the early returns are encouraging. If there’s a sleeper in the West, it might be in Minnesota.

SATURDAY Nets at Clippers

After Kevin Garnett and Paul Pierce left the court for what would be the final time as Celtics, Doc Rivers lamented, "You just want it to always be perfect for them, and as a coach you want to protect that." Things have turned out pretty close to perfectly for all three men, but this reunion figures to be tinged with sadness and regret for what they left behind.

The ListNBA players in some made up category

Everyone loves lists, especially completely arbitrary lists like this one: This week: Top five victims of circumstances.

Paul Millsap: Slot the rugged throwback forward on a half-dozen teams, and he’d be the ultimate glue guy, Robert Horry without the heroic game-winners. Millsap has been solidly consistent since his first days in the league, routinely averaging 15-18 points and 8-10 rebounds with the Jazz, which earned him the occasional blog accolades and not much else. It’s not just the public that overlooks Millsap. Somehow, the Hawks got him for a two-year, $19 million deal this summer.

Thaddeus Young: Millsap’s Northeast doppelganger. The most shocking thing about Young is that he’s only 25 years old. The second most notable thing is that he completely reinvented himself from a wannabe floor-spacer into a mid-range maestro who does his work inside the arc and in transition. Put him on a good team and he’d be a perennial Sixth Man of the Year candidate.

Courtney Lee: The sixth-year guard is already on his fourth NBA team, and considering the Celtic' longrange rebuilding program, it wouldn’t be a shock to see him make it to a fifth at some point in the next year or two. Call Lee what you like: a tweener, a combo guard, a 3 and D wing, but his skillset looks a lot better on good teams than on poor ones. He's off to a nice start this season, which may make him an attractive trade candidate.

Wesley Matthews: Twenty-three-year-old undrafted rookies are not supposed to make much of an impact, but Matthews took over a starting job midway through his first season with the Jazz and parlayed that into a nice contract with the Blazers where he’s been one of the league’s most dependable players for the notoriously star-crossed franchise. If the Blazers can get back to the postseason, Matthews will get his due.

Corey Brewer: Unlike the rest of the players on the list, Brewer actually started his career as something of a building block as the seventh pick in the draft by the Wolves way back in 2007. It didn’t go well. But, a funny thing happened to him on the way to obscurity: after bouncing around from Dallas to Denver, he finally was put in the right position to take advantage of his skills. Now back for a second tour with Minnesota, Brewer is a key contributor on a dangerous squad and a role model for anyone whose career got off to a slow start.

ICYMIor In Case You Missed It

Why first-round picks matter

First-round picks are the most valuable currency of the NBA realm. Everyone wants them and no one wants to give them up. Mark Deeks explores why they’ve gained in value.

Playing among the stars

Everyone loves to pick on Mario Chalmers, but the Miami guard actually likes living in the white-hot spotlight, as he told Holly MacKenzie.

A tale of two offenses

Coach Nick breaks down why the Pacers are having success and why the Pistons are not.

The Warriors' tricky future

Everything is rainbows and unicorns for the Warriors right now, but at some point in the not so distant future, they will have tough choices to make with Klay Thompson and Harrison Barnes. Tom Ziller explores in The Hook.

Say WhatRamblings of NBA players, coaches and GMs

"You know, I'm going to celebrate for a whole 12 minutes and then I'm going to start watching Orlando and trying to figure them out."-- Celtics coach Brad Stevens after earning his first professional victory.

Reaction: Stevens lost four games total in his first season coaching Butler, so it’s natural to wonder if his famously unflappable demeanor would start to crack after four straight losses to open his inaugural NBA run. So far, he seems to be taking everything in stride, which is the appropriate response.

"When we go to that small lineup, we have to make sure we're on the same page. If we're switching, switch. If it's just ball screens, then so be it. We have to talk better. We can't keep having these mental lapses."-- Rockets forward Chandler Parsons after a loss to the Lakers.

Reaction: This is a really disturbing trend for Houston. All eyes are on James Harden and Kevin McHale.

"I know our defense is going to come. You can see it in spurts. We're going to have a game where its 86-85 and we're going to have to defend. We are getting timely stops. We're going to get it."-- Clippers coach Doc Rivers.

Reaction: There’s a parallel with the Rockets to draw, but Rivers rightly points out that his offense is going to be his team's calling card. He gets it, but until his team grasps his defensive principles, we'll remain slightly skeptical about the Clips. Just not as skeptical as we are about Houston.

"Retirement was a thought, it was a serious thought. It still is. It's tough to enjoy the game because of how limited I am physically. I'm working through that. I'm a shell of myself on the court right now. I'm just struggling mentally."-- Andrew Bynum to ESPN’s Brian Windhorst.Reaction: It’s easy to pick on Bynum -- people have been doing so since his Laker days -- but it’s a lot harder to live through the kind of injuries he’s faced in his his career.
"The courts can be obstacle courses because of the cameramen and team staff parked around its perimeter. It’s not safe. The league should address the issue more and I am hopeful they will in the near future. Until then teams need to do a better job enforcing the current standards. Player safety always has to be a huge priority."-- Hawks GM Danny Ferry after guard Jeff Teague sprained his ankle tripping over a baseline attendant.Reaction: Amen.

This Week in GIFsfurther explanation unnecessary

James Harden

The Rockets' perimeter defense was the talking point du jour on Friday after a stunning home loss to the Lakers. This clip of James Harden not paying attention as Steve Blake cut behind him was the defining image of that discussion.

Steve Blake

If not for the above Harden GIF, this one of Steve Blake's game-winner on Thursday would suffice because of the image of Jeremy Lin throwing his hands in the air after the Rockets' botched switch.

Anthony Davis

This is a two-footed jump from just inside the free-throw line. Scary.

Stephen Curry

Because we have a new rule: there must be a Warriors GIF in every post.

Designer:Josh Laincz | Producer:Chris Mottram | Editor:Mike Prada

Ra’Shede’s Road: The improbable path that took Ra’Shede Hageman from foster child to a top NFL prospect

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He was born on fourth-and-long. Mom drank when she was pregnant with him. Traded sex for drugs while he was in diapers. State authorities dragged him out of a crack house closet when he was 4 years old. Threw Mom in prison. Dad? Dead before the kid met him.

Start most kids off like that, they're looking at 15 to 20 by the time they're 18. Unless they learn to catch a football in traffic or cut down a running back behind the line. That's what Ra'Shede Hageman learned to do, which opened another path  one he followed to the University of Minnesota  where he's a 23-year-old senior defensive tackle on the watch lists for this year's Outland Trophy, Bronko Nagurski Trophy and the Chuck Bednarik Award. And that could lead to a first-round selection by the NFL. But his past could still outrun his future.

* * *

Saturday, Oct. 26, Ra'Shede trots down the darkened tunnel and onto the sun-drenched turf of TCF Bank Stadium, home of the Golden Gophers. He's huge. The program lists him at 6'6 and 311 pounds, but he's bigger in person. His bare calves ripple like the quadriceps of most men, his thighs scream power, and  his hands are thick as catcher's mitts. His shoulders and chest form a solid mass with only a slight paunch above his belt, the No. 99 stretched across his white jersey, front and back. He's topped by a large maroon helmet, his expression shielded by a tinted visor, scratched on the side.

This is the face of Minnesota football. His photo shines on the cover of the Gophers' 2013 media guide, a color shot with fists clenched in celebration, biceps flexed, his head tipped slightly back, but his expression invisible behind the dark visor of his helmet. He and the Gophers are up against long odds this afternoon: No. 21 Nebraska. Minnesota has not beaten Nebraska since 1960 ("A long time  you do the math," Ra'Shede says at the post-game press conference); in the last dozen meetings, the Cornhuskers have outscored the Gophers, 568-86. But the Gophers have won five of their seven games. Ra'Shede's having an excellent season, piling up tackles for a loss, sacks, hurries, pass deflections and blocked kicks. Against Northwestern, he even picked off a pass.

Ra'Shede and his teammates jog past the cheerleaders, the band, the television cameras. The fans, especially the students in the section surrounding the tunnel, greet them with enthusiasm. It's a perfect Minnesota autumn afternoon for collegiate football, crisp and sunny, a day ripe with possibilities.

* * *

they all say the same thing: great future, as long as he stays on track.

Hagemanusat_medium(USA Today Images)

Ra'Shede has all of the measurables. Benches 465 pounds, squats 500. OK, you might expect that for a guy as big and powerful as he is. Get this, though  the 6'6" 311-pound lineman also leaps 36 inches on his vertical, can windmill a dunk and clocks 1.57 seconds in the 10-yard dash. On Bruce Feldman's 2013 physical "Freaks List" for CBSSports, Hageman is No. 2 (behind only Jadeveon Clowney). After eight games, the Gopher often referred to as a "monster" and "beast" slid up on ESPN draft analyst Todd McShay's rankings from a projected third-round pick to the late first round. "He's got a tremendous future," Gophers' head coach Jerry Kill says. "He's a guy a lot of people will want to get their hands on, as long as he stays on track and does what he's asked to do here."

That's the refrain. Ask past coaches, current coaches, his parents, they all say the same thing: great future, as long as he stays on track.

He can't escape the caveat. Because what drives him could also destroy him.

Talk about two roads, that's the story of this kid's life. He's had false starts along both  fits and lurches down the one that ends for so many black American males born into impoverished, drug-addled families in early death or lifetime incarceration, and leaps and slips down the other toward athletic stardom, generous paydays and Sunday glory. Seems every step of the way he comes back to the fork, where he has to choose his path all over again.

That's where the anger is. All the hurt from having a crackhead for a mom, a dad who died when Ra'Shede was a toddler, of bouncing around foster homes, not having birthday parties like "normal" kids  all that is distilled into a fierce pilot light of anger in his belly. Only football licenses him to release his rage, a powerful force that he consummates in crunching hits. "When I'm on the football field, I always have that anger I had as a child," he says. "I don't want to talk to nobody. I'm ready to go all the way."

Off the field, his anger has cost him, flaring into altercations that could have sidetracked him, ending his career  or even his life  before it got started.

On a weekday morning, he shuffles slowly, as though nonchalant, through the wood-paneled halls of the Gophers' football complex. Clad in a maroon Golden Gophers hoodie and black sweats, he molds his bearded face into a blank expression. Some guys have emotion bubbling all over their features; Ra'Shede's doesn't give away anything, his expression hardly changing. He is playing the role of the elite athlete dutifully reporting to his next interview, but there's an ambiguity in his step, something markedly hesitant in the splayed gait of his Nike sneakers on the maroon carpet.

He's so big he was never small, not even when he was a child. Without his helmet, his head seems to have outgrown his ears, small stubs pushed to the sides. Ra'Shede's always been the tallest guy in the room and on the field. And he's acutely aware of his size, something he embraces, for better or worse. He picked the biggest number because it fits him. "I'm different, with my size, my background," he  explains. "I know wherever I go, I'm going to stick out. I'm not your typical human being because of where I've been."

* * *

The story started in Lansing, Mich., but his mom moved to Minnesota before he was old enough to form memories of the first place. When her addiction kept her from caring for Ra'Shede and his younger brother, Xavier, authorities placed the two boys into the state's foster care system. They bounced around to a dozen different homes. Ra'Shede finally thought he'd found his way out when they placed him in a "permanent" home, but then his new parents split up and he got dumped back into the system. "I missed that childhood I saw other kids having, birthdays, Christmas," he says. "I didn't have Christmas until I was adopted."

Enter Jill Coyle and Eric Hageman, two idealistic 20-somethings fresh out of the University of Minnesota law school, white newlyweds ready to start a family by adopting. They first saw Ra'Shede in a video where the 7-year-old said he wanted a family that would let him play football. Jill and Eric met him and Xavier, 5, soon afterward at Hennepin County's 1997 Christmas party for older foster children.

The social worker warned them: The boys had issues, learning disabilities. Ra'Shede's anger was labeled Oppositional Defiant Disorder and he had difficulty trusting others. But the boys needed a home, a family. Within two months, they had moved in with Jill and Eric. Their adoption was finalized by the end of 1998.

On the eve of the Nebraska game, the couple recounts Ra'Shede's childhood. Eric Hageman sits on the living room couch of their Minneapolis home. He's trim and bright-eyed in a light blue button-down Oxford. Jill sits on the other end of the couch, attractive with long brown hair and wearing fashionable leather boots. Their 6-year-old biological son lies on the couch between them, his head on Eric's thigh. A pair of dogs wrestle on the carpet nearby. Their other two biological children still at home (a boy, 11, and a girl, 8) busy themselves elsewhere in the red brick house across the street from Minnehaha Creek. Eric represents plaintiffs in personal injury cases. Jill is general counsel for a suburban school district. Their home has the feel of comfortable chaos.

"From the time we first adopted him, we envisioned he would be a Division I athlete."

Hagemanfamily_medium(Courtesy of the Hageman family)

Jill and Eric recognized the athlete in Ra'Shede immediately. For starters, he was tall and lanky, a head above his classmates. Faster and stronger, too. Able to perform backflips. Eric, who played cornerback for Dartmouth in the late ‘80s, saw something. "From the time we first adopted him, we envisioned he would be a Division I athlete," he says.

They signed him up for T-ball, football and basketball at the city park near their home. Other parents complained Ra'Shede was too big. Moms on the sideline grumbled they wanted to see his birth certificate. Jill and Eric placed him on teams with kids a year older. Ra'Shede still stood out as the biggest and best.

He dropped baseball after fourth grade, but in eighth grade had earned a spot on the high school's freshman basketball team and quarterbacked his youth football team  not that it was his natural position, it wasn't  but because he was the best athlete on the team, 6 feet and still growing. The high school football coaches scouted him - and discovered he was every bit as good as they heard he was.

It didn't take long for opponents to discover  and target  his Achilles' heel, the temper always throwing up that fork in the path before him. They hit Ra'Shede after the whistle, and threw dirty blocks. "He would always take the bait," says Eric.

School was no better. The suspensions started in second grade. Sitting in class didn't suit a kid like Ra'Shede with ADD, a modest IQ and all that anger simmering inside. He gravitated toward the troublemakers at the lily-white Catholic school. "Even before we came along, Ra'Shede struggled with making decisions," Jill says.

A predictable debate ensued, Jill taking the position that they should pull Ra'Shede from sports so he would concentrate on his schoolwork and improve his behavior; Eric countering that they couldn't take away the very thing that motivated him. The solution remained elusive.

By middle school, his issues became more complicated. He started to agonize over his skin.

By middle school, his issues became more complicated. He started to agonize over his skin. For many adopted kids, when they hit their mid-teens, the adoption story swings from, "You're special; we chose you," to "Your mom gave you away; she didn't want you," which translates to "I'm undesirable or undeserving or unlovable," and self-esteem spirals south. For black kids with white parents, it's even more complicated. His parents couldn't love away the difference in the color of his skin.

Jill and Eric transferred Ra'Shede to a public school with a more diverse student body so he could be around more kids that looked like him. His brother Xavier seemed to adjust smoothly, not as big and more content in the classroom. But for Ra'Shede, it seemed every time he looked at his mom or dad, their white faces reminded him he didn't fit in their family.

What does it mean to be a young black man? That wasn't a question he consciously articulated, but one that did haunt him. Eric couldn't show him, of course. Ra'Shede's own black father was gone. And black men like Michael Jordan and Will Smith  celebrity role models to his peers  didn't serve him. They hadn't come from where he did. "I was never like them (Jordan and Smith)," Ra'Shede says. "I was different, on my own path."

At Washburn High School, which straddled the city's economic divide, he felt the tug of the street, a world he glimpsed in the hip-hop lyrics and the sagging pants of classmates, but a world distant from the red brick colonial where he lived with his parents, who by now had children of their own that didn't look like Ra'Shede. He began hanging out and copped a street attitude. He mouthed off to teachers, skipped school, failed classes, played the tough guy, intimidating others with his size, sometimes taking them on. Girls were drawn to his swagger and he burnished that rep in the weight room, trying to impress them with how much he could bench in competition with his friends. Ra'Shede always won. In ninth grade he maxed out at 315 lbs. "I wanted to get their attention," Ra'Shede says. "I wanted people to think I was tough, basically because of being adopted."

Still, he couldn't find his place. He didn't blend with the street kids. Not in his Abercrombie shirts and new shoes. Not with 20 bucks in his pocket when they didn't have lunch money. He couldn't reconcile his upper-middle class status with theirs.

He also didn't fit with the other kids from affluent backgrounds  his skin was too black. And he didn't feel real kinship with his teammates  what did they know about having an addict mom and another who was an attorney? About a phantom dad and another, doting one? About so many foster homes you forgot your way to your bedroom and then living in a house your buddies envied?

Ra'Shede turned on his parents. He blamed them for his situation.

So Ra'Shede turned on his parents. He blamed them for his situation. Resented them because other kids sometimes teased him about their white asses. He refused to be seen with them. At school conferences, he made his parents walk down the hall by themselves. In restaurants, he hung back until they sat down. Jill and Eric tried to accommodate their son, waiting for him after basketball games in the parking lot. They weathered his angry outbursts at home. But one public explosion terrified his mother.

Ra'Shede's sophomore year, Jill was driving him and a couple of teammates to football practice with his then 2-year-old sister and 2-week-old baby brother along for the ride. A car blew a stop sign and sideswiped their minivan. No one was hurt, but Ra'Shede was enraged. He burst from the van shouting at the man driving the other car, "You almost killed my baby brother." He terrified the man, who saw only an angry 6'6 black giant raging at him. Ra'Shede did not strike the stranger, but Jill worried about how his anger could menace others, and how their reaction could get him killed. This kid their kid was dangerous.

"We'd seen those outbursts at home when he challenged our authority," Eric says. "But seeing it out in the real world was scary. That's been there for him his whole life, trying to address the beast within."

The only place where the beast seemed at home was the football field, where he had license to lash out. Ra'Shede liked defense best, where he could crush opponents, but his coaches used him mostly on offense as a tight end, where he could use his strength and power both blocking and running after catching the ball. They recognized his unique talent, but through his freshmen and sophomore years, he only played sports for the hell of it, because it was fun. He did not know how good he might be.

Trouble brought him to Giovan Jenkins. They knew one another from the football team, where Jenkins was an assistant coach, but Hageman's academic and extracurricular screw-ups landed him in Jenkins' office in his other role as the disciplinarian, dean of ninth- and 10th-grade students. Jenkins had street cred, an African-American Washburn graduate who understood the challenges of being young and black. You're the one who's going to get busted because you're the biggest one around, the first one they'll notice, Jenkins told Ra'Shede. Stay away from trouble.

Jenkins believed in Ra'Shede. "I never really thought he would end up in a gang because of the support he had at home," Jenkins says. "He was raised right."

Ra'Shede respected Jenkins, but it wasn't as if he could just turn off the trouble, either. His anger could explode in an instant. Still, the more often he landed in Jenkins' office, the more he started to believe him. "He told me I wasn't like the other knuckleheads, that I had opportunities," Ra'Shede says. "‘Don't let your friends or other people decide who you are going to be,' he told me. Don't let them control my destiny. He made me realize I could do something with my life if I was able to overcome the obstacles."

* * *

Hageman_rashede_152_medium(Courtesy of the University of Minnesota)

Nebraska scores on its first two drives, but then the Minnesota defense buckles down. Midway through the second quarter, the Gophers trailing 10-7, Ra'Shede slides past a block and drops the quarterback. But there's a flag. The official saw his hand grip the QB's facemask. Instead of facing third-and-long, the Cornhuskers now have a first down 15 yards upfield. Anger replaces elation, but now it's channeled, focused, distilled and determined. Settling into his three-point stance, Ra'Shede knows he owes his team something to redeem himself. On the next play, he charges off the snap, bursts through the line and drops the quarterback before he can set up. The image on the stadium's big screen shows him flexing, his wrists at his waist.

Later in the quarter, with less than a minute remaining, Minnesota has gone up 17-10. Ra'Shede bulls past his blocker, wraps up the QB as he hurries an option pitch, and the ball sails past the running back out of bounds. Ra'Shede spreads his hands wide. He's made another big play. But there's another flag. Once again, the officials have caught him with his hands on the QB's facemask. The personal foul breathes new life into the Huskers' late drive, giving them the chance to tie the score or even take the lead going into halftime. That could hang on Ra'Shede.

But once again, he manages to turn his anger into his advantage. Thirty seconds later, Nebraska runs a screen pass. Ra'Shede doubles back and, with his quickness, catches the receiver from behind on the Minnesota 25, preventing what looked like it would be a big gain, maybe even six points. The play sets up third-and-11, and the best the Huskers can manage is a field goal. At halftime Minnesota still leads, 17-13.

* * *

Soon coaches from premier programs started calling, showing up at school, writing love letters.

The opportunities Jenkins saw in Ra'Shede became concrete when the University of Minnesota football coach Tim Brewster invited him to a prospects camp the summer after his sophomore year. Most of the other kids were a year older, but afterward Brewster, recognizing his potential, offered Ra'Shede a scholarship. That's when it hit Ra'Shede how good he was.

Soon coaches from premier programs  LSU, Florida, Ohio State, Oklahoma, Nebraska  started calling, showing up at school, writing love letters promising him he'd catch 50 passes for them his freshman year. Yet none of that seemed possible. Ra'Shede knew he wasn't college material. He didn't have the grades. His test scores fell short. He had no ambition to study. The sweet talk of scholarships seemed more like a taunt, tantalizing him with something ultimately unattainable  offers more to be resented than pursued. He didn't want to reach out to accept their offer only to have it yanked away. He already knew how that felt.

So did someone else, his half-brother, Lazal Thompson, five years older. They had been separated when the state took custody of Ra'Shede and Xavier, but Lazal had found his younger brothers through the adoption agency shortly after Ra'Shede started high school. Lazal had not been placed with a stable family like Ra'Shede and Xavier. He had stayed in the system and taken the other path. By the time they reunited, Lazal, barely 20, already had fathered a couple of children and been in and out of jail for selling drugs.

He recognized Ra'Shede's confusion and attraction to the street, but also the opportunities he still had. Lazal drove his younger brother around the grimier areas of Minneapolis to erase the allure, pointing out the decay and desperation of thug life. "This is what you don't want to be around," Lazal told him. "You don't want to be a felon or fighting for no reason, joining a gang that doesn't care about you or locked up for domestic abuse."

What Lazal would have given to be able to go to school and play football like Ra'Shede. "But it's hard if you don't have the structure," he says. "You can't go to school when your clothes are dirty. You can't study at home when there's chaos. His parents gave him stability." He told Ra'Shede that. And, "Thank Jill and Eric for giving you the chance."

Gradually, his words sank in. Ra'Shede started to understand the perils of the street; the road to college became more appealing.

* * *

Jill and Eric knew football provided a backdoor route to a college education, something he would not pursue otherwise, given his academic stumbles and intellectual hurdles. But when they started researching the NCAA eligibility requirements, they realized that road included a steep climb. They hired a pair of tutors to work with him. They registered him for online classes to replace failing grades from his first two years of high school.

Greatcatch-roosevelt_mediumRa'Shede as a tight end. (Coutesy of the Hageman family)

Ra'Shede accepted the challenge. He worked diligently with the tutors. He stayed after school to get help from teachers. He did the online coursework. He took the ACT test, over and over and over, banking each section he passed to boost his overall score. He sweated and agonized over his studies, gradually edging toward meeting the NCAA's eligibility requirements. Yet his fear of falling short and being humiliated by the public failure  the local papers and online ranking sites charted his prospects  offset his excitement about the possibility.

Football came so much easier. He started working out with a strength and conditioning coach, and he continued to tear it up on the field. Senior year, he caught 11 touchdown passes, earned All-State honors and was named the nation's No. 1 tight end prospect. But his anger sabotaged the season's grand finale, when his team played for the city championship.

The week before the big game, he exploded in the school cafeteria. Another student got in his face. Ra'Shede gave it back. The shouting escalated to shoving. And could have gotten worse  Ra'Shede far outsized the other kid — if Jenkins hadn't stepped between them ... Hey, hey, stop! Ra'Shede backed down and let Jenkins lead him out of the lunchroom.

Once he calmed, the remorse came. Ra'Shede wrote an apology to the other student. "He always wants to do the right thing, he just doesn't always do the right thing," Jill says. "He digs himself a hole, but crawls out of it."

His outburst resulted in a suspension from football; he couldn't play in the city championship game. The incident reminded everyone just how close to destruction his anger could take him.

* * *

Third quarter, Ra'Shede lets up after the quarterback releases a pass  and the Nebraska lineman Jeremiah Sirles, 6'6 and 310 pounds himself, decks Ra'Shede with a late hit, the very thing that can set him off.

He's used to opponents talking smack in the trenches. They know he has white parents and call him "Uncle Tom." They tell him he's garbage. That he's soft. In high school, he couldn't let it go. He yapped back. Got lured off his game. "Sometimes it goes deep," he says. "Like, ‘You're not going anywhere.' I want to yell and scream at them, but I have found other ways to be disruptive."

But he's not used to being dumped on his ass after the play. Sirles stands over him. A reflexive wave of tension rushes through those watching.

Then Sirles reaches out his hand. Ra'Shede takes it and lets Sirles hoist him up. Ra'Shede pats his shoulder pad and returns to the line. Another dangerous moment diffused. Another right turn.

* * *

Despite his suspension from the city championship game, Ra'Shede did play that January 2009 Under Armour All-American game in Orlando, Fla., and the colleges were still interested. Yet with national signing day approaching, he couldn't see himself in Gainesville or Columbus. He didn't feel right representing a tradition like Nebraska's, one he knew nothing about. He had offers from a dozen schools, but in the end, it came down to just one, Minnesota, because it allowed him to stay close to his parents, and Jenkins and Lazal and others who knew his story and stood by him. So on Feb. 4, 2009, he walked into the Washburn gym, past the media and cameras, donned a maroon cap with a gold "M" on it, and signed a letter declaring his intent to play at the University of Minnesota.

Inking his name did not decide Ra'Shede's fate. It only magnified his angst. After 18 months of tutors, online courses and retaking the ACT, he had moved much closer, but still fell just short of meeting the NCAA's eligibility requirements. He had to take the ACT test one more time in April before he managed to raise his score in the reading section high enough to clear the bar. Finally, he could exhale with relief and celebrate the fact he was headed to college. Now he just had to crack the Gophers' lineup. And stay on the path.

* * *

"Tight end was a high school thing, just beasting over kids and catching balls."

Coach Tim Brewster had recruited Hageman to play tight end, but one day during practice early on, while in line for reps with the receivers, Ra'Shede was distracted, watching the defensive line run its drill. The receivers coach had to shout at him when his turn came, but after practice, he told the D-line coach of Ra'Shede's interest, and Ra'Shede switched to defensive end. "Tight end was a high school thing, just beasting over kids and catching balls," he says. "On defense, you have to have that inner dog in you, which works for me with the aggression I have and the past that makes me a dominant lineman."

He thought he might see action the first game against Syracuse, but by the third quarter, he figured out that he was going to be redshirted for the 2009 season. There were too many other guys ahead of him at defensive end. He dressed for every game, but spent every minute on the sideline, just watching, another tease and frustration.

Tubby Smith, the Gophers' basketball coach, had scouted Ra'Shede at Washburn and attended the high school tournament game when Ra'Shede led his team to the state basketball championship. He invited Ra'Shede to walk on. He was tempted, but he couldn't. College already overwhelmed him. Practice, lifting, meetings, classes, study sessions. Living on his own. He couldn't do it. Couldn't squeeze basketball into his schedule; couldn't handle the distractions.

Oh, those distractions. The parties. The girls. He didn't think it was a problem until a girl told him she was pregnant and planned to have the baby. His one-night stand turned into another person. He was in shock. Scared. How would he tell his parents? How would he care for the child? "I'm too big to be working in a grocery store," he says. "I had to stay with football, keep working on that."

Jill and Eric were concerned  here was another hole Ra'Shede had dug himself  but supportive, as always. They were ready with advice, acceptance and money, whatever he needed. The 2010 season, Ra'Shede's first, he played in eight games, made five tackles, but he landed in yet another ditch. He moved off campus and lived in a house with the other defensive linemen, a place nicknamed "The Zoo" for the parties they hosted. When the police crashed one, everybody ran. But not Ra'Shede, who was rarely one to back down from a confrontation. He was cited for hosting an "uncontrolled party" where minors consumed alcohol. He had to perform community service and endure the embarrassment of the incident going public.

Worse, The Zoo didn't exactly nurture academic rigor. He missed study sessions. Arrived late to class. Let his grades slide. Late that season, after Brewster had been fired, interim coach Jeff Horton told Ra'Shede to get serious about school and forget the last three weeks of the season. Technically, it wasn't a suspension, but the message was clear: His size, talent and potential couldn't save him if he didn't improve his grades.

New coach Jerry Kill underscored that point. It seemed half the team was academically ineligible and Kill intended to clean house. Three days after he arrived in December 2010, the new coach summoned the problem child, his parents and a couple of academic advisors to his office. Kill had done his homework, talking to Giovan Jenkins at Washburn, who convinced him to take a chance on Ra'Shede. One chance. Kill, about as subtle as a blacksmith, gave it to the kid straight. "You stole the university's money. That's going to change or you're gone. This is your last shot." He laid out the expectations: Ra'Shede would get to class on time, not miss study sessions, stay away from parties, move out of The Zoo and into student housing on campus.

Ra'Shede knew Coach Kill was serious. He had jettisoned other players, including Ra'Shede's friend, roommate and fellow defensive lineman, Jewhan Edwards. Edwards had led the Gophers in tackles for a loss and sacks, he had a year of eligibility remaining and NFL prospects, but he hadn't been willing to do things the new coach's way. And knew he was gone. One minute a DI football player with a future, the next, nothing but a washout with a past. If the new coach could dump the team leader in tackles, he wouldn't hesitate to boot Ra'Shede. That shook him.

"It was the first time I saw my life flash before me," he says. And he didn't like what he saw. By then, some of the kids he had run with in high school had landed behind bars or in graves, done in by drugs and violence. Without football, that could be his fate, too. "If I didn't get things right, I would become that statistic of somebody who went to college but didn't make it."

Hageman_rashede_280_medium(Courtesy of the University of Minnesota)

* * *

he started to understand a moment could have irreversible consequences.

Five weeks after his meeting with Coach Kill, Ra'Shede became a father. His son Zion was born Feb. 4, 2011. Zion's mother let Ra'Shede visit only when she wasn't mad at him, which seemed to be very seldom. Still, he felt accountable to someone beyond himself. For the first time, perhaps, he started to understand a moment could have irreversible consequences.

In the spring semester, he got serious about school. He attended his tutoring sessions and made it to classes on time. He was never going to be a candidate for the dean's list, but he managed to keep his cumulative GPA above the required 2.0 mark.

In the fall of 2011, his sophomore year, he switched to defensive tackle, played in all 12 of the Gophers' games and made 13 tackles, flashing the promise inherent in his size. In the final game of the season, on a cold and rainy November day at TCF Bank Stadium, Ra'Shede sacked the Fighting Illini quarterback twice in the first half and forced a fumble that set up the Gophers' first touchdown in a 27-7 victory. "He hadn't had any sacks all season, but that game was a ‘Whoa, look at him' moment," Eric says.

The expectations mounted, but the path did not become any smoother. Coach Kill had to track Ra'Shede down when he did not show up for a mandatory study hall during finals week. Kill found him asleep in his dorm room and dragged him back to the football complex to go over flashcards with an assistant coach past midnight, until Ra'Shede knew the material well enough to pass his final. Not long afterward, he again found himself in the wrong place, though this time less innocently.

In the wee hours of May 10, 2012, Ra'Shede tried to break up a fight outside a campus bar, where some of his teammates tangled with a group of guys from the North Side that Ra'Shede had played hoops with. When the cops arrived, they confronted Ra'Shede, who stood in the thick of the melee. He snapped back. They locked him up. Within days, they dropped the charges of disorderly conduct, but not before the night hit Ra'Shede with another reminder of how close his anger put him to the edge. What if someone had pulled a knife? Or a gun? A bullet doesn't care how much you can bench.

* * *

Junior year, Ra'Shede showed Kill he hadn't squandered his faith. Number 99 earned a starting spot and came up with one big game after another. He recorded 35 tackles (20 solo) and six sacks. His breakout season earned him honorable mention All-Big Ten honors. Not bad for a kid recruited as a tight end who nearly was tossed out of the program. Amazing for a kid discovered in a crack house closet.

The expectations escalated after that. Ra'Shede's on everybody's watch list, pictured on the media guide, projected to go early in the draft, yet he is determined to rise to their level. This season he's watching more film on his own, analyzing his play and scouting opponents. He's resolved not to take any plays off, to come off the ball with more urgency. But he remains a work in progress. Despite his natural size, strength and power, he's still a newcomer to his position. "He's trying to understand when it's time to be a power player and when to use more finesse, coming off a block or on the pass rush," says Jeff Phelps, the Gophers' defensive line coach. "He's just beginning to learn those things and come into his own as a defensive lineman."

This year the big plays have been harder to come by because he's frequently double-teamed. That gets old, two 300-pound hogs in your face every play. He's had his share of personal fouls trying to compensate, like a play against Michigan when he meant to jam a guard in the throat, but his fist caught the guy's facemask and nearly snapped his head off.

Off the field, Ra'Shede speaks softly and can even appear docile. Teammates have called him a "gentle giant," and Phelps describes him as a "teddy bear." Bah, says his mother, who knows his temper as well as anyone. "He doesn't deal well with people getting in his face," Jill says. She remembers a time this past summer when they were in Manhattan and a homeless woman told them to get out of her way. The rest of his family moved aside. Not Ra'Shede. "He took her on," Jill says. "Why can't he just step around her like the rest of us? He's always got that trigger."

* * *

Normal evades him. He's a father but can't see his son as often as he'd like to.

Normal evades him. He's a father but can't see his son as often as he'd like to. Zion is 2 1/2 now. When his mom is communicating with Ra'Shede, he picks up Zion in St. Paul and brings him back to his dorm to watch television or play video games. "He's into ‘Caillou,'" Ra'Shede says. "And he's tall and lanky, like I was."

Ra'Shede is one class away from graduating with a youth studies major, which  given his background  could be his most amazing achievement, but an astronomy class stands between him and his degree. "Dumbest thing I ever did," he says. When he registered for the class, he thought it would be easy. It's not. "You've got to know math, physics, geology  and all those planets."

Hageman is trying to be a role model to other kids. He recently participated in a clinic at McRae Park, several blocks from the house where he grew up, where he played eighth-grade football himself, and next door to St. Joseph's Home for Children, one of the foster homes in which he lived. He laughed with the kids and encouraged them in a scrimmage. "He's a voice for a lot of African-American kids who are going through things he's gone through," his brother Lazal says.

Hagemanlarge_medium(Courtesy of the University of Minnesota)

* * *

Still third quarter, Minnesota has the ball on Nebraska's 1-yard line. Ra'Shede sits on the end of the heated team bench, his eyes on the big screen in the end zone. When Gopher quarterback Philip Nelson carries the ball across the goal line to put Minnesota up, 23-13, Ra'Shede pumps his right fist into the air. They could win this one.

Stranger things have happened in life. Ra'Shede knows that better than anyone does.

* * *

Eric pulls his cell phone from his pocket and plays a video of Ra'Shede's surprise interception against Northwestern. Ra'Shede had dropped back into coverage, a scheme the Gophers' defense uses sometimes to foil their opponents' plans to double-team him. Ra'Shede leaps, grabs the ball with one hand and runs 10 yards with it before he's bumped in the leg, stumbles and falls.

Ra'Shede watched the film with his teammates the next day. Phelps showed the play several times, so Ra'Shede could narrate his moves, point out how he switched the ball to his far hand to protect it. His linemates couldn't help teasing him about how easily he went down. Despite his boasting and their roasting, the clip highlights his extraordinary athleticism in leaping and snagging the ball.

"I'm so hungry to go away and just starting training 100 percent for the Combine."

That athleticism in a body his size has NFL written all over it. Ra'Shede hadn't dared think it possible earlier. He hadn't wanted to "overdream." Getting to college had been unlikely enough; staying there a major challenge. But now, deep into his final year at Minnesota, he risks having a dream. Weekend nights he stays away from the bars, sometimes walks by himself along the Mississippi River, which winds through the campus, his Beats by Dre pumping, and thinks. About where he's come from, where he's going, what's left to get there. He's come so far, gotten so close; he wants that next step.

Once the Gophers' season ends — he hopes with a bowl game of substance — he plans to go off to train. "I'm so hungry to go away and just starting training 100 percent for the Combine," he says. Someplace without any classes, without any study halls. Someplace where it's just him and his anger, channeled the right way, pushing his body to its limits. "That's like the ultimate vacation for me, to be by myself and train."

So much of what has defined him to this point are things he didn't have any control over. He had no choice about his birthparents, being taken from his mother, staying in foster homes, being placed in a white family. He had no say over his size or even what sport he pursued. That's why training for the Combine, the gateway to the NFL and final stop of his dream he has no Plan B holds such appeal. For that short time between the end of his college football career and his audition, he will be completely and wholly responsible for shaping his future, finally given the chance to direct his destiny.

* * *

Fourth quarter, the clock ticking down. The big screen scoreboard shows Minnesota leading improbably, 34-23. Nebraska has the ball. Ra'Shede had come out moments earlier when he got the wind knocked out of him. But now he's back in the game. Pressuring the quarterback  who puts up a pass that Minnesota picks off with only 16 seconds remaining.

In just seconds, the game will end, and the players will rush to the big M at the center of the field to rejoice in the school's first victory over Nebraska in 53 years. The student fans will spill over the walls and crowd around the players in a spontaneous celebration. But now, with 16 seconds remaining and victory certain, Ra'Shede skips off the field like a carefree kid.

And it looks like he's smiling.

Producer:Chris Mottram | Editor:Glenn Stout | Copy Editor:Kevin Fixler | Title Photo: USA Today Images

Hope on the high plains: Welcome to Wyoming, where one of Division I football's smallest and most passionate fan bases is braving the weather and waiting for a winner

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It's a 1976 Chinook. Bryan Stevens bought it from his parents, who bought it from his grandparents. There were countless camping trips in the Chinook, the interior of which still sports a Griswolds-in-Hell motif of wood paneling and green shag carpet.

Wyocamper_medium

"If we lose I'm heading back to Cheyenne tonight, but if we win? I've got a spot right here."

Often the Chinook provides shelter by necessity and not choice. Stevens has been forced to spend the night in the RV because of the Southeastern Wyoming weather, a feature of life that's lauded and cursed by the region's native-born in equal measure. In my "back-East logic," I assumed you'd have to hail from far-flung places like Jackson (380 miles away) or Cody (360) in order to get stranded while traveling. Nope.

I'm told that if the weather's threatening -- and it often is -- those folks just stay home. The real danger, the most dangerous stretch of road in the entire state, is the old Lincoln Highway, now U.S. Interstate 80. It runs from the University of Wyoming just 60 miles east to Cheyenne, the state capital and its most populated city. Between the two towns is Sherman Summit. With an elevation of 8,640, it's higher than UW's War Memorial Stadium, which gasses visiting teams at a mere 7,220 and can easily trap motorists for the night (or worse).

"I was stuck in my car out there the day I graduated," Stevens tell me.

Like, in May?

"Yeah, late May, actually."

One night two basketball seasons ago, Stevens trekked I-80 to a home basketball game against BYU in minus-50-degree February weather. When he was a member of the marching band at UW, he had to keep his saxophone's mouthpiece in his mouth at all times, lest the reed freeze. During a home game against New Mexico, he claims a sousaphone player's lips become stuck to his mouthpiece, requiring paramedic help, just like "A Christmas Story."

"You ever seen it snow on the Fourth of July? I have, and it looks awesome," one of Stevens' friends says. "You step outside and the fireworks going on, and it looks like ash is falling over the world."

***

At game time, the press box P.A. announces not only the outside temperature, but also the wind speed (Saturday's 8:15 p.m. kickoff was considered by all involved to be an unseasonably balmy 36, with mere 7 MPH winds).

"A lot of the Texas guys come up here and can't cut it off the field."

"A lot of the Texas guys come up here and can't cut it off the field. And honestly, it's no surprise if you've never been to a place like this," Stevens says.

He's referring to college football recruits, the sole resource that energy-rich Wyoming will likely forever be scant on. It's the 10th-largest state in the nation by area, but 50th by population, giving it the smallest marketing opportunity of any FBS program. There is currently only one Wyoming native on scholarship for football, senior tight end Spencer Bruce. The sole Wyoming signee of the Cowboys' 2013 class, Casper linebacker Ryan Anaya, left the team earlier in the season. Anaya, a two-star according to most recruiting services, was considered the top prospect in the state last season. Anaya's former teammate at Natrona County is three-star tackle Taven Bryan, who has committed to play at Florida, a first for the Gators. Without Bryan, the Cowboys currently have only one commitment for 2014, two-star Austin Fort of Gillette, Wyoming.

At tailgates dotted around War Memorial before Saturday's game, the consensus was simple, albeit depressing: you have to win to attract good players, and you have to have good players to win. So this is life in Wyoming if you care about college football.

After Saturday's 48-10 loss to BCS bowl contender and Mountain West favorite Fresno State, the Pokes are 4-5 on the season. Head coach Dave Christensen is now 26-33 in five seasons. Christensen has built an explosive offense centered around quarterback Brett Smith, but fired defensive coordinator Chris Tormey after giving up over 50 points in losses to Bronze Boot rival Colorado State and San Jose State. Like so many programs in the periphery, Wyoming has benefited from the advent of the up-tempo spread's ability to even out size and talent disparities, but suffered its wrath on defense.

Fresh to town is new UW President Bob Sternberg, formerly the Provost at Oklahoma State. As reported by the Casper Star-Tribune last week, Sternberg commissioned a $35,000 review of the men's basketball and football programs from an outside consulting firm, the results of which broke on Monday.

the review claims that a culture of acceptable mediocrity persists.

In short, even though Sternberg insists no blame is to be laid on any one player or coach and that the move was a "systems approach" to large-scale issues, the review claims that a culture of acceptable mediocrity persists inside Wyoming's two largest revenue-generating sports. Just as he's making local headlines for shaking up UW's academic rosters, so too does Sternberg seem set on making changes in athletics.

"There were a lot of heads in the sand. People thought certain things were acceptable, and they were wrong," Sternberg tells me Sunday afternoon. "You can talk about the altitude and the cold and the distance from a particular airport, but the reality is that we're not where we want to be. It's not like this is the first year football hasn't been where we want it to be. It's a trend."

Christensen's time at Wyoming echoes that of his predecessor, Joe Glenn's: an above-.500 season with bowl chances one year, then three or four wins the next, then back up to respectability, then back below .500. It's a classic sign of depth issues, a symptom of recruiting struggles. Sternberg has no immediate answer, but that doesn't mean he's willing to accept the current lack of solutions.

"There's always excuses for a sports program not winning or academic program not succeeding. And it's not that the excuses aren't true; it's that they aren't sufficient," Sternberg said.

***

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"He shot a 30-.06 from across the street. Went through the outside window and through the mirror. The bartender was standing where I am, and her man was in the seat next to yours. Shooter was her ex, and it was her new man sitting here. Everybody else saw him pull and hit the deck, but as the story goes, she didn't move. She might've known it was just for show."

This is The Buckhorn, Laramie's dean of bars. It's been open since the Wild West days, when prurient consumer demand from the railroad labor meant that the upstairs of almost every downtown building was a brothel of some shape or form. But the particular bullet that established the saloon's legend was fired in 1971, far past the era of lawless gunfighting.

it's that air of defiance that gives Wyoming its identity.

There's a sense about the community that the university's athletic marketing efforts should stay the hell away from images like The Buckhorn, with its hanging nooses and a mummified two-headed calf sitting above the bar. But it's that air of defiance that gives Wyoming its identity. With identity comes pride, and with pride comes the inexplicable, American urge to define one's provincial self by the success of college athletics. And so it is for T.J., a Jackson native, a recent UW grad and a future fracking engineer.

"Good God, I hate Nebraska. I hate that bullshit. I hate the state of Nebraska, but I hate people from here who cheer for Nebraska. If you like Nebraska, go move there and cheer there. Lincoln is a shit town. I wanted to beat them so bad this year," he says of the Cowboys' season-opening 37-34 loss at NU.

T.J., his friends and their tailgate -- of ribs and cheap tall-boy beers huddled around a single Coleman gas light -- are reason for hope for schools like Wyoming. Unlike so many directional programs across the country that enjoy consistent on-field success but labor in the shadow of bigger, more popular and more historic programs, there's minimal competition in the Rockies. Sternberg insists that the support is there. UW is the state's only four-year university, with no local pro teams to compete for attention, other than those two hours away in Denver.

"I don't think you can ever get past the weather to get players here. And whatever they think of a place like Wyoming. They probably think it's all cowboy stuff all the time," T.J. says.

Cowboy stuff is inescapable this far into High Lonesome, but the youth culture is still thriving. Shoulder-to-shoulder, shots-and-pitchers scenes dot around Grand Street in the quaint downtown, just like on any other American campus. The Buckhorn hosts the fresh-off-the-ranch brush-stomper crowd -- pumping quarters to hear Los Lobos and Hank Williams, drinking ponies of Coors in the mid-afternoon, and looking like a billboard for Kodiak snuff -- but after 10 p.m. it's packed with kids in Patagonia jackets swaying to Skrillex and Rick Ross.

It becomes increasingly hard to argue with T.J. and his fellow UW graduates. Outsiders find themselves entranced by the abundance of space and sky, which makes anything feel possible. Plus I've never had to sleep in a car snowbound on I-80, let alone tried to talk a running back out of Houston into spending four years avoiding that fate.

"Look at Tennessee. Tennessee isn't as good as Alabama with talent, and they can win," a tailgater says.

"Tennessee is shit. We beat Tennessee," T.J. responds.

Wyoming did beat the Vols in 2008, 13-7, just three years after recording back-to-back regular season wins against and at Ole Miss. That makes the Cowboys 3-0 vs. the SEC in their last three games [edit: 3-1 in their last four, counting a 2005 loss at Florida], a stat most non-BCS conference members would kill to boast.

"Eh," T.J. says. "I don't know what that really does for us."

Wyoming fans, I learn, are equal parts pragmatic and proud, but sweet enough in both to be forgiven for overlooking the obvious. If being a Cowboy football fan is so irresistible for Wyomingites, then the T.J.'s of the state shouldn't be tailgating nearly alone in a dark parking lot.

"I mean, I'm still going to show up. I love this place."

***

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By virtue of Fresno State's undefeated record and BCS hopes, the 8:30 p.m. MT kickoff is an extraordinarily late one for Cowboy fans, but there's still a respectable crowd.

As the Bulldogs begin to steam towards a second-half blowout, Bulldogs receiver Isaiah Bruce chases an overthrown Derek Carr fade straight into Cowboy Joe, a Shetland pony who serves as the team's official mascot.

"He's okay. He's totally okay," one of his handlers tells me in the fourth quarter. "Right now, he's just pretty sleepy. This is way past his bedtime."

Cowboy Joe is a miniature Ralphie, a diminutive little cannonball, whom his handlers warn is like any other live mascot.

they're a case study for programs outside of the automatic-qualifying conferences.

"A Shetand's nature is to pull, to tug. So yeah, we've been drug across this field before."

The Cowboys jump to a 10-0 lead thanks to a blocked Fresno field goal and a 79-yard inside rush from running back Tedder Easton. At that moment, the advantage is apparent: the cold air and altitude make the cold football zip. Three of Carr's early passes pop right off their intended receivers, and as momentum builds, an announced crowd of 15,700 is loud enough to help cause three Fresno false starts. Carr and Bulldogs head coach Tim DeRuyter would both mention the elements as a reason for their sluggish start, but the deeper and more talented team is able to adjust quickly. Two long second-quarter drives give the Dogs a 14-10 lead, portending the brutal blowout to come.

If there's one last sin we can place on the BCS, it's the ennui it causes among mid-major football fan bases nationwide. Wyoming might be alone in having to market August ice storms to defensive backs from Southern California, but they're a case study for programs outside of the automatic-qualifying conferences.

"We beat Fresno tonight, that's it for the Mountain West," T.J. surmises. "Boise's out this year, it's only Fresno State. I'm a Wyoming fan, and I want us to win every game, but I cheer for the Mountain West too because I want us to matter. How good is it to go to the New Mexico Bowl? Who cares?"

Had the Cowboys slowed Carr and pulled the upset, it would've cost the athletic department money. As it stands, undefeated Fresno could still make a BCS bowl, and doing so would bring in around $11 million in rev for the conference. That money would be divided and distributed to each institution. Losing to Fresno could make Wyoming more money than Wyoming could make by going to its own bowl game (Mountain West bowls paid between $300,00 and $1.1 million last year), provided the now-No. 14 Bulldogs win their remaining three games and finish no lower than 16th in the BCS standings.

"Would we have been better served to lose the game? No, absolutely not. When you break down the payments from a BCS bowl, it only ends up at around a half-million each," Wyoming athletic director Tom Burman responds. "We would have been better served winning that game on ESPN2 and winning down the stretch."

Wyoming fans and administrators don't like to think of MWC and WAC success stories like Fresno and Boise State as blueprints.

"I can't say we'd model ourselves after either. We've had a tremendous amount of success, and we can raise some dollars here. We've added a $11.5 million indoor practice facility and recently finished a $22 million facelift of our stadium that added luxury seating. We can raise dollars here in spite of the situation, because when we do things well, and we're competitive, people here go crazy."

***

Walking outside the stadium, I ask about the horses. There were hitching posts when I was here to cover a game in 2004, before the stadium and its surrounding area were modernized. It's a tale around locals that you used to be able to ride a horse anywhere in Laramie if needed, even to a college football game.

"No, haven't had any horses for a while. They've been cracking down on DUIs these couple of years."

I paused to write that down.

"Wait, are you a reporter? No, wait. Those two things aren't related," the fan says laughing. "Well, maybe, but not really."

You have to want to love Wyoming. Those who do require no explanation for surviving there. To those who don't, no reason to do so will suffice. That's a romantic notion, albeit a horrific recruiting pitch to college football players.

"It's not for everyone," T.J. advises. "But I couldn't imagine going to Colorado State."

A passerby summarizes rival CSU's Fort Collins, which sits just south of the border and boasts a travel magazine's vista of outdoor community yoga, brick-lined brewpubs and mountain outfitters.

"I mean, hey, I like Fat Tire, and I own a bicycle, and maybe it's just the rivalry thing, but it's hard not to want to punch someone in the face in that town. But that's probably because I'm from Wyoming."

On Friday nights, the UW marching band goes from bar to bar in Laramie, arriving unannounced, crowding the already crowded rooms and playing the Cowboys' fight song at full volume, followed by "In Heaven There Is No Beer." At once, the call-to-arms breaks the disaffected facade of college students and the well-earned, steely reserve of the real-life cowboys:

It's an old German folk song that fits Laramie by way of its reminder that paradise doesn't promise the comforts of the current day, even if we're just talking about a keg. Back at The Buckhorn, a local named Sam, who blows glass as a side business and works in a restaurant, tries to explain Wyoming fandom.

"It's Southern, or maybe Midwestern, but it's inverted. In the South, you might think it would be rude if someone passed you on the street and didn't say, ‘Oh hello! Hey, how are you?,' whereas here, not speaking to you, not wasting your time is being polite. People here are incredibly friendly, but it is self-contained. They're extending you the highest level of courtesy they have by staying out of your shit, but that doesn't mean they don't care about each other. They do. And even though there's that idea that everyone that's here is because they were moving away from something somewhere else, there's a great passion here. So they want to be proud and win like anyone else."

Producer:Chris Mottram | Editor:Jason Kirk | Title Photo: USA Today Images

Staying grounded: Chiefs vs. Broncos will hinge on the running game

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Every football season has a handful of games that are billed as "the biggest regular season game of the year" in the week leading up to kickoff. So far this year, the San Francisco at Seattle Sunday nighter and Peyton Manning’s return to Indianapolis were both promoted as such, before being quickly forgotten. Now, it’s time for Kansas City and Denver to step into the national spotlight for what seems like the biggest game of 2013 to date.

This game certainly has no shortage of storylines. Are the Chiefs for real? How’s Peyton Manning’s ankle? Will Von Miler break Derrick Thomas’ single game sack record as every Kansas City fan curses Eric Fisher in between heavy sobs? There are also plenty of matchups, such as Manning’s stats vs. Alex Smith’s wins and the Broncos' star-studded offense vs. the Chiefs' loaded defense.

There’s a lot at stake here, and there are plenty of angles to write about to be sure. But my focus is on the most important factor Sunday: Which team is able to take away their opponent’s running game and limit the big plays they create off of it.

These two offenses may seem different, but their play calling patterns are actually pretty similar. Both offenses are fairly conservative in the sense that they are designed to avoid negative plays and stay on schedule on the early downs. Both rely on short passes and runs to create third and shorts. You won’t see a lot of seven-, or even five-step drops on first down. When the teams do get a big play, it’s usually the result of a designed shot from an ideal down and distance (often 2nd and short from around midfield). They are very calculated.

That’s why the team that can control the other’s running game and force the issue on second down has the advantage. If either defense can stop how the other team wants to run, not only do they force the offense out of their comfort zone, they also take away most big shots against their defense. Here’s how each team wants to run it, and what the other will need to do to try to stop it.

When Kansas City has the ball:

The Chiefs have the more traditional NFL running game. They run a little bit of the gap/man scheme plays but rely primarily on inside and outside zone running schemes. The Chiefs have been effective running the outside zone or zone stretch play ever since Jamaal Charles broke into their backfield in 2009. Despite three different head coaches since then, the Chiefs best and base running play has remained the same. The coincidence in this matchup is that it was the Broncos that made this zone stretch scheme famous in the 1990s, using their undersized offensive line blocking for Terrell Davis and a bunch of other backs that all seemed to exist for the sole purpose of ruining your fantasy league.

There are two real ways the Chiefs make yards on their favorite play. The first is through Charles getting to the edge very quickly and outrunning the defense. This sounds simple, but it relies on Charles aiming for the outside shoulder of the edge defender as the back receives the ball. He runs in a straight line that direction, if the defender doesn’t jump out and keep contain, then Charles just stays on his course. When it works like this, it looks like the simplest play in football.

Both times the defensive end is completely wrong for getting hooked by Kansas City’s left tackle (and best offensive lineman) Branden Albert, but that’s what it looks like when defense lacks any semblance of gap integrity. The funny thing is, that despite being called outside zone, the play isn’t really designed to hit outside the tackle box like that.

The play is really set up to make the defense think the play is going outside before the running back sticks his foot in the ground and carves up the middle of the defense for big chunks of yards.

That is how the play is really designed to look, with the exception of the missed cut block by the right tackle. The play side of the offensive line gets their defenders moving laterally, while the backside tries to cut their men off to create a giant seam down the middle of the defense. Here, even though right tackle Donald Stephenson missed his cut block, he creates enough of a lane just by throwing himself at the defender’s legs. He doesn’t block him, but he slows his man down enough to allow Charles to explode through the hole. It's a gorgeous play when it’s run right.

One of the reasons Charles was able to get outside so easily in those first two GIFs is that teams are so used to this being a play designed to cut back -- K.C. can actually catch them off guard by just running straight outside. It’s probably why the Chiefs have had so much success over the years with this play. Charles -- more so than just about any running back in the league -- not only wants to run outside but has plenty of speed to get there. So if the defensive end cheats the play and hangs inside at all, Charles will go whizzing by him and the end will head to the bench to get a yelled at by his coach.

So, how do the Broncos go about slowing down the Chiefs' run game? It starts with their outside linebackers, Shaun Phillips and Von Miller. The key to stopping the stretch play is for the defense to set the edge. If the end man on the line of scrimmage for the defense can penetrate up the field while maintaining outside leverage, he creates a pile-up effect. That pile-up makes the runner cut it back too soon, while the rest of the defense is still in their gaps, and the whole thing looks like a giant mess.

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You can see in that play above that Giants defensive end Justin Tuck gets off the ball quickly and knocks Albert into the backfield a couple of yards. Just as importantly, Tuck maintains his outside leverage the entire play so Charles has no choice but to cut it back early into a very gap-sound defense. That’s a perfect example of setting the edge.

The Broncos are actually very well equipped to have continued success on the edges vs. K.C. Their outside linebackers play with great quickness off the ball and are consistently in the backfield before offensive tackles can engage them. On top of that, their inside linebackers are really great at coming downhill and taking on blocks in the hole. This play from the first quarter of the Chargers game demonstrates this.

Just like Tuck, Shaun Phillips does a great job of setting the edge here. He explodes off the ball and is a yard-and-a-half deep in the backfield by the time that the left tackle gets to him. That forces an immediate cutback from Ronnie Brown (who probably can’t beat anyone to the edge anyway). Phillips recognizes the play as it develops and does a nice job of throwing the left tackle outside and coming in to make a play. He actually doesn’t make the tackle, though, because the tackle grabs him, although somehow no hold was called. Still, a really nice play by Phillips flag or no flag.

Another key to Denver's run defense is Danny Trevathan. He’s not a household name, but he has good instincts in the running game. In the above GIF, he recognizes the play quickly and meets the fullback right on the line of scrimmage in the middle of the hole. The difference between meeting that lead blocker in the hole and even just a yard later is tremendous. If Trevathan is a little slow to the hole here, even if he stands the lead blocker up, Brown can squirt to either side of the block. But by engaging the block in the hole, Brown has to just try to lower his head and gain as many yards as possible by falling forward.

If the Broncos can get that kind of play from their linebackers consistently, they have a very good chance of shutting down K.C.’s base running game. That’s not to say that the Chiefs are going to be stuck relying on Alex Smith airing it out 40 times -- there are some things that Kansas City can do to take advantage of Denver’s edge rushers and aggressive downhill linebackers. There was one play the Chargers ran that the Chiefs should absolutely steal.

It was an outside zone concept where the right end and fullback switched responsibilities. The Chargers had their tight end arc release immediately to the safety and they left the defensive end for the fullback. Here’s what it looked like.

Von Miller feels Antonio Gates running absurdly wide and rightly abandons hope of staying outside him to start penetrating up field. He sees the fullback coming at him and I likely assumes the fullback is going to try kick him out, so Miller tries to wrong-arm it (rip underneath it with his outside arm) and spill it outside. At the last second though, Miller sees what’s happening and redirects outside and forces a hold. But if the fullback doesn’t hold Miller, and just gets a decent block, the Chargers have a big play.

I’m guessing the Chargers saw that that the Broncos edge guys like to penetrate up the field early and come underneath late (just like Phillips did in that earlier play). This play does a great job of taking advantage of the Broncos aggressiveness by allowing Miller to rush up the field and hope he jumps inside, without really changing what the Chiefs would do.

The other thing the Chiefs need to do is try to take advantage of how aggressively Denver closes distance up front. Denver’s defense is really good at eating up space vacated by blockers. By that I mean that if the man closest to them moves away, the Denver defense will close down aggressively and constrict room from the offense.

Aggression makes a defense susceptible to misdirection plays. Kansas City has done a good job of using bootlegs and half roll-outs off their outside zone game to create shots down the field. If the backside defenders on Denver’s defense start tackling Charles on running plays away, don’t be surprised if Smith keeps it and unloads one down the field.

In that clip above, the defensive end is closing down the line of scrimmage aggressively because he has to maintain his gap and negate any cutback lanes from Charles. He can afford to be that aggressive because if Charles tries to cut it all way back outside of him, the safety should be right there. But when Smith keeps the ball on a pass play, the safety has to stay in coverage and now no one has contain. That allows Smith to just post up in the pocket and scan from left to right deep down the field without any pressure.

But again, this isn’t the type of play Kansas City will run on the vast majority of their early-down situations, so if the Broncos can shut down the base plays, they don’t have to worry about the elaborations off of them as much.

A final thing Kansas City should try is a little of the triple option they ran against Dallas earlier this year. With the way Denver’s outside linebackers play, I can just about guarantee that Smith will get a pull read and I think they’ll have a 2-on-1 on a corner. Just something to look out for.

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When Denver has the ball:

Denver’s running game is very different from Kansas City’s, but it can be equally effective. The Broncos attack isn’t particularly complicated. They run a lot from shotgun and they tend to lean on inside zone with the occasional single back power or outside zone.

Whereas the key to K.C.’s running game is forcing teams to respect Charles’ ability to beat you outside at any time, the key to Denver’s running game is that they always go where they outnumber the opposition. Denver will spread a defense out and if the defense doesn’t spread out with them, Denver will throw. If the defense does spread, they’ll run. The Broncos may be the only team in the NFL that consistently has not one, but two more guys in the box than the defense has.

That’s an eight-man to six-man advantage in favor of the offense in the above GIF. People have been talking about the emergence of Knowshon Moreno, but it’s been more the disappearance of box defenders that has charged the Broncos running game. There are a lot of running games that would look pretty good playing eight-on-six.

The problem with only running it when you have a clear numbers advantage is that you’ll probably end up throwing it too much. Peyton Manning is great and I’m not sure anybody has a better group of receiving threats, but if you start throwing 50-60 times a game you’re going to see too many second- and third-and-10s. So the Broncos have done what a lot of teams are doing and started using wide receiver screens as substitutes for running plays. It’s a high-percentage completion where it’s hard to end up with anything worse than a few-yard gain, so from a drive-planning standpoint, there is virtually no difference between a wide receiver screen and handing the ball off.

It’s not that the Broncos are the first ones to think of this concept, college spread teams have been doing it for at least 15 years now and the 00’s Patriots were also very fond of these types of plays. It’s just that Denver is executing them better than anybody else right now. One screen they’ve been particularly great with is a tunnel screen to Demaryius Thomas out of a trips formation.

There really isn’t much to explain here. The Broncos receievers do a nice job of blocking on the outside and the linemen hustle and move well enough to make a couple of downfield blocks. In both of these cases, the Broncos have advantageous looks from the defense, but that’s the point. If the Broncos don’t have the numbers outside, they can just change the play and hand it off to Moreno.

The one area where they are really ahead of the curve is using their wide receiver screen game to set up passing plays down the field. If wide receiver screens are truly a running game substitute, it would make sense that you should be able to fake them and take a shot deep. Isn’t that how the forward pass was first used, as a high-reward gamble occasionally taken to keep the defense honest?

The Broncos are the first team that has done this consistently. In particular, the Broncos have run these plays in situations and areas of the field where play action passes have always been popular.

That play is from the Broncos first game of the season. They ran it the first play after getting a turnover. Coaches love taking play action shots to the end zone the first play after a turnover, and the fact that Denver went with a fake screen just furthers the theory that their screen game is just a more explosive version of running game.

The play itself is essentially just double verticals from the two inside receivers. It’s a play that Denver has used a couple of time this year, and one they particularly like on the fringe of their opponents' red zone between 20-35 yard line.

There it is again versus the Jaguars, but with Wes Welker playing the role of Julius Thomas. The personnel adjustment is something good teams do, so they can keep running their best gadget plays (I would consider a fake screen a gadget play still) without tipping off the defense.

You’ll notice each of those last two plays came from Denver’s side of the field, which is where Denver starts taking their shots. Manning may throw deep occasionally on his side of the field, but it’s typically off quick drops on seam routes where there are plenty of shorter options. Denver will usually wait before they call up something that is down the field or check down.

So, how does Kansas City take away Denver’s run game? Defensive coordinator Bob Sutton is going to have decide how he wants to try to force the Broncos to beat them. The Colts had some success playing a lot of press man with a two-deep shell versus Denver. It messes up the timing on Denver’s short routes, and it’s really hard to run wide receiver screens against press man. The problem is that the very first GIF I showed from the Broncos offense (the run to Moreno) is from when a defense played that coverage.

The Chiefs have the luxury of changing up their looks. There are plays where you show a sparse box and dare them to run and challenge your front seven guys to hold up. What’s the point of having Dontari Poe, Derrick Johnson, Tamba Hali, and Justin Houston if you can’t rely on them to win some individual matchups and beat an occasional double team? They play shorthanded inside on first downs and hope they can keep Moreno under four yards consistently there.

Their secondary has guys like Eric Berry, Brandon Flowers, and Sean Smith. Those are big, physical players that should be able to press and run with the Broncos, and K.C. shouldn't be afraid to leave them alone on the outside particularly in second-and-long situations. Make the Broncos complete a pass to avoid a low-percentage third down, and certainly don’t let them give it to Moreno for an easy three yards.

One thing I don’t expect to see a lot of is blitzing. I think the Chiefs greatest strength on defense is their ability to generate pressure with just four rushers, particularly if three of those four are Poe, Houston, and Hali. If they can do that to Manning, they have a great chance of slowing Denver down.

Producer:Chris Mottram | Title Photo: Getty Images

Sunday Shootaround: The impossibility of playing to lose in the NBA

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Where tank is a four-letter word

Arron Afflalo hates to lose. The very thought consumes him. It bothers him at night and it frustrates him during the day. Winning to him is little more than a temporary solution. That doesn’t make Afflalo unique in the NBA. Nobody makes it to the league because they’re comfortable with losing.

Yet circumstances beyond their control can thrust players into difficult situations, like the one Afflalo is in with the Orlando Magic. For the first five years of his career, Afflalo was part of a steady winner in Denver. As part of the Dwight Howard trade, he has had to adjust to lowered expectations and the reality of a rebuilding process. He understands that, but does he accept it? No.

"I don’t think I will ever grow into accepting losing. It’s just not my makeup," Afflalo said after the Magic were crushed by the Celtics on Monday. "People can tell you to harness your frustration or it’s a process, and those things are very true, but day in and day out I’m just a person who doesn’t like to lose."

Scattered among teams like the Magic are veterans like Afflalo who are trying to make the best of their situations. He’s the player who sets an example, both on the court and off, for his younger teammates to emulate. It’s part of the game and a cruel one at that.

Afflalo is in the prime of his career and playing excellent basketball. In the offseason he altered his diet and got in peak condition. Primed for a big season, he came into the weekend averaging better than 21 points a game while shooting over 50 percent from behind the arc. Known as a quintessential 3-and-D player, Afflalo has increased his rebounding percentage and playmaking numbers. Put him on a contender and he’d be a household name.

Just 28, Afflalo is not old in any conventional sense, not even by the standards of the NBA that fetishizes young players and potential more than experience and results. But on the Magic, he’s an elder statesman on a team where six of the Magic’s top nine rotation players are 24 years and younger.

"Sometimes that’s the reality of the situation," Afflalo said. "In my eyes, I expect to win no matter what team I’m on. I expect to be in the playoffs. I don’t care if I’m the first or eighth seed, I just expect to be there. Last year was a first for me and that was tough to handle. I don’t want to play basketball that way again."

It’s paramount for teams like the Magic to have veterans like Afflalo and Jameer Nelson around to show the young players what life is really like in the NBA. For years teams have tried to get away with simply letting the kids run wild and, unless there’s a Kevin Durant on hand, the results have generally been disastrous. The key is getting vets who 1) can still play and 2) handle their business like pros.

"We have a good mix where the young guys see veterans who have been there before and we have really good veterans who have a really good influence on our locker room," Magic coach Jacque Vaughn said. "Their approach to the game, how they carry themselves, has been great for our young guys to see. But our young guys have been able to play and it’s nothing like playing. You can’t duplicate that except by being on the floor."

No, you can’t. And that’s the trick. The veterans can help, but they can’t do so at the expense of the younger players who need time on the court to develop. While Afflalo, Nelson and Jason Maxiell all start, Vaughn has received solid contributions from second-year players Moe Harkless and Andrew Nicholson. Center Nikola Vucevic established himself last season as a double-double machine and rookie Victor Oladipo is getting quality minutes off the bench.

That’s the core of whatever the Magic will be in the future and, Monday night’s loss to the Celtics aside, they have been more competitive than last season thanks in large part to a defense that has tightened up considerably. That’s a huge part of the learning curve. While the focus is on the lottery for many fans and observers, there’s work to be done during the season and the draft is the furthest thing from veteran players’ minds.

"Professional guys don’t go out and play to lose. I know that for a fact." -Al Jefferson

Take Charlotte forward Al Jefferson, who has been part of multiple rebuilding projects throughout his career. Once he was part of the Celtics’ youth movement that bottomed out in 2006-07 with a 24-win team."I try to forget about it," Jefferson said when the Bobcats came through Boston. "It was a rebuilding year, that’s all I can say. It was a lot of long nights."

The specters of Durant and Greg Oden hung over the Celtics that season from start to finish. Everyone knew it, including the players who didn’t want to hear about losing games and ping pong balls.

"Professional guys don’t go out and play to lose," Jefferson said. "I know that for a fact. Everybody wants to win."

The Bobcats got Jefferson because he can score, but they also got him to help their young players improve. It’s not just about getting minutes and scoring points. Development has to take place at a team level, as well as a personal one.

"That’s one of the misnomers about player development," said Charlotte coach Steve Clifford. "People look at player development like a guy shoots better, or his ballhandling gets better. There are a lot of guys who have the talent to play in the league but they never grasp the team concept. Although their skills may get better, it doesn’t matter if they can’t function with the other four guys on the floor. To me it all goes together."

Jefferson helps make the Bobcats a functioning team and Clifford has been encouraged by what he has seen from the big man, who returned to the lineup after missing the first five games with a sprained ankle. It’s not just on the court, but behind the scenes as well. He likes how his team practices and prepares, which may not sound like much, but it’s actually an important first step in creating a culture.

"In this league, with your best players particularly, it’s a partnership," Clifford said. "These guys are pro players. They’re men, grown men. How well you practice, how hard you work is dictated much more by their outlook than how much impact a coach has on them. You have your role in setting a tone, but it’s the relationship you develop so they will embrace the work part of it. You’re relying on the better players in the locker room so they will set the tone."

Of course there’s nothing better than leading by example on the court and in games. In a win over the Celtics that put them at 4-4, Jefferson went for 22 and 11 and was the best player on the court.

"He's an elite low-post scorer," Clifford said. "He’s a much, much better defender than I had realized, but the thing that’s coming through now is his competitiveness. He badly wants to win."

Back in Orlando after the disappointing loss to the Celtics, Afflalo scored a career-high 36 points, making eight of 11 three-pointers on Wednesday in a win over the Bucks. Vaughn praised his player’s effort, calling it "courageous" after the Magic came out with low energy. It was a reminder to his young teammates about professionalism from a player who hates to lose.

OvertimeMore thoughts from the week that was

Over the summer, Damian Lillard took a long look at his game. On the surface there was a lot to like about a season that saw him average 19 points and six assists en route to a unanimous Rookie of the Year selection. He was a precocious rookie who walked right into Portland’s starting lineup and took control with a veteran’s mastery of the pick and roll. But Lillard was looking deeper than raw numbers and highlights.

"I saw that I was pre-determining with a lot of things," Lillard said after a pregame workout in Boston. "I’m coming off to score this time, or I’m coming off to pass this time. I think now I’m better at coming off and making a read and feeling the game out. Last year I was like, man I got to make an impact. Just try to help win games. Now that I’ve got a year under my belt, now I understand what I need to do to make us a good team. I understand what I do to make myself effective. It all comes a lot easier this year."

Not all improvements are made in the gym. The step he felt like he had to make was more mental than physical. If last season was about working through situations, this year is about making things easier on himself and for his teammates.

"Last year I was like, man I got to make an impact ... Now I understand what I need to do to make us a good team." -Damian Lillard

"The game is a lot slower." Lillard said. "Last year was in a rush for me. I was using my speed and my quickness. Now it’s more change of pace. I don’t have to work as hard because now everything is slowing down and I see things faster than I would have last year."

It helps that Lillard has been with the Blazers’ core group of players for a full season. It also helps that GM Neil Olshey brought in reinforcements in the offseason to beef up a bench that was one of the worst in the league. Better depth means slightly fewer minutes, but it also means fewer difficult minutes.

"He’s a smart young man and a smart basketball player," Blazers coach Terry Stotts said. "Last year I think he did it out of sheer will and this year he’s taking more of a cerebral approach to it. He willed himself last year with the minutes he played and the level he played and the way he bounced back from a subpar game. He was criticized for his defense, which I think was not as deserving as it was built up. He gave good effort but he had to play a lot of minutes and he had to give a lot on the offensive end."

Not that there weren’t tangible things that Lillard sought to improve. He worked on his mid-range game and added a floater. He wanted to cut down on his turnovers, which he has done through the early part of the season, and also improve his efficiency. That last part is a work in progress, but while his field goal percentage is down, his three-point accuracy is up and he’s trying to take better shots within the flow of the system.

"Last year I was looking for my shot," he said. "Not in a selfish way, but I was trying to impact the game. Now I’m getting easier shots because I’m coming out and getting other guys going. My rhythm gets easier being more of a floor general to start the game and letting it come to me."

Viewers GuideWhat we'll be watching this week

MONDAY Blazers at Nets

Is it too early to worry about the Nets? More specifically, at what point do we begin to worry seriously about Kevin Garnett? KG is barely shooting 30 percent and looking very much like a player who is on his last legs. Having lived through the last half-dozen KG years, there is never a good time to declare that Garnett has lost it. See: 2012, "I hear you all calling me old." Garnett will always get the benefit of the doubt from this corner, but concern? There’s always concern.

TUESDAY Hawks at Heat

The Eastern Conference is top heavy, weak at the bottom and larded with mediocrity in the middle. Somewhere in that mix are the Hawks, who boast an excellent player in Al Horford, a decent supporting cast and a top-10 offense and a better than average defense. There’s an opening here for Atlanta to emerge, but the Hawks are perpetually stuck in neutral.

WEDNESDAY Pacers at Knicks

It’s funny how things work out in this game. Chris Copeland was a cause celebre during last May’s playoff series, the fulcrum on whom all debates about Mike Woodson’s lineups revolved. Indiana gave him a nice chunk of change to be a floor-spacing big, but he has been buried behind Luis Scola in the rotation. At least there’s a reason he’s not playing.

THURSDAY Clippers at Thunder

Petition to have the Clippers play every Thursday night … oh wait, they already are.

FRIDAY Spurs at Grizzlies

Speaking of getting worried, the Grizzlies have been a shambles to start the season. Their offense is still stuck in a morass of poor shooting, spacing and lack of playmakers. But it’s their defense that’s been an even bigger problem, ranking in the lower fifth in points allowed and fouling way too much. There’s no room to take even a tiny step back in the West.

SATURDAY Blazers at Warriors

The Warriors are the best thing to happen to late night TV since Letterman started doing Stupid Human Tricks and becoming more than just a cult favorite. Should we take them seriously? Considering their lights out shooting, strong depth and top-five defense, a better question is, why aren’t you taking them seriously?

SUNDAY Suns at Magic

If you’re going to rebuild, play your young guys. If you’re going to play young guys, play fast on offense, sound on defense and let them learn from their mistakes. Basically, be more like the Suns and Magic.

The ListNBA players in some made up category

Everyone loves lists, especially completely arbitrary lists like this one. This week: Top five tanking teams.

Note: This is not about lottery positioning. This has nothing to do with losing games. This is about making the most of what many expect will be a lost season.

1. Phoenix: In the offseason, new GM Ryan McDonough traded every veteran he could and loaded up on draft picks and rookie contracts. He turned the team over to Eric Bledsoe and the results have been eye-opening. Bledsoe is thriving in first-year coach Jeff Hornacek’s free-flowing system and Markieff Morris been a revelation. McDonough is building something in the desert, but not at the expense of the long-range goal.

2. Orlando: There will be some bad nights of course, but the Magic are going about this the right way with six of their top nine rotation players under 24 years old. If the defense holds, this is a team that will catch a few people by surprise and continue to develop. It’s not just about getting that transcendent talent, it’s also about putting the right players around them. The Magic are figuring out what they have.

3. Boston: The best thing about the Celtics is that first-year coach Brad Stevens has been as advertised. He’s calm, cool and collected on the sidelines and is generating positive reviews from his players for his practice methods and gameplans. The C’s lack the top end development talent that Phoenix and Orlando have, so getting Stevens up to speed is the top priority this season. The most encouraging sign? A top-10 defense, emblematic of a team that plays hard and together.

4. Philadelphia: We all have jokes about the Sixers’ early-season success, but let’s be clear about one thing: There is no upside to losing 70 games. None. It’s demoralizing, horrible and can set a franchise back years. The Sixers have to be encouraged by rookie Michael-Carter Williams and the play of Evan Turner, who is turning himself into a potential trade possibility. That’s the idea. Those potential lottery picks at the end of the year are the bonus.

5. Charlotte: Steve Clifford has done a fine job with this Bobcats crew that for years lacked organization, direction and a clear purpose. Already he is getting solid production from Michael Kidd-Gilchrist and has the Cats playing an entertaining style. Given time and talent, Clifford can turn this thing around, but the talent has a long way to go.

ICYMIor In Case You Missed It

The Chicago Convention

Andrew Wiggins, Julius Randle and Jabari Parker all put on a show in Chicago on Tuesday night. Ricky O’Donnell was there for The Convention.

Thunder U

Jonathan Tjarks is bullish on the Thunder’s stash of young talent. This is how Sam Presti assembled the other pieces.

On the leaky Rockets

The Rockets are a sieve on defense and Mike Prada says it’s not all James Harden’s fault. He has pictures and everything.

Artists of the Trade Machine

Read The Hook. Read it every day, especially when Ziller goes deep on Omer Asik trades and impressionism.

Say WhatRamblings of NBA players, coaches and GMs

"That (Jabari Parker) kid is amazing. I think he is the best player in the country. Him and (Andrew) Wiggins are like '1A' and '1B.' Those guys are going to do the one-and-done thing, do it early. They are going to do really well in college and lead their teams to, I think, the Final Four. That's kind of like, 'Close your eyes and pick one.' You're good with either one of those guys."-- Kevin Durant, to Yahoo!'s Marc Spears.

Reaction: The ‘Wiggins can be a Hall of Famer’ quote from Durant is getting all the attention, but this is actually a stronger point. The top pick will be debated all year long, but the top of this draft class is so strong that simply getting into the lottery is the play this season; not blowing up a season to try and get the top pick.

"I'm always in trouble with Twitter. I don't know what it is. Trying to shake it."-- J.R. Smith after a brief mini-feud with Brandon Jennings over social media.

Reaction: Maybe don't tweet?

"Obscene gesture?"-- Sam Cassell to ESPN’s Marc Stein, about the NBA fining players for his signature big shot move in which he congratulated himself on the size of his testicles.

Reaction: If the world isn’t safe for the Sam Cassell Dance, then that’s a world we don’t want to live in, honestly.

"As an American, I wouldn't like to think that an American team would want to lose or create situations where you would want to lose. I can't even fathom -- I can't go there. I can't believe that that would happen. Maybe I'm naive and I'm going to go read a fairy tale after this."-- Mike KrzyzewskiReaction: The Russians don’t like to lose either, Mike. Same with Chileans, Italians and Zambians.

This Week in GIFsfurther explanation unnecessary

Xavier Henry

Jeff Withey's valor is a key piece of what makes the GIF great. Fruitless valor, alas.

Kevin Love

Mack Brown would recruit K-Love as a right tackle.

Andrea Bargnani

Juuuuust a bit off there, Bargs.

Halftime bliss

Only this can save us from a season without Red Panda

Designer:Josh Laincz | Producer:Chris Mottram | Editor:Tom Ziller

Requiem for a welterweight: Manny Pacquiao may be broke, but is he broken, too?

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You’re Joe Louis, aged thirty-seven, a main-event heavyweight. You were the greatest champion of your time. But you’re trapped by the fight racket which you conquered.”— Jimmy Cannon

After eight frustrating years, four controversial fights, 42 contentiously scored rounds, with over 500 punches landed from more than 1,800 thrown, after two grueling hours of opportunity under the spotlight, on Dec. 8, 2012, Juan Manuel Marquez finally landed the punch of a lifetime against Manny Pacquiao. It happened with just one second left in the sixth round of their mythic saga. Pacquiao charged forward to land one final blow before the bell, and instead added his own momentum to Marquez's immaculately-timed, coup de grace right-hand, which landed flush against Pacquiao's jaw. On TV, when the punch landed, Pacquiao's back was to the camera. The reverberations of the impact were only detectable through the sudden jolt of Pacquiao's wet hair on the back of his head.

But isn't this a staple of wrestling, meant to fool? Since the punch itself had landed with such comic book emphasis, the traction of the unfolding human drama, along with reality, became unhinged and, for an instant, suspended. In confusion and disbelief, many people watching around me in a New York bar laughed in horror. As Charlie Chaplin famously pointed out, from a distance, a man slipping on a banana peel or stumbling down a manhole is funny. It's something altogether different up close. And since Pacquiao had fallen face-first and remained motionless, almost fastened to the canvas, there were no cues.

Marquez was the first person in the world to understand the night was over. No matter how much anyone had paid to watch in the sellout crowd at the MGM Grand or the millions around the world watching on pay-per-view, they had to wait. We'd seen the punch; he'd thrown it. As the referee rushed over to the fallen man, time stood still, postcard-like, while Marquez gazed down at Pacquiao like an anxious, nervous kid staring at Christmas presents under a tree.

Boxing’s not so well kept dirty secret is that, financially, most fighters can never stop.

One of the oldest sayings in boxing, the first warning every aspiring fighter hears long before they've ever entered a ring, is that the most dangerous punch, the one to fear most, is the one you never see coming. While the cliché is certainly true at the start of a career, it rarely holds up toward the end. This is because almost none of the great fighters in history ever stopped after that punch  and the history of the sport suggests that few can ever escape it. Pacquiao, despite earning a reported $174 million since 2009 from boxing and endorsements deals, is no different.

Why? Because, of course, boxing's not so well kept dirty secret is that, financially, most fighters can never stop. No matter how outlandish a fortune they've earned inside the ring and out, most greats not only never get ahead, few can even manage getting out from under. They never put much distance between themselves and where they came from. With few exceptions, they all end up desperately needing one more payday. And then another. And then another. Most are forced to hang around so long their endings are consummated by the uglier, more sinister punch that they all saw coming a mile away. Joe Louis, at 37 years old, was never blindsided by the physical punches that Rocky Marciano landed to knock him helplessly out of the ring and the sport. No, the punch he never saw coming and what set him up for Marciano's right hand was debt  in his case, to the government. Louis owed the IRS $500,000 and had nowhere else to go and get it but back into the ring.

Nearly all the greats were forced to stick around for those last final beatings, the ones that did lasting damage to their souls as much as their brains. If "protect yourself at all times" is boxing's most vital rule to obey, surely the most devastating blow in the sport is the one you do see coming, the one you're simply helpless to escape its impact.

Why is it so many of boxing's greatest heroes  Louis, Sugar Ray Robinson, Muhammad Ali, Mike Tyson  were forced to stare down this last tragic fate and await their inevitable descent into boxing's latest cautionary tale? In the so-called "red light district of sports," the only jungle where, as Don King's biographer Jack Newfield once pointed out, "the lions are afraid of the rats," why can so few great fighters walk away undamaged with any money in their pocket? Will Pacquiao be any different? And why, despite the millions, should we expect him to be? Maybe in the sport of boxing, "cautionary tale" is too generous a title for a fallen champion: They end up just another punchline.

“Jokes? There are no jokes. The truth is the funniest joke of all.”— Muhammad Ali

For a minute there, Dec. 8, 2012 might have become boxing's equivalent of Nov. 22, 1963, the day Kennedy was killed. One second Pacquiao, the 21st century's most beloved fighter, was ahead on the scorecards and charging. The next he disappeared under Marquez's fist just as the bell tolled to end round six. At first, arrestingly, it wasn't clear just how far down Pacquiao might fall. The referee certainly saw enough of the damage up close that he never bothered to count. Then, it began to register on those watching ringside that they may have witnessed what amounted to a public execution in the ring. Pacquiao remained motionless, possibly lifeless, until his cornermen rushed the ring in tears, followed by a doctor. Marquez jogged away from his fallen opponent, fist aloft, leaping atop the opposite turnbuckle as the Las Vegas crowd detonated into hysteria, flexing his biceps in vindication for three previously contentious battles. Whatever battles Pacquiao had won in their three previous contests, Marquez had now, with perhaps fatal finality, won the war.

It seemed possible that Pacquiao’s name would be the latest name added to boxing’s most sinister list.

Death isn't without precedent in the ring. It happened again only recently, when boxer Francisco Leal died of a brain injury at the end of October. A week later, on Nov. 2, at Madison Square Garden, Magomed Abdusalamov's was so badly damaged after 10 rounds he suffered a blood clot in his brain that forced doctors to put him into a medically induced coma. Abdusalamov suffered a stroke soon after and, with the help of a machine, still fights to survive today from his hospital room.

But no one with Pacquiao's visibility has died, let alone in a fight of the magnitude he fought against Marquez, one broadcast around the world. The first widely televised ring death dates back to 1962, with Emile Griffith battering the life out of Benny Paret until he collapsed into a coma and died 10 days later. An even larger audience watched Duk Koo Kim endure 14 rounds of punishment from Ray "Boom Boom" Mancini, only to succumb to brain injuries four days later. With reporters in press row parsing "lifeless" from dead in most of their ledes, it seemed possible that Pacquiao's name would be the latest name added to boxing's most sinister list.

"Yeah, he laid there too long for me," Freddie Roach told me this summer, back at his Wild Card Gym in Los Angeles. "He laid there too long for me not to move. I says to myself, ‘Is he fucking dead?'"

And Roach certainly wasn't alone in his reaction, based on the sound of Pacquiao's wife, Jinkee's, agonized screams from the front row in Vegas.

"I mean," Roach sighed, "it was scary. But, you know, he got up. He was fine. He talked to me clearly. You know, he knew what happened. And you know, that's part of life."

My first phone call after the fourth Pacquiao/Marquez fight was to filmmaker Leon Gast. Gast had been an extremely generous mentor and friend to me while making my first documentary about super bantamweight champion and Cuban defector Guillermo Rigondeaux, who had fought on one of Pacquiao's undercards in 2010. It was the first time I'd ever witnessed an entourage anything like the one that Pacquiao had following him around. It was said Pacquiao had an entire country behind him, but the sheer size of his mob convinced me he also carried a good portion of the entire Filipino population in tow (and on the payroll). Even then, Gast had pointed out that the entourage posed a far graver threat to Pacquiao's livelihood than any opponent in the ring. The Academy Award winning director of "When We Were Kings," a film on Muhammad Ali, a movie that culminated in the "The Rumble in the Jungle" in Zaire, perhaps Ali's career-defining victory. Gast had been working for years on a Pacquiao documentary, similar in scope.  Of course, Gast's documentary and most others omit the aftermath, Ali cruelly silenced and imprisoned in his body by Parkinson's disease. The film offered a coda where people discussed the consequences of Ali's career on his health, but it didn't let you see it.

Gast, like the rest of the boxing public, had made no secret of the desire to see Pacquiao and Floyd Mayweather Jr. square off in a fight destined to serve as Pacquiao's defining moment. A week later, I interviewed Leon at his home in Woodstock, N.Y., where he's currently at work cutting the Pacquiao documentary. I asked Leon if the fight that now likely won't happen, the fight that disappeared when Marquez sent Pacquiao to the canvas, Pacquiao vs. Mayweather, could have been our generation's version of Ali and Foreman in Zaire.

"Bigger," Leon corrected, shaking his head. "There's no question in my mind it would have been the biggest, most important fight since Muhammad Ali and Joe Frazier fought in Madison Square Garden. I was there at that fight back in 1971. I know how big it was. The Fight of the Century doesn't begin to describe what the energy was like to actually be there that night. Forget the money people throw around, Pacquiao and Mayweather had that kind of potential for something important.

"But now we're crying over spilled milk. Floyd doesn't need it anymore and besides, I'm convinced [promoter] Bob Arum was never going to allow that fight to happen had Pacquiao survived Marquez or not. But Pacquiao sure might still need it."

That’s exactly how these guys get fucked up. God help us, here we go again.”

Ali_medium

"So now you have to end the film with that fourth Marquez fight?" I asked. "Is that the ending for the film? Isn't that too much of downer?"

"Déja vu all over again," Leon laughed. "It's boxing. Muhammad Ali fought 14 times after Zaire. Fourteen times. And you know, that's exactly how these guys get fucked up. God help us, here we go again."

"Is the parallel that obvious?" I asked. "You see what's happening to Pacquiao as the same that happened to Muhammad Ali at the end?"

"Same old story. All of 'em on down. All the greatest Joe Louis, Sugar Ray Robinson, Ali, Tyson. All their careers ended with them either broke, busted up, or both. Ali had nothing left after Berbick and Holmes. Why did he take those fights in the first place? Nothing left. It's criminal he was allowed to take those fights in the first place. A medical board gave him a license in the state he was in? Forget about it. Totally criminal. And you know something, he got lucky after they were over. That licensing deal he was offered that he got millions off of? Ali was lucky. Without that deal, Ali was bust. As a country, our track record with these guys isn't pretty. Look at the rest of 'em in boxing. Where do they all end up? I just hope that after Marquez, Pacquiao doesn't get seriously hurt in his next fight. Or the one after that. I mean, he's one more knockout loss away from just becoming another name, just another stepping stone for whoever is on the way up. And for all this guy has done in the sport? I mean, how ugly is that?"

"Can he ever stop?" I asked.

"Never," Gast laughed. "Never, never, never."

"Can he come back from that knockout against Marquez?"

"Who knows? You saw what happened to Pacquiao after Marquez laid him out. Freddie Roach thought he was dead. He wasn't dead, but they'll still bleed him dry. To come back from that kind of loss and fight against a young, tough kid like [Brandon] Rios? That's a very precarious move right there. Not for anybody making it happen, of course, but for Manny. But then he can never stop fighting. They never can. Too many bills and expenses. The lifestyle destroys them as much as any opponent. And everybody with their hand in Pacquiao's pocket knows he can't escape. You know, for them, the more in debt the better. He has to keep going."

"What are the expenses?" I asked.

"You name it," Leon laughed. "Where do we start?"

"From what I've heard? Taxes? Political campaigns? Women? Jinkee's political campaign? Gambling "

"You left out the Church," Leon cut me off and moaned. "You have no idea what kind of tithe is going their way now that he's tried to clean up his act. Everybody's hand is out. Manny can't say no to anyone. The entourage. The charities. Lawsuits. Taxes. The fucking presidential run in the Philippines is coming up. Jesus. All those taxes on his real estate in Los Angeles and everything back in the Philippines. He has staff hired just to say no to people who come at him with open hands. Why do you think he has to keep borrowing those advances from Bob Arum? Even with all those massive pay-per-view paydays and he's borrowing money? Boxing is just such a ... it's a wretched sport."

And that was before Typhoon Haiyan. How many hands will be out now, and how can he refuse? Pacquiao has released a "statement to the people," saying he will "send help to those who need it most," and his adviser Michael Koncz told the Associated Press, "Absolutely, he is dedicating this fight to the victims of this."

Maybe if Pacquiao either dies or suffers permanent damage in the ring, fighting for his people, perhaps he'll end up even more bankable. Before all this is done, martyrdom might be the most convenient justification for the sum of far too many foul parts that surround Pacquiao's lasting legacy.

“The world breaks everyone, and afterward, many are strong at the broken places.”— Ernest Hemingway

Pacquiao was born the fourth of six siblings on Dec. 17, 1978 in the town of Kibawae, in the Bukidnon province of the Philippines. Pacquiao ran away from home as a child, leaving the day he discovered life had gotten so desperate that his father had actually eaten the family dog. He lived off the streets, often slept in a cardboard box, and sold doughnuts for a nickel to survive. As a 14-year-old, Pacquiao moved to Manila and continued his fight out of poverty by turning to boxing. He had a solid amateur career, winning 60 of 64 fights. After the death of a close friend and fellow boxer, Pacquiao, at 16, still under 5 feet tall and several pounds under even the lightest weight permitted to compete as a professional, turned pro anyway. To make his 105-pound debut, Pacquiao later confessed to hiding weights in his pockets when he stepped on the scales. Nearly 10 years later, Pacquiao finally arrived in America. On Nov. 15, 2003, he knocked out future hall of famer Marco Antonio Barrera in the 11th round to begin one of the most mythic decades in the history of boxing.

Youngmanny_medium

Despite earning nearly $200 million during his brilliant career, Pacquiao always hemorrhaged money.

In his next 20 fights, Pacquiao accumulated 10 world titles and became the first man ever to do so in an unprecedented eight weight divisions, from light-flyweight to junior-middleweight. He knocked out Mexican legend Erik Morales twice, avenged a draw against Marquez with two subsequent victories, retired Oscar De La Hoya on his stool, pulverized Ricky Hatton in two rounds, moved up in weight even further to batter Miguel Cotto into submission, sent Antonio Margarito to the hospital with a fractured orbital bone, then dispatched Shane Mosley and Marquez once more. The remarkable run finally ended with a highly controversial loss against Timothy Bradley in the summer of 2012.

Despite earning nearly $200 million during his brilliant career, Pacquiao always hemorrhaged money. Gary Andrew Poole's 2010 biography, "Pacman," laid out how Pacquiao's contracts were split: After his manager's took their 20-percent cut, his trainer Freddie Roach took 10 percent, strength and conditioning coach Alex Ariza shaved off a few more points. There were also training camp expenses, tax bills in the U.S. and the Philippines, and his boundless, ever-growing entourage, all guzzling funds. According to a 2009 New York Times article by Greg Bishop, "Team Pacquiao has perfected the art of dysfunction. The entourage consists of trainers, assistants to the trainers, advisers, assistants to the advisers, cooks, dishwashers, car washers, publicists, gofers and security." For each fight, Pacquiao also spent hundreds of thousands of dollars flying his entourage to Las Vegas, buying hundreds of tickets, covering hotel rooms, and providing spending money. In the Times article, Michael Koncz, singled out Pacquiao's Achilles' heel: "The downfall of Pacquiao, if there is one, will be his kindness and generosity. At some point, I fear that's going to catch up to him." Beyond Pacquiao's generosity, he reportedly squandered millions from gambling. That doesn't even account for his fleet of cars and extensive property holdings, including houses, condos, apartments and such an intense desire to give his money away to the poor he had to hire people simply charged with the responsibility to apologize and prevent him from throwing money at all the open hands spread out before him.

I flew out to Houston to interview George Foreman, one of boxing's rare success stories. What was Big George's secret? After the success of his signature grill (the Times reported in 1999 that the George Foreman Grill had already earned him in excess of $150 million) and a second reign as heavyweight champion, Foreman is reportedly now worth nearly a quarter billion dollars. Yet, before we could start the interview, with a note of gentle caution, George's son, George V, asked me to avoid any slippery questions with dates and names. "His head's fine," George V smiled reassuringly, "Pop's just getting a little older is all."

Then George V's father strolled majestically into his living room in a gray suit wearing Crocs. His infomercial smile beamed hospitality until it broke into sudden concern, "Please folks, I jus' ask you, don't make me go back too far in my memory. I don't like to be reminded some of my best fights was 40 years ago."

"Why are you one of the few happy endings in this game?" I asked him.

Some of us had all kinds of riches, but that didn't mean we found any kind of happiness.”

"Boxing is the number one sport in every man's mind," George smiled. "Being champion of the world meant a lot to me. For a short period. You're up. You're famous. You're rich. Then you lose," Foreman laughed. "You lose a boxing match and you crawl into a hole and there's hardly anything that can get you out of that hole. Then you're on the verge of ‘I don't care anything about life.' I know what success is and failure is and success was short lived. Some of us had all kinds of riches, but that didn't mean we found any kind of happiness.  There's a loneliness to being the heavyweight champion."

"I know you came from a rough background," I began.

"What fighter didn't?" George snickered, glancing at his knuckles.

George was right. It was a poor man's game. Boxing has no middle class. You're either a millionaire or you need a second job. Whatever amount a fighter signs to fight for, no contract in sports bleeds more money in all directions faster than boxing. Don King used to ask many of his fighters to sign blank contracts. And they signed their lives away. Those same fighters would happily accept King's offer of $10,000 in cash up front against a million dollars next week. Most boxers have to keep going until the bones have been picked dry. Then, when they have nothing left, no place to go, they simply go back to where they came, with nothing.

“Martin Luther King took us to the mountain top: I want to take us to the bank. I’m not fighting the Civil War, I’m fighting the poverty war.”— Don King

It's not an accident Donald Trump names everything after himself. It betrays a central fact about the fundamental emptiness of the legacy that Trump will leave behind. Who else would ever name anything after him? Imagine how you'd feel about a society that did. What exactly has Trump achieved or owned that stands a chance of inspiring future generations to attach his name to anything? This is because outside of Trump's net financial worth, his ultimate value inspires nothing.

The greats are remembered for what they give of themselves.

It's no different for fighters. The value of a boxer's legacy simply isn't determined by what he has; the greats are remembered for what they give of themselves.

This is the central difference between Pacquiao and Mayweather. No matter how much Mayweather out-earns Pacquiao financially, he can never buy his way out of the fact no great champion in history has been more willing to stink out a fight. Mayweather's legacy will be that he was one of the most exciting fighters in the history of boxing until he stepped into the ring. And none of Pacquiao's well-documented personal failings can erase how much of his life he risked and ultimately left behind inside the ropes. The easiest way to score a fight, as HBO announcer Max Kellerman once pointed out, is just to ask, "Who would I rather be?"

Pacquiao and Mayweather should have fought a trilogy by now, their battles as famous as those between Frazier and Ali or Sugar Ray Leonard and Marvin Hagler. For the general sports fan, no fight boxing has offered since Tyson left the sport has escaped the shadow of Pacquiao and Mayweather facing each other. For the boxing public, in many ways their respective careers seem like opposite sides of Tyson's. Pacquiao's ruthless style reminds us more than anyone else of Tyson pre-prison, and Mayweather's promotional genius owes a great debt to Tyson post-prison.

Could it still happen? Could the two still fight? And, more importantly, should it still happen? Mayweather's ultimate victory over his nemesis is that for the time being, he no longer needs the fight. Mayweather seems to be coasting his way toward career earnings of half a billion dollars before his contract with Showtime is up, but he should keep in mind how quickly Tyson blew through even more money than Mayweather has earned. Pacquiao, on the other hand, has a lot more uncertainty with his future and innumerably more bills to cover in his present.

Pacquiao's upcoming fight on Nov. 24, just before his 35th birthday, against Brandon Rios, only 27, offers some interesting parallels to the champions of the past. Joe Louis was 37 when he fought Rocky Marciano. Muhammad Ali was a couple years younger when he went up against George Foreman, and a year older when he fought Leon Spinks. Mike Tyson was a year older against Lennox Lewis. Roy Jones Jr. was the same age as Pacquiao when his career took a new, sad course after Antonio Tarver pulverized him in the second round of their rematch. "You got any excuses for tonight, Roy?" Tarver famously answered the referee's query about any questions before the fight. Six minutes later a groggy Roy had a doctor's flashlight in his eyes seeing whether he needed to go the hospital.

Yet for all the parallels between Pacquiao and the ghosts of legendary past boxing champions in the ring, the similarities may be infinitely more corrosive outside the ring. Louis, still mired in debt over back taxes, spent the end of his life in a cowboy hat, coked out of his head, working as a greeter in front of Caesar's Palace. Sonny Liston died nearby, alone, a week's worth of newspapers and sour milk piled up outside the door. Ali's career has left the "Louisville Lip" barely able to mumble out a discernable word. In Philly, Joe Frazier spent his last days sleeping out of the office of his gym. Leon Spinks cleaned toilets at the YMCA after his fighting days were over. Iran Barkley was discovered homeless, sleeping the nights away on a New York subway train. While an aging, rumored to be broke, Roy Jones Jr. flew to distant corners of the globe to get knocked out for whatever money his name could offer, Arturo Gatti was found dead hanging from his wife's purse strap. Tyson, finally having salvaged some vestige of financial solvency and domestic happiness for the first time since declaring bankruptcy after blowing well over $300 million in his fighting career, recently confessed to relapsing. Evander Holyfield, house in foreclosure, a veritable village of children from multiple mothers to support, fights on into his 50s. Most recently, Tommy Morrison died at 44, succumbing to AIDS, the disease he perversely dedicated his last years to insisting he did not have.

“To see a man beaten not by a better opponent but by himself is a tragedy.”— Cus D’Amato

Ten minutes after I first met Freddie Roach in Hollywood in March of 2010, he matter-of-factly mentioned that Pacquiao was broke. Every boxing writer learns quickly that Roach loves to toss out juicy quotes, usually followed by a giggle and a, "Hey, but don't be an asshole and report that." I wasn't even there covering or asking about Pacquiao. But this quote? This was Pacquiao when all Floyd Mayweather could do to explain his dominance was hurl steroid accusations. I thought, even hoped, I'd misheard him. Given the toll boxing took on Roach's own health (he had lived with Parkinson's syndrome for many years at that point), it's not always easy to hear his thin voice over the racket in the gym. I thought maybe he'd referenced a prior injury Pacquiao had had  his hand or a rib was "broke"  but by Roach's sad expression, I knew I'd heard him correctly. Arguably the greatest fighter of the era, still at the top of his game, was already broke.

Arguably the greatest fighter of the era, still at the top of his game, was already broke.

Virgil Hill, former WBA light heavyweight and cruiserweight champion, walked into the gym. Nearly 50 years old, he still looked good. Then Roach said Virgil was training for a comeback himself. "Is he broke too?" I asked. Why else would he still be trying to fight? Roach shrugged his shoulders.

We stared at each other for a second until Roach was interrupted and asked for an autograph and a picture with a family from one of a constant stream of fans inundating his gym. Pacquiao's fame at this time, and by extension Roach's, was so enormous that Roach himself had a reality television show with HBO in the works. Crowds waited for hours in the parking lots satisfied with just a glimpse of Pacquiao exiting his sleek black Mercedes. Entire security details were engaged to navigate his arrival before adoring fans at Wild Card for sparring sessions. It was rare not to see celebrities or television crews at his gym hanging around for a piece of the action.

Virtually every profile and story written about Pacquiao celebrated how he was different, what he had, and what he could still accomplish. He could be more than a champion. He already was. He was an icon to an entire country, an actor, a basketball player, a singer, a politician voted to public office in a landslide. Becoming president of the Philippines wasn't out of the question. Yet few of them mentioned the cost, or what he didn't have, or what he was losing. Those stories weren't what people wanted to associate with a rags-to-riches feel-good story like Pacquiao's.

In recent years, Roach's fighters had run up a staggering number of victories and Roach himself had become, as the PR for his memoir announced, "the most famous white man in the Philippines." World champions were lining up to train with him, sing his praises, and get on the gravy train. And while Roach loved the action and attention, everyone appreciated that he was always generous with his good fortune in an unusually humble way. My hunch about that feature of Roach's kindness was that it betrayed an unusual trait, about him, mostly absent in the profession of boxing: Roach was the first to tell anyone that he wasn't sure how long any of this was going to last. But it sure was fun in the meantime. Even then, I wondered how the scene would change after Pacquiao hung around the fair too long.

"He's really broke?" I asked again.

When Roach noticed a few people had heard what he'd said to me, he spoke softer. "Sure. Those checks get split an awful lot of ways and he's living as if he gets to keep every cent before taxes and the split."

I tried to crunch the numbers on Pacquiao's reported earnings compared to what money he would have actually seen. In the two years prior, Pacquiao had laid waste to De La Hoya, Ricky Hatton, and Miguel Cotto. All were eight-figure paydays that promised even bigger paydays the next time he fought. Nobody had seen anything like this in boxing since the zenith of Tyson's reign of terror.

Not long after, according to figures Pacquiao filed as a member of the Philippine House of Representatives, he was worth 1.35 billion Filipino pesos  about $31 million. That's less than 20 percent of what he had earned by 2009. Where'd that go? Since then, riding the wave as the world's most exciting and beloved fighter since Muhammad Ali, according to Forbes, he has earned at least another $50 million.

At what cost? How much remains? Fast forward to Pacquiao's life today. Back-to-back losses. Another training camp to prepare for another younger, dangerous opponent with an even more menacing, largely unspoken possibility hovering around him each and every day: This might be it. Even if he isn't shot, most likely his best days are surely behind him, his earning power virtually guaranteed to drop dramatically. And how much is left anyway any of it? Or is he just a Ponzi scheme? As staggering a résumé as Pacquiao has put together  surely enough to measure as favorably as Mayweather's in many people's eyes  he's paid a far graver price for it, and there may be still more debt to accrue.

“Standing on a street corner waiting for no one is power.”— Gregory Corso

“Is this a lonely sport?” I asked Freddie Roach a few months ago.

"Yep," he glared.

"Is that a part of every fighter that they're alone?"

You have the support around you as long as you're winning, but when you stop winning? They fucking go away.”

"Pretty much. Yeah. You know, you have the support around you as long as you're winning, but when you stop winning? They fucking go away. The thing is, my mother was very honest with me. What goes up must come down. That was reality. That struck me. That was reality."

"If something goes really wrong with Brandon Rios, are you willing to tell Pacquiao you want him to retire?"

Roach put his head down and looked around his gym at the photos of fighters on the wall, at the mirrors on the other side of the ring, the bags hanging near his front desk.

"You're only going to retire from the sport when you're ready," Roach shrugged, raising a cup of coffee to his lips with a trembling hand. After Roach's own boxing career had ended without earning more than $7,500 for a fight, he found work as a busboy and a telemarketer before reentering boxing as a trainer.

"You're not going to retire when someone tells you," he said. "Because Eddie Futch told me I needed to quit. I says, ‘Well, what's the old man telling me that for? He needs to quit.' I got angry. And, you know, I went against my mentor, my idol, the greatest guy probably ever I met in my life. But the thing was I was frustrated. I put everything into the sport that I have. I don't know how to do anything else. Boxing, I put my whole life into it, and I got nothing out of it. And here I am, 27 years old, him telling me to retire. I'm crying in his office thinking, ‘What the fuck am I going to do with my life?' I fought five more times. On my own. I lost four of the five  so he was right," Roach smiled.

"Did you see this day coming," I asked Roach. "When a fighter like Pacquiao walks into your gym that first day and asks you to train him. Do you ever think about how they'll end up?"

"I was on such a roll there for a while as a trainer," he said.  "I hadn't had a loss in, like, I had like 26 wins and one loss.

I thought for a moment. "And now your three big-name fighters, Amir Khan, Julio Caesar Chavez Jr., and Pacquiao all had major losses. Khan and Chavez Jr. left you after their losses. What happens after Pacquiao?"

"I've asked eight to 10 people to retire, in the middle of their careers," he said. "Or not in the middle, but somewhere along the way. I don't want anyone to end up like me, with a disease that I have to deal with every day of my life. Only one fighter I asked said ‘Yes.' Everyone else told me to either ‘Go fuck myself,' or ‘I'll get another trainer and go on.' I says, ‘That's what you'll have to do.' If I don't think you should fight anymore, I won't train them."

"It's hard to imagine this boxing gym without Pacquiao being a part of it," I said.

It’s hard to imagine this boxing gym without Pacquiao being a part of it.”

"Right now they say, I read in Ring Magazine, ‘Who's In' and ‘Who's Off.' I'm out right now," said Roach. "You lose a couple title shots and, you know, your big guys are getting a little older and maybe a bit further in their careers, maybe on the downside of their careers and now, you're trying to rebuild guys coming up, of course. But, I'm still doing the best I can. Right now, they think I'm out, but I'm doing my best to make my fighters the best they can be. That's the way it goes, you know? That's part of life."

"Time is a vandal," Jimmy Cannon once wrote. Joe Louis was Cannon's hero and he watched Rocky Marciano beat his hero into retirement. Louis was Ali's hero and, in 1980, Ali's hero was pushed in his wheelchair to Caesar's Palace to watch Ali's former sparring partner, Larry Holmes, brutalize him until Ali's trainer, Angelo Dundee, mercifully stopped the fight. Eight years later, in 1988, when Tyson fought an aging Holmes, Tyson's childhood hero, Ali, was there to whisper in Tyson's ear, "Get him for me." And Tyson did, knocking him out in four rounds. Seventeen years later, on June 11, 2005, at age 39, Tyson, two years after filing for bankruptcy, was fighting the unknown journeyman Kevin McBride. He quit on his stool in the seventh round and retired from the sport.

So it goes.

And on Nov. 23, when he fights Rios, Pacquiao has his own date with destiny as our era's most legendary, fading former-champion.

"You know you're finished," Cannon wrote of Louis. "You knew it first. You understand what happened to you better than anyone. You're the guy taking the punches. You share everything in the fight racket but the punches. You have no partners in pain."

After Nike signed Pacquiao to an endorsement deal, in a puzzling marketing decision, Pacquiao frequently wore a T-shirt in training camp that stated: "Manny Knows." It was never made clear what this knowledge was referring to. The meaning, like so much of boxing, was just left hanging there. At this point, I'm not even sure Pacquiao's millions of fans around the world want to know the answer to the most pressing question concerning Pacquiao's career and livelihood. The question itself is pretty obvious and it's the same one all the great fighters eventually have to answer both inside and outside the ring.

How much does he have left?

On the ropes: A documentary on Freddie Roach

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Development:Josh Laincz | Design:Ramla Mahmood | Producer:Chris Mottram | Editor:Glenn Stout
Copy Editor:Kevin Fixler | Photos: Getty Images, USA Today Sports Images


Pay to play: Why we gladly give franchises our money for new sporting venues, and how citizens for and against those projects can find common ground

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Professional sports and incredible sums of money are, at this point, inextricably intertwined. At the highest levels, franchise values rival small nation GDPs. The NBA is a concern of $4 billion in annual revenue; its 30 franchises have an estimated combined value of $15 billion. A single Lakers courtside ticket for a single game runs equivalent to two months gross salary at California's minimum wage. Players themselves make salaries that'd make a Rockefeller jealous; Kobe Bryant is due $30 million this season, and NBA teams will pay out about $2 billion in total salaries to roughly 450 lucky athletes. The lowest-paid player in the league will make about $490,180.

The only limits on revenue are a lack of creativity and the cold hammer of the word no from the buying public.

This is a full-blown major industry. But leagues -- including the NBA -- rarely bask unconditionally in the glory of their solvency. There's always more money to be made. Expanding revenue streams is one path. That's why the NFL talks about expanding its already brutal schedule a week or two. That's why Major League Baseball adds a playoff game for each league. That's why we have NBA teams wearing nine different uniforms a season and, coming soon, ads front and center on those special jerseys. It's why there's football on Thursdays, outdoor hockey on New Year's and two months -- two months -- of NBA playoffs. Businessmen and businesswoman run these leagues. The only limits on revenue are a lack of creativity and the cold hammer of the word no from the buying public.

The other path to increased profits is reduced expenses. And the leagues have all flogged this one, too. Want to know why so many JDs contribute to sports websites? Because of all the damn lockouts. Within the past three years we've seen lockouts from three of the top four sports leagues plus two referee stoppages. (The NBA ref lockout was mercifully resolved before it touched the regular season. NFL fans were not so lucky.) Labor is the biggest expense for the leagues, without question. But it's not the only expense.

In fact, there's a real fat capital expense facing every single team in every league: the facility in which it plays. And there's one major way to reduce that expense. Unfortunately for us, playing in a 20-year-old building that cannot be touted as "state of the art" but gets the job done isn't the answer.

Arenas and stadiums are huge expenses for sports teams. If only there were someone to help pay for it ...

* * *

Public funding of sports arenas and stadiums brings out venom typically reserved for the most heated on-court rivalries. Pro-subsidy fans facing the potential loss of their team shout down opponents at every opportunity. Subsidy opponents bemoan the meathead charlatans and spit at every argument that a new arena is a good use of money. Economists-for-hire spin up fabulously false tales of grand regional benefit and a high return on the investment. Arena foes seethe out loud about the salary of the team's star compared to that of their kid's second-grade teacher. "You have no vision, no heart," says one side. "You have no soul, no brain," says the other.

They're both wrong, of course. And if the backers and detractors would get on the same page, better projects with better results and less heartburn would result.

The core fact that makes public funding of sports facilities possible is its popularity with voters. Some current NBA arenas funded in part by tax dollars have received explicit voter permission. The public portion funding the AT&T Center in San Antonio needed voter approval in 1999; 61 percent of Bexar County voters said yes. In 2008, an Oklahoma City initiative to assess 1 percent sales tax for improvements to then 6-year-old Ford Center was approved with 62 percent of the vote.

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In most cases, the public considers spending its collective money on arenas to be a fine idea.

More commonly, funding deals don't include direct tax increases on local residents. Bonds, land grants, loan guarantees, hotel and rental car tax or other sources may constitute the contribution, which means that final approval comes from a city council or county board instead of the electorate. But these almost always pass easily, and the biggest elected boosters find themselves retained by the voting public. Orlando mayor Buddy Dyer led the charge to help fund the Amway Center in 2007. In 2008, 61 percent of the vote kept him in office. Kevin Johnson pressed hard on public funding for a new Sacramento arena through 2011 and 2012. (A common complaint was that working to get a new Kings arena was the only thing Johnson did in his first term.) In a June 2012 primary, he won 58 percent of the vote in a four-person field to avoid a run-off.

In most cases, the public considers spending its collective money on arenas to be a fine idea. What exactly is the problem?

Subsidy opponents have few recent victories at hand, and this core issue is the culprit. No matter how much a subset of the population dislikes the model, they are outnumbered. In democracies, that's a losing formula. From my experience, arena subsidy opponents come from a range of disparate groups: neighborhood activists, social welfare proponents, anti-tax crusaders, anti-corporation liberals. Three of those four categories aren't exactly renowned for their fundraising ability. The one exception -- anti-tax folks -- have only recently been stoked with cash, and it's more likely to be used beating back Democratic politicians and policies than development deals.

Who backs arena subsidies? Well, the teams and leagues, obviously. As we've established, they have plenty of money to fund favorable research, conduct expensive and time-consuming outreach and, when push comes to shove, buy campaign ads. The business community tends to support these endeavors, too; Seattle and Sacramento each benefited from huge assistance from locally-based corporations in recent subsidy efforts. Labor groups are on board if brought on board; builders of all stripes like the work, too. More recently those who support "smart growth" policies are more likely to be strong backers of arena and stadium projects if downtown revitalization is a piece of the puzzle; these interests add some additional, traditionally liberal punch to the equation.

But those supporter groups can only buy attention and arguments, and that doesn't necessarily win elections. You need votes, whether at the ballot box or at the council dais. (Votes at the ballot box eventually shape votes at the dais, of course.) In pulling their fans into the battle, they buy the ballot box support, which is all that matters in the end.

This is the trump card subsidy opponents can't defeat. Sports fans aren't just individual voters: they are passionate advocates for the brand and, by extension, the brand's cause. Wearing team colors is a political statement. Have you ever seen a non-politician wear a jersey with a politician's name on the back? You can buy a lot of things in politics -- access, favors, forgiveness, votes. But you can't buy the kind of loyalty that comes with a sports logo.

That's a powerful weapon in favor of subsidies, and bemoaning it won't ever help opponents. It'll only strengthen the resolve of those fans who just want to keep their team. So if anti-subsidy residents and groups want to actually improve the situation, a different tact is needed.

Most importantly, though, the opponents need to understand that demonizing pro sports is not ever going to work. You might as well spit into the wind.

***

Bravesstadium_mediumRendering of the new Braves stadium in Cobb County, Georgia. (Via Home of the Braves)

Why is the public comfortable spending its collective money on sports facilities? Because the public has become comfortable spending its individual money -- and lots of it -- on sports. American sports leagues have become some of the most important cultural pillars of our society, for better or worse. I bet you know more neighbors' NFL allegiances than religious denominations. The Crocker Art Museum in Sacramento is a really fantastic institution with a good annual program and strong permanent collection. It's dirt cheap, too, and open about 310 days a year. It drew 250,000 attendees in 2011-12, according its most recent annual report. The Sacramento Kings, a horrid basketball team then suffering under extreme mismanagement, featuring relatively high prices and a fraction of the convenience of a typical museum visit, welcome almost 500,000 paying customers in 2011-12 on 33 nights of action. A bad team in an unstable situation brought in twice the number of customers than the local excellent museum in about 11 percent of the available dates. This says nothing about the Crocker or the Kings: this says everything about sports.

The cost of being a sports fan has never been higher. Each league has premium packages that ensure the fan can see every game on every type of device every day. Broadcast deals are exploding, and fans happily fork over the increased cable fees. (If a la carte TV was a real thing instead of a fever dream of wishful cord-cutter, we'd pay out the nose for several ESPNs, TNT, Fox Sports and NBC Sports. Yes, even NBC Sports. It has hockey, soccer and the Olympics.) We pay huge sums to procure tickets to sporting events, to park at arenas, to eat and drink at arenas. Personal seat licenses were actually made viable by fans, and not laughed out of existence.

The market for our eyeballs, our subconscious minds, our eventual consumer dollars -- it's a rich one.

Most of all, we pay in exorbitant amounts of our precious attention. Our sports win our attention for the magic moments they give us. In breaks in the action, the sports leagues sell that attention to the highest bidder. I will likely never fly Emirates, but I sure as heck know they exist. (Thanks, Arsenal!) I've been sold cheap tacos by Charles Barkley, cheap credit by Yao Ming and cheap cars by Blake Griffin (in the middle of an official NBA event). Those exploding broadcast deals are made possible by the aversion to time-delayed viewed sports fans hold. Fewer TV programs are watched live these days; sports are No. 1 with a bullet. The leagues, networks and advertisers know we'll see those finely crafted commercials. The market for our eyeballs, our subconscious minds, our eventual consumer dollars -- it's a rich one.

We pay a ton to be sports fans. What's another couple of bucks when my team asks for a public subsidy?

That's an overly simple view of the common fan's outlook on public subsidies. But it's really hard to compare mostly invisible "taxpayer dollars" to the coin we actually spend and come out with a real sense of understanding. And because we have so much already invested in our favorite teams, the case of the public subsidy is much easier to make than most of the alternates. Compare these calls to action.

"If we don't come up with $100 million, our team is going to move."

"If we don't come up with $100 million, we will have to continue with a conservative budget leading underfunded social programs, austere infrastructure upgrade plans and status quo public safety."

All of those things in the second threat would apply to every resident every day. But it's really hard to beat the emotional pull, immediacy and simplicity of the relocation threat.

***

being the city that says "no!' gets you two things: angry voters and a vacant stadium.

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Teams and leagues will continue to ask for help as long as help is given. But being the city that says "no!' gets you two things: angry voters and a vacant stadium. The nation's most lucrative league has left the nation's second biggest market abandoned for 18 years now. The leagues will leave any city that doesn't play ball. If you annoy the commissioner just enough, they'll even seek to make an example out of you. Ask Seattle.

The cycle of public funding for sports arenas and stadiums won't be broken by some heroic mayor standing up to a team owner. It won't be broken, period. If Cobb County has taught us anything in the week since it announced it plans to pay a premium to take the Braves from Atlanta proper, it's that there will always be another mayor or county executive or governor with open arms and an open checkbook. There will always be fans to offer cold cash and warm loyalty. Pro sports are the dominant force in our current cultural landscape, and there are enough of us who refuse to be without a team to call our own.

What can improve the current public sports funding paradigm is more open-minded civic ownership from fans and more effective advocacy by non-fans. Improved social programs, infrastructure and public safety is in everyone's interest; the majority of sports fans are smart. We can chew gum and chant, "de-fense!" at the same time. So we should work to ensure deals coming down the pike are actually responsible and protect investments in the public interest. We should not just listen to critiques of funding plans -- we should try to make sure we're getting a good deal as citizens. We need to admit that some deals just suck. We need to vote and speak as well-rounded members of society, not single-issue partisans.

To affect positive change, opponents of public sports subsidies need to convince fans to take a comprehensive look at the costs and risks of individual plans. If you oppose every arena plan that comes down the pike, you're going to get tuned out. Work to improve individual projects, and not by porking up the prospectuses with additional beneficiaries. Lawsuits almost always make things worse, and know that you will likely lose at the ballot box if you choose that route. Once things go partisan, you've lost the audience you need. (For this reason, ideas like Seattle's Initiative 91 -- a voter-approved measure to create parameters to be met for any future public subsidies for sports facilities -- are good to pursue as long as the process is transparent and the actual policy is good. There are some issues with I-91 in particular that hinder its effectiveness.)

Teams will stop pitching bad projects when fans, the public at large and the officials they elect into office show a consistent ability to support only the good ones. Fans should join in and fight boondoggles. Non-fans should lend support to good, responsible pitches. If the two sides don't work together, teams will continue to take as much as they can get, and they'll do it by dividing the public into us and them factions that, in the end, hardly serve the community. We owe it ourselves and each other to work together.

If we still disagree at the end of the day, that's okay. That's why we have elections.

Producer:Chris Mottram | Photos: Getty Images

Sunday Shootaround: Dawn of the Paul George era

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Dawn of the Paul George era

Paul George started laughing before the question was even finished. Like an onrushing double team, he knew exactly what was coming and just as importantly, how to deal with it when it arrived. The question was about becoming a superstar, a label we’re quick to throw around even if we can’t really define what it means.

It’s a question George has heard many times in the last few months. It began late in the 2012-13 season among the basketball heads who had fallen in love with his silky game and the nerds who crunched the numbers. It helped that he looked the part. George plays an aesthetically pleasing game that is at once blindingly athletic and cooly smooth. He glides where others pound, unspooling threes from the top of the arc and throwing down dunks that are more aerial ballet than unrelenting slam dances. Yet outside of the afficionados, George was still something of a cult figure even after making his first All-Star team.

All that changed in the postseason when the Pacers reached the conference finals. The first round was an afterthought and the second round belonged to Roy Hibbert, but it was in that series against Miami and LeBron James that George solidified himself in the public’s mind as an elite player. He made huge plays and at times matched James shot for shot, an effort that was punctuated by a 28-point performance in Game 6 that helped the Pacers stave off elimination.

As the hype machine kicked in, the numbers still showed reason for caution. Despite shooting a decent percentage from behind the arc, George wasn’t an efficient enough scorer yet. He didn’t get to the line enough. He committed too many turnovers thanks to a handle that had improved from shaky to suspect but still wasn’t good enough to allow him to create his own shot at will. A star? Sure. A superstar? Chill.

Then this season began. By any measure -- be it analytical, observational or in the cold calculus of wins and losses -- George’s play has reached that magical superstar level. He’s averaging better than 24 points a game and almost seven rebounds while playing lockdown perimeter defense on a team tied for the best record in the league.

He’s also taken on a larger role in the Pacer offense, becoming the undisputed go-to guy on a team known for its collective approach. His usage rate has jumped and his PER has spiked from 16.8 to 24.5, while his free throw attempts have doubled and his turnovers have gone down.

So, does he hear the talk and does he buy into it?

"Not really. At the end of the day I let my play do all the talking," George said after the Pacers conducted a shootaround in Boston on Friday. "I don’t really have to worry about much. My team is 10-1 right now. I’m trying to play at the highest level I can. Everything else will take care of itself."

Savvy words from a 23-year-old, but George wasn’t so passive this offseason about his place in the game. Over the summer, he worked with trainer Jerry Powell on his ballhandling and for the first time he enlisted the aid of a shooting coach.

In a nondescript gym of a community college in Los Angeles, George toiled under Mike Penberthy’s watchful eye, getting up 500 shots a day at game speed. Penberthy went to work on his mechanics, insisting that every shot -- no matter where it comes from on the floor -- be taken with the same stroke.

George’s goal was to improve his mid-range game, which would allow him to become the kind of player his team could rely on in the closing minutes of games. He’s added a nasty pull-up jumper that is unblockable and has become his go-to move off isolations on the wing. That was the missing piece.

"Last year I was just unsure of that role as opposed to this year where I feel like, ‘That is my role," George said. "I think it was just maturity. Going through having to learn how to deal with pressure situations, now I’m expecting pressure situations. Learning how to perform when your teams needs you the most. That’s what I gained the most out of the playoffs."

Via NBA.com’s shot charts, George is shooting better than 50 percent from the area defined as the mid range, a skill that has become almost quaint in today’s NBA. But George heeded the lessons from former assistant coach Brian Shaw, who shared his wisdom from working with Kobe Bryant in Los Angeles. To be a go-to guy, a player has to have options. He has to use the whole court, and he has to be able to get a shot when his team needs one. This was a new and entirely different mindset for George.

"Last year he came into the season thinking that he was going to be opposite Danny Granger and potentially still a fifth option on offense," Pacers coach Frank Vogel said. "He was hoping to expand that role but not really understanding that he could be the first option. He grew into that last year toward the end of the year. Then you go into the summer and he went into his summer workout program with that in mind. ‘I’m going to be the number one option and I’m going to take another giant step with my improvement and development,’ and I think that’s shown."

"He wants the big moment. He wants the ball in his hands." -Frank Vogel on Paul George

On Wednesday night against the Knicks, George rescued his team with a 35-point performance. Twenty one of those points coming in the fourth quarter and overtime. After the game George told reporters that he might have deferred in that situation last season, but no more. Where once the big moments came at him quickly, now those situations happen in slow motion. "I completely believe in my abilities at that point," George told me.

"He wants the big moment," Vogel said. "He wants the ball in his hands. Last year when he was becoming our leading scorer and our first option, he wasn’t necessarily the guy we were going to late in games. He went into the offseason with that mindset that he’s going to have the ball in crunch time and he’s got to be able to create his own shot and make plays for us."

It’s been quite a remarkable ride for George in his short career. He went from unknown high school player to unheralded college player at Fresno State where he made himself into a draft prospect. Through his first 3+ seasons in the NBA, George has made slow and steady progress with a dash of spectacular thrown in, tantalizing with his talent and potential. Greatness wasn’t really thrust upon him. Rather, he grabbed it when it became available and then tried to make it his own.

Consider that at this point last season he was trying to find his way in the wake of Granger’s knee injury. He became a focal point by default as much as anything, and it was a struggle at first. But by midseason he had grown into an All-Star. By the playoffs he was becoming a genuine phenom. The only thing left was for him to take was that proverbial next step.

"It’s awesome," Vogel said. "You can’t say enough good things about who he is as a person. There’s a lot of talented guys in this league that don’t have the hunger, the drive and the determination that Paul George has, and the coachability. He’s just a refreshing guy to be around. He wants to learn. He wants to listen, everything you say to him. He’s a sponge. He absorbs it and he uses it."

That’s perhaps the most impressive thing about George. He’s on the rocket ride to stardom -- no matter how you choose to define it -- but still seems grounded. He’s also learned to adjust to new expectations and new pressures. Just like his team.

"We don’t feel like we’re the underdog," George said. "We feel like we have a target on our back. A lot of teams are coming after us. It’s fun. You’ve been the underdog for so long and you prepared being the underdog for so long, you’re ready for all opponents. That’s really how we carry ourselves now. We expect to get the best out of teams and we perform."

Sounds a lot like their best player, as well.

OvertimeMore thoughts from the week that was

Over a half-dozen years studying Kevin Garnett, what always stood out more than anything was his consistency. No matter how much his minutes fluctuated or his position changed, Garnett’s per-minute numbers rarely deviated. His shooting percentages remained consistent, and his plus/minus was always in the black. This is, after all, a man who follows the same elaborate pregame routine right down to tapping his toes in rhythm during the anthem the same way every night. The only thing he hates more than a mouthy rookie is change.

Yet, there was one metric that seemed to be a bellwether of sorts for how Garnett was feeling: his defensive rebounding percentage. When he made his comeback from knee surgery in 2009-10, those numbers began to drop and he had his worst season in Boston. When he returned to form the following season, they went back up. Garnett looked like a shell of his former self following the 2012 lockout, yet his rebounding numbers picked back up once he got himself back into optimal shape.

Garnett came into the weekend grabbing almost 33 percent of the available defensive boards when he’s on the court for Brooklyn, which leads the league and would be an all-time high. Unfortunately, that’s the only good thing on a stat sheet that includes an unsightly 36 percent shooting percentage. KG’s frustrations bubbled over in an awful loss to the Wolves on Friday night when he picked up a technical and a flagrant after jostling with Kevin Love, turning a double-digit deficit into blowout territory.

Considering the sorry state of the Nets and KG’s own game, his rebounding is admittedly not much to hold on to, but it’s reason enough to believe that he will turn it around before too long. Additionally the Nets have played slightly better defense when he’s on the court and hold teams to 50 percent shooting at the rim, as opposed to almost 60 percent when he’s on the bench, per NBA.com.

Make no mistake: KG has been dreadful and so have the Nets. They don’t score well or defend worth a damn. It’s jarring to not only see him and Paul Pierce wearing black and white, but also to watch them play for a team that gets beat repeatedly on the defensive end. It hasn’t helped that Deron Williams, Brook Lopez and Andrei Kirilenko have missed time with injuries or that first-year coach Jason Kidd has looked lost and out of his element on the sidelines.

At age 37 and with over 53,000 minutes on his odometer counting the postseason, there is little reason other than boards and blind faith to believe that Garnett has more left in his body. But we’ve been down this road too many times and seen far too much to write off Garnett after a dozen games. Give up on KG? Not until the retirement ceremony, and even then we won’t be fully convinced.

Viewers GuideWhat we'll be watching this week

MONDAY Timberwolves at Pacers

The Timberwolves have a sturdy defense and a young emerging superstar to anchor an excellent starting five. They also have a shaky bench and very little depth. Sounds a lot like last year’s Pacers. That bench is the only thing holding back our optimism for the Timberwolves who have cooled off after a strong start. All those minutes begin to take a toll after a while and one injury could really derail the whole process. It’s imperative that Rick Adelman gets something out of Derrick Williams this season.

TUESDAY Magic at Hawks

Jeff Teague has made a career out of slow and steady progress. He was OK as a rookie, competent as a second-year player and solid as a starter in his third before showing tantalizing glimpses of stardom in his fourth. Now in his fifth year and still just 25 years old, Teague is really coming into his own as a playmaker. The Hawks are better than you think and Teague is one of the biggest reasons.

WEDNESDAY Spurs at Thunder

This was the conference finals matchup that should have been until Russell Westbrook injured his knee and the Grizzlies grit and grinded their way into OKC’s rightful place. As loaded as the Western Conference is -- and it’s stacked -- we keep coming back to these two teams at the top of our rankings. Honorable mention to the Nets-Laker game for the over-35 championship.

THURSDAY DNP-Turkey

FRIDAY Warriors at Thunder

Let’s talk about Klay Thompson for a moment. He’s averaging over 20 points with a True Shooting Percentage over .650. That’s absurd. Even more absurd is that Thompson ranks second on the Warriors in TS percentage. Even more absurd is that Steph Curry is third. The leader? Andre Iguodala. There is no good way to defend this team when everyone is on the floor.

SATURDAY Nets at Grizzlies

A couple of weeks ago the Grizzlies looked like roadkill. The spacing was horrendous, the usually reliable defense was in shambles and first-year coach Dave Joerger looked like he was in over his head. All it took was a four-game sweep of a west coast swing and a coaching adjustment by Joerger to get everything back to normal. Take heart, Nets fans. It can happen to you too.

SUNDAY Pacers at Clippers

We end where we began with the Pacers beginning a five-game road trip through the West that includes games against the Clips, Blazers, Spurs and Thunder (with the Jazz thrown in for kicks.) This is where we start to get a better feel for Indiana and how it matches up with the best in the business.

The ListNBA players in some made up category

Everyone loves lists, especially completely arbitrary lists like this one. This week: In the name of Paul George, here’s a list of breakout players who are entering the superstar realm.

Kevin Love: In this age of over analysis and periodic rankings we are required to expand things like the MVP race into ongoing discussions; as in, "Kevin Love is in the MVP discussion even though we all know he won’t win." Well, maybe we should take him even more seriously. Small samples and caveats aside, Love is second in the league in scoring and rebounding with about five assists a night thrown in for effect. He’s not the defensive force that LeBron James is, but Love is no pushover for a team that ranks in the top five in defensive rating. He won’t win, of course, but there’s a strong argument to be made that Love has been the NBA’s best player in November.

Steph Curry: Thanks to better depth and a couple of blowout wins, Curry is playing about six fewer minutes per game but his per-36 scoring numbers are basically identical. What has improved is his playmaking. His assist percentage is up to 44 percent and whether it’s Klay Thompson on the wing, David Lee in the post, or giving up ballhandling duties to Andre Iguodala, Curry is playing with and off his teammates even better than last season.

Blake Griffin: Are we past the backlash yet? Can we instead focus on this 22 and 12 player who still mixes in a half-dozen jaw-dropping gems each game? The jury will be out on Griffin until he A) Gets his free throw shooting up to a respectable rate and B) performs in the playoffs when open space and fast breaks are limited. That said, Griffin is shooting over 57 percent from the field and cleaning up more than a quarter of the defensive boards. If he can get that free throw percentage up to say, 70-75 percent, he’ll be unstoppable.

Anthony Davis: We waxed poetic on Davis in the Shootaround a few weeks back, but let’s repeat the raw data: 20 points, 11 boards, 3 blocks, a 29.7 PER and more assists than turnovers. When the rest of his game catches up with his immense physical skills, there won’t be enough money to max him out in perpetuity.

ICYMIor In Case You Missed It

Pay to Play

Public money for private stadiums? Tom Ziller goes deep on why we gladly foot the bill.

Wade's World

Dwyane Wade has a sitcom deal about a basketball player named Daryl Wade and his eccentric entourage. Really. David Roth has ideas on how to make it better.

Noah on Noah

SB Nation’s man in Canada James Herbert talked to Joakim Noah in this engaging Q+A about chemistry, staying in the moment and being an underdog.

Offensive meltdowns

Why have the Nets, Pelicans and Pistons all struggled? Mike Prada has the answers with pictures.

Philadelphi-huh?

The 76ers were built to be bad, but they’re surprisingly not terrible. Yours truly talks to CSN Philly’s John Gonzalez on the Drive & Kick podcast.

Say WhatRamblings of NBA players, coaches and GMs

"I don’t know what the fuck that was, just to be honest with you."-- Celtics forward Gerald Wallace after 109-85 loss to Rockets.

Reaction: The Celtics had lost three straight and had two days off before allowing 40 first quarter points and getting obliterated in the first few minutes. Lack of talent is one thing. A complete lack of effort and execution is another. Preach on, Crash. No matter how much the league fines you for speaking the truth.

"The big thing I’ve always wondered about was what would have happened with Vietnam. Would he have been smart enough to get us out of that quagmire? It sort of started with him in office, but we’ll never know."-- Spurs coach Gregg Popovich reflecting on the 50th anniversary of JFK’s assassination.

Reaction: I would like a one hour special where Pop just talks about the world. I’ll take that over sideline interview theater any day.

"You know what? I wouldn’t take last year’s team for this year’s team, because this year’s team is more designed to be a playoff team, whereas last year’s team was 18-5 but look who was playing: we had Rasheed Wallace who was doing everything for us, right?"-- Knicks owner James Dolan in a rare interview with the NY Post’s Mike Vaccaro.

Reaction: There are so many weird Dolanisms in this Q+A, but this one slid under the radar. Rasheed Wallace played less than 300 minutes and missed 47 of the 69 three-pointers he attempted but yeah, Sheed did everything.

"A scoring point guard is what they called him, but then when we first got him, we saw that he can really see the floor well."-- Suns coach Jeff Hornacek to the Arizona Republic’s Paul Coro about Eric Bledsoe.Reaction: It’s hard not to be impressed by Bledsoe who is averaging over 20 points and about seven assists per game as a full-time starter for the pesky Suns. It’s also hard not to be impressed by Hornacek who has his young team playing an entertaining style and hanging in every game. Good coaching is about adapting to personnel and Hornacek looks like a keeper for Ryan McDonough’s rebuilding plan.
"It’s just bad coaching. I take the blame for this."-- Nets coach Jason Kidd after a rough loss to the Blazers dropped his team to 3-7. Reaction: Meet the anti-Suns. Few teams have gotten less from more and their star-powered nucleus look like they just met an hour ago. It’s possible that Kevin Garnett, Paul Pierce and Joe Johnson all fell apart simultaneously, but we still think it’s scheme and injuries as much as age. That’s on Kidd.

This Week in GIFsfurther explanation unnecessary

Tony Allen

The crane kick heard 'round the world.

DeMarcus Cousins

Captain Boogie won't allow Isaiah Thomas to shake Chris Paul's hand. Leadership.

Matt Bonner

Spurs forever.

Steven Adams

Apparently Byron Mullens studied at the DeMarcus Cousins School.

Designer:Josh Laincz | Producer:Chris Mottram | Editor:Tom Ziller

Stillwater on ice: Oklahoma State, Baylor and the coldest of Westerns

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The Cowboys in white hats defended their merciless turf against the men from Waco, just as they've done since 1939, and the Big 12's food chain remains intact.

1. On the way into Stillwater, Oklahoma along I-35 North, I saw four accidents in an hour, cars discarded by indifferent roads into guardrails and each other. Oklahoma State Troopers attended services for the cars, gingerly motioning for flatbed tow trucks and shaking their heads at the wreckage, the panhandle-shaped state outlined in white on the black doors of their Magnums.

Signs for Continental Resources drilling line the road, reminding Oklahoma that without horizontal drilling, life would be nearly impossible here.

  • WITHOUT CONTINENTAL RESOURCES YOU WOULD BE EATING SOD
  • OKLAHOMA: A SUBSIDIARY OF CONTINENTAL RESOURCES
  • YOU SHOULD PAY US TO BE HERE, REALLY. LOVE, CONTINENTAL RESOURCES
  • HORIZONTAL DRILLING, BUT ENOUGH ABOUT YOUR MOTHER

That all may be partially true. This is the part of America where ease runs out, where the weather turns mean. Look down from the airplane on the way in, and you will see the giant, skidding path of tornadoes carved into the fields around Moore, Oklahoma, where an EF5 tornado blew up a good chunk of a town in minutes. You can't see the swath the El Reno tornado cut from the plane. That one, also an EF5, from this past June was 2.6 miles wide and had other smaller tornadoes spitting out of it like bubbling lottery balls.

one hand reaching up for warmth, the other holding a beer away from the heat.

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2. It is a beautiful place, even with the sky coughing sleet. Pass the giant arrows stuck in the ground at Will Rogers World Airport, then run north though the city and out into the country that hits shockingly fast for anyone accustomed to living in sprawling web-cities like Atlanta or Los Angeles or Dallas. It is rolling, tawny farmsides, the occasional headbanging motion of an oil pump, billboards saying YES! WE HAVE THE COLDEST BEER, and a giant crucifix somewhere between Edmond and Guthrie. Look to the roadside long enough, and in the distance you will see a natural gas vent, an orange flame on the horizon like a stuttering sun.

I followed the sand truck into Stillwater, which was like steering into a soft rain of buckshot for 10 miles.

3. The cowboys huddled in tents pregame, some with tree-like gas warmers posted just outside the tent, one hand reaching up for warmth, the other holding a beer away from the heat. Others put blazing fire pits under the canopies, safety be damned. It was cold.

If the fire pit sparked an ember into the canopy, and the whole damn thing caught fire, the cowboys could pull the flatscreens and beer away from the blaze before it got too far out of hand, then warm their hands by the now-larger and more impressive fire.

The wind blew in the sides of the cloaked tents, turning them into warped cubes humming with footbally TV noises and the murmuring sounds of drinking. Students and alumni walked around with open beers in gloved hands. Some dealt with the warmth by donning full worksuits -- some in Realtree camo, some taken straight off the rack at Walmart -- after putting no fewer than three layers of clothing on first. Others stretched the limits of their goin'-out jeans by putting on long underwear tucked into their boots, but skipping the cowboy hat completely. The wind would have taken them straight off and parked them somewhere in a field just west of Tulsa.

4. On the Strip, just by the corrugated metal sides of the brew-through called The Barn, a dude walked by me with a tall boy in hand. The other three were hanging out off a plastic four-ring he'd tied into his pockets. He looked cold and drunk. The sign on The Barn announced that they had the season's Beaujolais nouveau, and that they also had Lime-A-Ritas waiting and ready.

5. Below a certain temperature, everyone outside the city of Philadelphia makes the conscious choice to be nice to each other. Baylor fans hurried from point to point in the cold unharassed, for the most part. Oklahoma State fans are not there to break either rank or rules. A mob of jaywalkers after the game crossed against the signal when traffic cleared, and an older fan plaintively complained, "NOOOO DON'T CROSS AGAINST THE SIGNAL."  A fan next to me said that Boone Pickens Stadium was the only place he had ever been told to cheer less loudly.

Maybe that's a byproduct of the setting, which can be foreboding enough to allow for some free courtesy. The campus of Oklahoma State is the usual mishmash of new and old -- some utilitarian shed-buildings from the '60s, a glass-and-metal research center straight from the Logan's Run school of architecture, the old engineering building topped by two old oil derricks, and an old campus with broad lawns and turn-of-the-century campus buildings topped with dark cupolas. In sunshine it probably looks like any other pleasant college campus; in foreboding, overcast bluster, it has a prairie Something Wicked this Way Comes vibe.

6. The trees opposite the Atherton Hotel are swept back, blown to a perma-lean by the unceasing wind. Someone has filled out the panes of the windows of one old building with messages. The most visible one, spelled out one letter per pane, reads: "ESPN > SI."

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7. Boone Pickens Stadium has T. Boone Pickens' name on it no fewer than four times in 10-foot high lettering, lit from behind with a soft orange glow. It is the biggest and most visible building in Stillwater, a blocked-in horseshoe with jack-o-lantern lighting topped with a ring of luxury suites that hum with warmth and probably expensive brown liquor. It's being poured to people not sitting on cold, aluminum bleachers.

T. Boone could be somewhere up there, watching the beast he's fed from a wee pup into its burgeoning, snarling maturity. Pickens is largely responsible for taking the erector set of Lewis Field and morphing it into this, the place that will get so loud No. 4 Baylor can't make simple line calls on the field. He's also responsible for the JumboTron that plays Kurt Russell's snarling "Hell's comin' with me!" speech from Tombstone. He played a large part in making Mike Gundy the head coach. Oklahoma State stayed in the Big 12 when the conference was at risk of imploding and scattering to the winds. Assuming Pickens had nothing to do with that would be ignoring the basic realities of the program and the four huge, identical names ringing the stadium.

Pickens is also not sitting in the stands on this Saturday night, losing all feeling in his lower body and regretting, every time the wind picks up a gear or two, the choice to not wear a second pair of long underwear. Pickens might be a lot of things, but he is definitely a.) the most influential and visible donor to any major program in college football outside of Phil Knight at Oregon, and b.) smarter than you, since he built a stadium and can sit where he pleases, such as inside where it's warm and they have booze.

8. Baylor will not win this football game with No. 10 Oklahoma State. Baylor has not won a football game in Stillwater since 1939. They will walk off the field at Boone Pickens Stadium a numb, bedraggled mess standing behind a 49-17 margin. They will be savaged by 370 yards passing from the suddenly brilliant Clint Chelf and the mean work of a defense all too happy to let Baylor hand the ball over and to stand in the middle of Baylor's perpetually open passing lanes.

And let's talk about how a team comes completely off the rails somewhere between Oklahoma City and Tulsa. You do it one stuttering wheel at a time until the entire train flips over and catches fire. You do it when Bryce Petty, with zero tacklers in the vicinity, trips over an invisible marmot on the one-yard line.

You do it when, on the next play, Shock Linwood, Baylor's third-string running back playing due to injuries, reaches toward the goal line and hands the ball to the flummoxed-but-pleased Cowboys defense.

You pull another wheel off the rails when a rattled Petty, pressured by three- and four-man fronts all night, can't hit on simple passes he has completed with ease all year. You continue the derailment when your defense can't stop Oklahoma State's receivers in double coverage, much less single coverage, and when the last real hiccup of a comeback attempt dies on a horrendous shotgun snap that soars over Petty's head like a wounded grouse.

That's how it happens, one wheel at a time.

9. That's too passive, though. You can't really imply that something just happened to Baylor. It was done, committed, ripped out of their hands and literally taken at every turn by Oklahoma State.

The Cowboys were playing with naked aggression in freezing temperatures and doing everything Baylor was supposed to have been able to do. They were the ones baffling defenders with play-fakes out of a glorified wishbone and heaving throw-backs to the quarterback. They were the ones who spread the field. They then countered heavy up the middle with Kye Staley, 236 pounds of glorious, ripped rumble-up-the-middle who scored on the most important sequence of the game: the turnaround 99-yard trample by the Oklahoma State offense.

There was nothing passive about this. Oklahoma State took this game, and then beat Baylor about the head and shoulders with it.

10. It is a joy forever watching a bowling ball like Staley scatter pins and scare the hides off tacklers on the way into the end zone. That is all.

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11. "It's not Ames," he said. They said this more than once, especially in the dying minutes of the fourth quarter when, after a late cannibal's special of a passing touchdown, Oklahoma State began to run the clock out. (If you're wondering when that is in the Big 12, it's when you're up by 30 or so with five minutes left.) Up in Ames it was nine degrees, and someone was watching a bitter, meaningless contest between Kansas and Iowa State somewhere in the dark of superflyover country, someone with less reason to watch than anyone staying or leaving the Strip in Stillwater, someone wondering why they were watching at all out in the darker dark of an Iowa winter.

Stillwater is not Ames in at least one sense: the Cowboys ruin dreams as a habit, not as accident. That the dark days of Squinky are dead, and that losing to a team like West Virginia can be regarded as a genuine accident that just happens to even the best of football teams. That Sports Illustrated's worst attempts at detailing the extraordinary benefits of being an athlete at Oklahoma State -- They have sex! And the mari-huana! Unlike any other student! -- slide off their truck hoods like so much goose shit in a gale. That they can now complain as a luxury, as fans did in the fourth quarter, that Gundy was letting Baylor back into the game when they knew Oklahoma State could score again if they wanted to really put some stank on what was already a lopsided beatdown.

(For the record: shortly after this complaint, Oklahoma State passed for the final touchdown. Gundy also danced in the locker room, because he is a showman who gives the people what they want: destruction and light twerking.)

Standing against titans like Texas and the historical bully to the south in Norman, Oklahoma State does more than survive. That they were the ones to kick Baylor back down the ladder is appropriate. They're ahead of them on the upstart trail and will brook no passing on the left or right.

12. But Oklahoma State thriving is all the more astronomically unlikely and remarkable because of where it is and what it is. It is not a simple place to survive, a place of intense extremes and Biblical weather, of a sky so freaking huge it threatens to swallow the eyeballs if you look at it long enough. The economy rides the whims of geology and the market and the endless need to not freeze in your own house somewhere a thousand miles away.

The bumps are real, substantial, and come without warning, just like the 3.9 earthquake that shook Stillwater on the morning of the Baylor game. Forget that for too long, and the land itself may remind you of just how tenuous and hard-fought the smallest of successes can be, much less the moment when your football team -- the most frivolous of things --pummels the speed freaks from Baylor on national television in the dark of a freezing Oklahoma night.

13. TL; DR: Standard western plot. It got cold, and everybody but the cowboys died.

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Long live the read option: The most talked about offensive scheme of 2012 is still thriving this season thanks to its ongoing evolution

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Is the read option still a thing, or what?:

The emergence of the read option at the NFL level was one of the biggest stories of the 2012 season. A concept appropriated from college playbooks became an important weapon on offense for teams like the Niners, Seahawks, Panthers and Redskins. It was was hyped because it was interesting and wildly successful. Most of all, it was fun to watch.

Veteran NFL defensive coordinators appeared to have no answers for it. The NFC wild card game between San Francisco and Green Bay saw 49ers quarterback Colin Kaepernick rush for an NFL-record 181 yards. Dom Capers and the Packers didn't sufficiently prepare to defend the San Francisco read option after the Niners had used it sparingly during the late part of the year, and that neglect ended Green Bay's playoff run.

Teams went back to school during the offseason, consulting with college programs.

This was a theme for the late part of the season. Defensive coaches tried to play catch-up on the different ways to stop the read option. Offensive play-callers who had dual-threat quarterbacks at their disposal took advantage and used it with impunity (that's the media hype train taking over).

Even during the absurd read option heyday in the second half of 2012 and during the playoffs, there were many that saw the read option in the same light as the briefly successful wildcat craze: a fad, a short-term deal that coaches just had to study to figure out or, as Mike Tomlin put it, "eliminate."

Teams went back to school during the offseason, consulting with college programs that had been facing the same schemes for years. They came back better prepared and ready to throw down thine enemy and smite his ruin upon the mountainside, stamping the read option out of existence at the NFL level, just like they'd done with the wildcat.

Bring out your dead!:

Except, something weird happened: more teams started using it. Teams like the Eagles, Chiefs, Raiders, Bills and Jets joined the usual suspects. At the midway point of the 2013 season, according to ESPN Stats & Information, the rate of read option handoffs had nearly tripled over that of 2012.

At the NFL level, the read option is, and always will be, just a changeup. A knuckleball, screwball, slider, or a cut fastball, if you will. Just pick a lesser-used pitch for this metaphor. That's the read option. It is not one of your top two pitches.

Every team that uses the read option has a base identity to its offense that is not related to the read option -- the Niners and Panthers are power run teams. The Seahawks are oriented around a zone blocking scheme and a play-action passing game, and you could probably lump the rest of the read option teams in some traditional fuddy duddy category.

The read option isn't taking over the NFL -- remember how I told you that its occurrence had tripled? It went from 1.3 percent of all offensive plays from scrimmage to roughly 3.7 percent, per ESPN Stats & Info. Some teams use it more frequently. Philly led the NFL at the midway point, using it on around 30 percent of offensive snaps. Seattle, Washington, Carolina and San Francisco use it anywhere from 7-13 percent of the time. So no, it's not taking the NFL by storm. It's just another cool wrinkle that a select group of teams are using, and they're still using it effectively.

While the newness factor contributed to the "boom" of the read option's 6.2 yards per carry last year, even after spending an entire offseason preparing for it, defenses are still only limiting handoffs in that scheme to 4.7 yards per carry in 2013. I like to think offensive coordinators can work with that.

So, let's get down to the meat and potatoes, and look at how use of the read option, as well as defending it, has changed this season.

I was told there'd be no math:

I'll let Patriots coach Bill Belichick explain the basic concept to you, and keep in mind he was referring to the wildcat, but the same principles apply to the read option:

"When you put a (typical slow, passing) quarterback under center, you lose a blocker, you lose a gap, offensively. You basically play with 10 men on offense. But when the quarterback is one of the runners, whether it's single-wing or veer or wishbone (or the read option), the defense runs out of people to defend you."

Coaches really know what they're talking about. Let's see what another coach has to say. Niners defensive coordinator Vic Fangio on the read option:

"It just becomes a numbers game. Your typical run, the quarterback hands off and it's now their 10 against your 11. Now when he's a potential runner, it's their 11 against your 11, and they're not even blocking one of the guys at the point of attack, so it actually becomes 11 against 10 if they do it right. So, the numbers are flipped."

You're not even blocking one of the guys at the point of attack? If you're not super familiar with the read option you may be wondering what is Fangio talking about. Here's context:

When Fangio talks about the offense now having 11 guys to the defense's 10 -- it's because in some zone-read schemes, the offense leaves the backside defensive end unblocked. The fake, and the threat of a quarterback run, is the de facto "block," because it freezes that defender. Watch:

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As for the defensive end, and the defense just in general? Tentative, unsure, thinking = slow.  This was the principal issue at play: defenses were inexperienced and unprepared to defend the read option and its variations. So, coaches re-educated themselves during offseason to brush up on tactics to stop it.

So what did these coaches learn in summer school? That is an article within itself, and I will not be able to list all the nuances, but here are the basics:

if you could get in a few assaults on the QB, it would influence offensive coordinators.

One common method is called the scrape exchange, which sees the defense crash its defensive end hard on the running back with no care for the quarterback keeper option. This, in theory, forces the quarterback to hold the ball and not hand off, as per his "read option rules". Once the defense has manipulated the quarterback into not handing off, it "scrapes" a middle linebacker over the edge and around the corner to where the defensive end started, and in theory, tackles the ball carrier. This is somewhat effective, but has limitations, which I'll explain below.

The other main strategy that was bandied about all offseason was an inverse of the scrape exchange. Instead of crashing hard on the running back (regardless of handoff or not), teams had talked about the idea of viciously attacking the quarterback at the read option mesh point with your defensive end. This strategy is loosely protected by NFL rules, because as of right now, you can hit a quarterback if he's in "run posture", or in other words, if he's faking a handoff and/or faking a quarterback run.

In theory, teams thought that if you could get in a few assaults on the quarterback at the mesh point, it would influence offensive coordinators to just stop calling the play for fear of hurting their star player. Russell Wilson experienced this firsthand in Week 2.

This is what that strategy looks like:

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The key for Ahmad Brooks to hit Wilson was that Wilson was still in a "run posture," which makes that play legal. If Wilson had been standing up like he'd just handed off or thrown, the quarterback protection rules would have applied. Wilson ended up being fine after the hit, and it's also worth noting that Marshawn Lynch picked up about 20 yards on this play.

And, overall, while this threat of getting your quarterback "blown up" at the mesh point was talked about a lot during the offseason, that Brooks hit was the only time I've seen it happen to the Seahawks, and I haven't really heard much about it thus far. More commonly, defensive ends have been tentative at the mesh point, option handoffs have been quicker, and quarterbacks have juked at the last second to avoid giving defensive ends a clean shot. Notice Wilson's movement as compared to above:

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Bill Barnwell of Grantland wrote something similar a few weeks ago:

The other argument-slash-warning for read option practitioners was that running the ball with your quarterback would open him up to injuries. Some teams indirectly threatened to go after the quarterback on any play when he might have the football in the (implied) hopes of knocking him out. The results haven't exactly worked out that way. Of those five most frequent zone-read teams from the past two years, only the Jets have lost their starting quarterback, and they didn't lose Mark Sanchez because of the read option. Cam Newton did miss a few snaps after getting hit on a read option handoff recently, but that's about it.

I never bought the "mesh-point-blowup" as a viable solution because there was never going to be one, singular thing that could stop such a varied group of plays and schemes. If your one plan to stop the read option is to hit the quarterback, there are myriad things an offensive coordinator can do to exploit that.

Instead, defenses have taken a more general approach. As Stanford defensive coordinator Derek Mason told teams over the offseason when they sought his advice:

"The quarterback wants a fast read all the time. If you don't give him a fast read, then things start to break down and he starts to panic because everything is predicated on him being able to make a fast read.

There's no magic elixir playing against those schemes.

No magic elixir? Here's the bottom line:

It's being fundamentally sound in terms of your keys. That's it. If you don't understand your fits, or where your eyes go and where your help is, you're at risk. You're just out there playing ball, and they're always going to be one step ahead of you."

Why is discipline and understanding of your responsibilities so important? Because when we're talking about the "read option", we're not talking about one play that a team needs to figure out how to stop. The "read option" is really a varied series of plays and schemes. The idea that teams can just "stop the read option" is silly because there are many ways to run it. You figure out a way to stop what the offense is doing? They'll counter with a tweak that screws up your "solution".

The read option evolves

Here's a look at some of the basic option concepts and the adjustments to them we're seeing this season.

The Inside Zone Read (IZR)

The inside zone read is characterized by "downhill" running. The running back on inside zone handoffs is typically going north-south with an aggressive nature, and the offensive line fires out into their blocks with that in mind.

Here's the first thing that makes it tough to defend: the quarterback can "read" a number of different players and make his handoff/keeper decision based on several criteria. You can't just follow one set of principles based on the quarterback reading the defensive end, because then he'll do an inside zone read on the defensive tackle instead.

Below, San Francisco "reads" the DT after leaving him unblocked.

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Seattle did the same in Week 1 late in the fourth quarter as it tried to run the clock out. This first down allowed them to do so, and they got it by running a DT-read option play. Just when you think you've figured out how to stop the DE-read option, the offense can switch it up.

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Which is why defending the read option becomes a matter of discipline and understanding. Offensive playcalling vs. defensive strategies becomes a game of cat and mouse. If an OC notices that the defense is being overly aggressive in attacking the running back, (or "cheating"), then do this:

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This highlights the ability to punish a defense when it gets too aggressive or becomes undisciplined in its gaps.

The Outside Zone Read (OZR)

Here's what noted zone-read enthusiast Chip Kelly has said about varying styles within the read zone system:

"We want to get off the ball and be a physical downhill running football team. The [inside zone] is not a finesse play. This is physical football. The offensive linemen play with confidence because they know they have help from their teammates in their blocking scheme. This is the offense we run and everyone knows that

"The outside zone play is a complement to the inside zone play. The inside zone is a hole to cutback play. The outside zone is more of a hole to bounce play. The reason we run the outside play is to circle the defense. When you get good at running the inside zone the defenders begin to tighten their techniques and concentrate on squeezing the inside gaps."

"If we feel that is happening or we start to get many twists and blitzes inside we run the outside zone play. It gives you speed in space and the offensive line can play with confidence when you have something to change the focus of the defense."

The outside zone read is characterized by lateral movement at the snap by both the offensive line and running back. The quarterback has the option to keep the ball if the defense flows too quickly to cut off the lateral run, which keeps opposing teams honest.

Exhibits A & B:

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In addition varying inside vs. outside zone to confuse defenses and defeat defensive tendencies or momentum, there are other wrinkles that teams use. Probably none are cooler than the triple-option stuff that Carolina does with Cam Newton and Co.

The Triple Read Option

This is exactly as it sounds. Cam has three options: first, to hand off to the diving running back; second, to run upfield after his blockers; or third, pitch to another running back on the outside.

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This next one below, from last year -- note the arc block by TE Greg Olsen (No. 88)  -- he moves to the second level to block for Cam on the incoming safety, Kam Chancellor. This leaves OLB K.J. Wright (No. 50) with the impossible decision to try to tackle Newton or the pitch man. God, I love this stuff.

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As I've pointed out, when defensive coordinators "figure out how to stop the read option," offensive coordinators can make little adjustments to their schemes to counter the things defensive coaches have learned and taught. If a defense is starting to have success defending your inside zone, go to your outside zone. When they've found good ways to stop both of those, tweak your blocking schemes, and repeat.

Examples of these little tweaks include downfield arc blocking with your tight end, which is illustrated above in that second read option play, and the slice block, the swing pass and the use of play action.

You'll see a few of those examples below, but the other obvious work-around to defensive coordinators' so-called "answers'" on how to defend the read option is to simply not do any reading. Observe:

The "No-Read" Read Option

If there's no "read" going on, this isn't a read option, but the idea is that the opposing team thinks it's a read option, and plays it accordingly. That's where you can break out some of your new toys, like the slice block with your tight end or fullback.

Below, read option rules would dictate that Wilson keep the ball instead of handing toff to Marshawn Lynch because the defensive end is crashing hard on the running back. However, in this case, Seattle has a called handoff all the way, and takes care of the defensive end with what's called a slice block. Taking the defensive end's place on the outside is No. 52, Chad Greenway, and by scraping over to take on Wilson on what is supposed to be a QB keeper, he's now way out of position to make the stop on Lynch.

The defense, by trying to manipulate the mesh-point handoff, finds itself out of position.

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This is the same concept that Seattle used in the playoffs last season. Note the scraping linebacker, who expects Wilson to be holding the football, get blown up on the slice block by Zach Miller. Lynch does his thing and scores. Incidentally, this is one of my favorite plays ever:

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Okay, I'm talking about the Seahawks too much. The Niners do it too.

Here, an inverse set of ideas. In this case, the slice block takes out the defender at the point of attack for Colin Kaepernick, who by "read option rules," should have handed off.

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Play Action

Running play action out of read option looks is one of the deadliest wrinkles you can use.

From Redskins' OC Kyle Shanahan:

"The zone read is something I learned, throughout going through the year, that I think really helped us. It [worked to create] the least [amount of] pass rush I've ever seen as a coordinator. Guys just sitting there scared to death just watching everybody, not moving. I really enjoyed, actually, sometimes being able to drop back and not have four guys just teeing off from the quarterback, all trying to hit him in the pocket."

Watch how tentative the pass rush from Denver is on this play -- instead choosing to wait and watch, expecting a run play. This gives Alex Smith a ton of time to hit Sean McGrath up the seam.

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Similar to the non-read read option, you can just run your regular plays out of your standard read option-looking formations.

Below, you see Cam Newton and company start what looks to be their standard triple option to the right. A good amount of Niners defenders bite on that action, and Newton uses his inside hand to hand off to DeAngelo Williams. Brilliant play call, excellent deception and a great run by Williams.

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I guess, you can actually go that way ... then keep going and going. The Niners and Panthers are two teams that both run Power-O with their quarterback as the ball carrier. This goes back to the discussion about the wildcat, and the math that goes into it. With Kaepernick as a bona fide running threat, it evens up the numbers for offense vs. defense.

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It's not easy to stop. It's a numbers game that you can't get away with.

The Wildcat (Which Just. Won't. Die.)

Everyone assumes that the wildcat is dead. It isn't. Not the idea of direct snapping it to the running back in some sort of variation of the wildcat, anyway.

Just in the past few weeks, I've seen the Cardinals, Jets and Raiders use forms of the direct snap with varying success.

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Here's the thing: If you do what the Raiders did above and score a touchdown out of this play, then that's just gravy. I am more convinced that teams roll out a series in the wildcat maybe once a week just so other teams have to waste their time preparing for it. The more time you spend worrying about stopping the wildcat, the less time you have to prepare for what we actually do 95 percent of the time and are way better at doing.

Trolling. If you see anyone running the wildcat, they're just trolling the teams on their upcoming schedule.

In fact, you could make the argument that this is the biggest benefit of having the read option in your repertoire: simply making opposing teams prepare for something you only use a small fraction of the time.

The bottom line:

The read option is marginally less "effective" in 2013 than it was in 2012, but there are myriad variables at play. The yards per attempt is down some, which is exactly what pretty much everyone expected to happen -- even the most hardened read option defenders.

Teams are going to focus on it, it's going to be a priority and therefore it's going to be a little tougher to do, for the most part. That said, even if teams "know" how to stop the read option, there's still the little detail of actually executing that plan.

As Seahawks offensive line coach Tom Cable put it:

"I've heard Mike [Tomlin] and others talk about defending it. Whoever is going to do it, you better have the answers. All we've heard all spring is every defensive coach in the NFL is saying ‘I'm going to go to Texas A&M, I'm going to go to Oregon with their new coach, and try to figure this thing out."

"Hey, it's football. It's no different than getting in the I[-formation] and running the lead play. It's a different way of doing it."

Even if you know it's coming, you've still got to stop it. You still have to account for it.

No defensive coordinator found a magic elixir for stopping the read option between this season and last.

As I have illustrated (and keep in mind, most of these GIF'd plays are from the past couple of weeks), there are ways to defend the read option, and there are ways to beat those defensive adjustments. In general, running 3-4 looks with multiple linemen two-gapping is a way to mitigate the numbers advantage the use of read option creates. If you're in a 4-3 defense, bring eight defenders into the box. Again, generally, having elite athletes on the edges is nice, and in the secondary, it helps to call zone coverage with players looking in toward the line of scrimmage so they can see the action in front of them. Simply, you must play disciplined, smart football, minding your gaps and staying on script while knowing which player you're responsible for.

No defensive coordinator found a magic elixir for stopping the read option between this season and last. Teams will continue to use it as a complementary weapon in their offense. For the Seahawks, the "no-read read option" has been a pretty popular deterrent to the common read option defenses. For the Panthers and Niners, their wide variance in read option looks and formations is what makes their versions hard to defend. The Chiefs have done a good job in using pistol read option looks to create play-action passing opportunities. The Eagles, who run the read option more than any other team in the NFL by a long shot, use all of the above to make it effective.

The differences in the read option from 2012 to 2013 run parallel to the changes in strategy in defending it. As defensive coordinators figure out better ways to stifle it, their counterparts break out new tweaks in response. The game of chess continues.

Producer:Chris Mottram | Editor:Ryan Van Bibber | Title Photo: Getty Images

2013 SB Nation Holiday Gift Guide

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2013 SB Nation Holiday Gift Guide

o the turkey and stuffing has been consumed, the tree and ornaments at least thought about, and the Lions game yelled at. Now begins the three-week scramble to figure out what the heck to buy for the sports-loving fans in your life. Well, we're here to help.

Our team of crack sports enthusiasts has wrangled up the items they would most recommend and we've divided them into three vital categories: The Tailgater, for those who live for going out to brisk stadiums on the weekends to rub elbows with their fellow fans; The Barcalounger, for those who prefer to enjoy sports from the comfort of their own home (or for the professional blogger you may happen to know); and the Participant, for the athletes who are out there making it happen.

So kick back, scroll through and enjoy our handy gift guide, designed to help make your life just a little bit simpler this holiday season. (And hey, if you want to grab a few things for yourself along the way, that's just fine. We won't tell anyone.)

The Tailgater

Caitlin Mangum
Video Host, SB Nation

Caitlin loves cheap beer, fried chicken, and organized competition. Since her alma mater was pretty terrible at football, she practically earned a bachelors degree in professional tailgating.

The Barcalounger

Lauren Williams
Office Coordinator, Vox Media DC

Lauren ditches the overpriced concessions and aisle seats to watch her favorite team on her 50-inch HDTV. Plus it's easier to keep up with her fantasy team when she's plugged in to game action at home.

The Participant

Cory Williams
Support Manager, Vox Product

Cory is still upset that he wasn't the star of the Ridiculously Photogenic Guy meme. He enjoys running in circles around our nation's finest monuments while dodging tourists.

Cory enjoys the finer things in life: beer, beer league softball and running off said beer.

Tailgating is an activity for the dedicated: Early morning treks to the stadium, followed by setup time and, later, takedown and cleanup. From careful selection of tailgating activities and accessories, the tailgater is ready for all elements, and prepared for a good time. Whether you're organizing a tailgate or just showing up to have a good time, these are the essentials for a successful pre-game experience.

KanJam $39.99
Yes, you Kan Jam with this tailgate frisbee game.
Frost Boss can chiller $44.95
Chill your beverage in seconds.
Red Party Cup/Shotglass Set $19.95
Shots? Mixers? Have both with this two-in-one cup.
Coleman Broadband Quad Chair $29.99
Why stand around talking sports when you can kick back in the parking lot with a collapsible chair?
Coleman 9x9 Canopy tent $139.99
The best damn canopy tent in the land.
Coolagon Cruzin' Wagon Cooler $239
Rugged for all types of terrain.
Black Max Football $9.99
Rugged, durable football to keep the tailgate entertained.
Coleman Stadium Seat $13.85
No more hard surfaces and cold seats.
Square Stow-A-Way Collapsible Carrier: Red by Rachael Ray $10.95
Keep that seven layer dip nice and warm on a chilly fall day.

The barcalounger is all about the living room experience, right down to the small touches that make a gameday area feel like home. A nice TV, comfortable couch, and plenty of food and drinks are all essentials for the at-home fan. Because sometimes it's better to watch from the comfort of your living room than braving the elements and venturing to the big game.

Duke Cannon Soap Box Set $49
The only soap allowed to be in a man cave.
It Never Rains in Tiger Stadium Book $15
For anyone who’ll never let go of his or her favorite team.
Love's Winning Plays Book $25.95
When you’re tired of learning about college football, here’s a comedic novel about it.
Flip Flop Fly Ball Book $25
Infographics and fun pictures for the most picturesque sport.
FIFA 14 $59.99
The only sports video game you really need.
Study Hall: College Football Book $13.99
Learn and love more about college football.
NFL 13 oz. 3D Enhanced Sports Mug $10.16
At least you can get a grip on PART of your team.
NFL 15.8 Quart Portable Party Refrigerator $199.99
Sometimes your team requires that you stock up.
Roku 3 streaming media player $99.99
The easiest way to watch the internet on your television.
Fathead Stadium Wall Graphic $99.99
Maybe you’ll never make it into the press box, but this view is the next-best thing.
Wincraft wall clock $25
With a clock of your favorite team, it’s always game time.
Birchbox for men $60 for 3 months
Monthly samples of high-end lifestyle products? Sign us up.
Vintage full zip NFL hoodie $89.95
Let your team keep you warm at home and abroad.
Apple TV $99.99
You're still watching regular TV? Amateur.
“The sports gene” $26.95
Discover how genetics factor into athleticism.
NFL team helmet bottle stopper $16.96
Keeps fumbles to a minimum.
Team Blankets $25
Tuck yourself in and dream of football.

Being a spectator is fun and all, but the participant would rather take things into their own hands. Whether a casual or competitive runner, or a weekend warrior in a rec league, the participant spends less time on the couch and more time enjoying the outdoors. They appreciate the finer things, like cold-weather gear and long runs along scenic routes.

Under Armour Speedform running shoes $119.99
These space-age shoes are perfect for setting new personal records.
Under Armour Coldgear fleece hoodie $79.99
Old Navy thinks they have fleece on lock, so prove you're ahead of the game.
Sugoi SubZero Tights $80
Stop exercising in jeans. You look ridiculous.
Under Armour Coldgear stealth gloves $44.99
Stay warm and under-the-radar.
Nike Spiral-tech football $25
Maybe Nike can help you throw like Aaron Rodgers.
Garmin Forerunner Watch $171.67
Know where you’re going and how you’re holding up while you run.
Saucony Women's Kinvara 4 $100
You’re going to need sneakers, might as well get cool ones.
Under Armour escape shorts $24.99 - $29.99
Escape the cold with these Under Armour shorts.
UA Coldgear evo fitted mock $59.99
Look like a superhero while running laps at the track.
Nike Element Half-zip top $65
This is the Twitter generation. No one has time for a full zipper any more.
Under Armour Coldgear storm beanie $29.99
Keeps your head warm, while removing sweat with their signature system.
Under Armour Coldgear gloves $44.99
Pick these up, because nothing is more frustrating than inferior gloves.
Bose SIE2i Sport Headphones $134.95
No run is complete without high quality music.
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SB Nation

Anatomy of perfection: How long can Nick Newell stay undefeated in the cage, and how far can he go?

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It was an unseasonably warm night in Nashville when Nick Newell stepped into the cage last December to fight for his first championship belt. At stake was the 155-pound lightweight strap in the Xtreme Fighting Championships. His opponent, Eric Reynolds, was a far more experienced veteran. The oddsmakers had Newell as a 2-1 underdog, but being underestimated was nothing new for him.

The two fighters started out with an exchange of thudding kicks to each other's legs, shins digging into the thigh with a dull thump. As they circled, Newell delivered a quick left-right punch combo. Reynolds fired back with strikes of his own, forcing Newell up against the chain-link fence. They separated, and Reynolds fired a hard kick to the ribs.

Newell caught the leg against his body and used it to clinch up with Reynolds. He circled behind him, then lifted Reynolds high and slammed him to the ground with a suplex, drawing a cheer. Newell secured a position on his back and hooked his legs around Reynolds' waist. As Reynolds tried to stand, Newell slipped his right arm underneath his chin for the choke and secured it with his left.

Others argued that letting him fight two-handed opponents was downright inhumane, a freak show that shouldn’t be allowed.

Reynolds immediately tried to execute the standard defense, reaching back to peel off Newell's left hand in order to loosen the choke. But there was no hand there to grab. For a moment, as he pawed at empty air, a flicker of fear crossed Reynolds' face.

Newell was born with a congenital amputation, a shortened left arm that ends just below the elbow. It was a distinction which many felt would prevent him from succeeding in the fight game. Others argued that letting him fight two-handed opponents was downright inhumane, a freak show that shouldn't be allowed. But Newell never listened.

As Reynolds' face turned beet red, he finally secured a grip on Newell's right arm. "This is where it's an advantage," said the announcer, Pat Miletich, a former pro fighter. "He can't get hand control on that shorter arm. He's pulling down on the gloved hand but that's already trapped!"

Reynolds collapsed to the ground, squirming to escape the choke. A moment later he tapped out, submitting to the referee. Newell was now 9-0, a champion at age 26, and the only professional mixed martial arts fighter competing with just one hand. He raced around the cage to thunderous applause, collapsing to his back, kicking his legs in the air, overcome with delight.

On Saturday, Dec. 7, Newell will look to extend his unbeaten streak when he fights Sabah Fadai at the World Series of Fighting 7, which will be seen by a national audience on NBC Sports.

* * *

For Newell, the hardest part of fighting has always been finding opponents. He grew up in Milford, a working-class beach town on the Connecticut coast. His mother, Stacey, worked as a nurse and raised Nick on her own. "I always told him he was no different, never let him avoid a challenge or hardship because of his arm," she said. "The more we treated him like everyone else, the more he believed in himself."

"I always told him he was no different, never let him avoid a challenge because of his arm."
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These days Newell stands an imposing 185 pounds of chiseled muscle. But when he joined the wrestling squad his freshman year of high school, he was the smallest member of the team. "I was tiny, like literally 90 pounds, so it was tough to find someone my size." In one of his first matches there was just one competitor in his weight class, a girl, so Newell had to wrestle against her, and lost in front of his entire team and home crowd. "A really proud start to my fighting career," he says with a laugh.

The anecdote is classic Newell, whose personality outside the cage is that of a class clown not afraid to take potshots at himself. It's an attitude he inherited from his grandparents, who helped raise him. They live just a block from the beach in Milford, and Hurricane Sandy left their house submerged in several feet of water. Unlike other properties in the neighborhood, they didn't respond to the disaster by paying tens of thousands of dollars to lift their home on stilts. "Looks pretty silly to me," says Nick's grandfather, George. "If another storm comes along, we'll deal with that too."

That first year as a wrestler, Newell notched two wins and 22 losses. But he never thought about quitting. Wrestling became Nick's primary outlet, a place for him to focus. "For Nick, his coaches became sort of his father figures," explains his mother, Stacey. "They were the ones who helped to shape him and channel his drive."  Despite his small stature and shortened arm, Newell improved quickly. His physical handicap forced him to focus on his technique. By his senior year of high school, he set a state record with 53 wins, going all-state.

Newell went on to college at Western New England, where he was captain of the wrestling team. There he befriended a young man named Brian Myers who shared his passion for the theatrics of Pro Wrestling. In fact, Myers, better known as Curt Hawkins, went on to a successful career in the WWE. As college roommates, the pair would obsess over wrestling on TV. Just after Monday night wrestling finished, a mixed martial arts reality show called The Ultimate Fighter would come on. "Seeing that, I knew it was something I had to try," says Newell.

The sport immediately captivated him, in part, because it allowed fighters to blend different disciplines, to create their own style that emphasized their physical strengths and diminished their weaknesses. As a wrestler, Newell had to overcome his disability and forge his own path. It was an education that tied Newell's journey to the roots of modern mixed martial arts.

* * *

In 1904, a Japanese fighter named Mitsuyo Maeda left Japan, taking with him the knowledge of traditional martial arts known as Judo and Jiu Jitsu. He travelled the globe giving demonstrations and taking on all comers, intent on proving his style of combat superior to all others. Legend has him undefeated in his travels, earning him the nickname "Count Combat."

Eventually Maeda settled in Brazil, where he began teaching techniques of classical Judo and Jiu Jitsu to the two sons of Gastao Gracie, a Brazilian businessman. One son was named Carlos, a strapping young lad. The other was Helio, a chronically ill and weak young man. In order to compensate for his frailty, Helio adapted the traditional moves to rely more on leverage and position, avoiding anything that pitted him in a contest of strength. It was this evolution of the art form that birthed Brazilian Jiu Jitsu, now a central pillar of mixed martial arts.

The Gracie family became the country's most famous and devoted practitioners of Jiu Jitsu, and eventually brought their art form to the United States, where in 1993, Helio's son Rorion helped launch the Ultimate Fighting Championships. In the first tournament, Helio's youngest son, Royce Gracie, represented the family, taking on and defeating three fighters in a row to win the event. He went on to win three of the first four UFC tournaments, battling opponents who sometimes outweighed him by more than 100 pounds.

During the early years of the UFC, most fighters specialized in one form of martial arts, like players picking a certain position on the field. As a kid Newell looked up to Jim Abbott, the major league baseball pitcher who had his own congenital amputation. "He was a big hero to me, because there were basically no other famous people, especially athletes, with one hand," says Newell.

Abbott was able to find success because baseball is such a hyperspecialized sport. He could pitch with his good hand, then switch the glove over to that hand before the ball was in play. Since he stuck with the American League and its designated hitter rules, he never had to bat.

Mixed martial arts is the exact opposite of baseball. Instead of highly specialized athletes focused on one aspect of the game, modern MMA fighters must learn to blend a wide variety of sometimes conflicting disciplines. But that diversity allows athletes with very different skill sets and physical attributes to succeed.

"Because of his shortened arm, certain moves work differently for him."

Newell eventually began training under Andrew Calandrelli, a student of Renzo Gracie, grandson of Carlos, forming a direct lineage between a Connecticut wrestler and the creators of Brazilian Jiu Jitsu. In his academies, Renzo hangs a portrait of Helio, a reminder of the everlasting emphasis on technique over physique.

Seven of Newell's 10 wins are by submission, and like the championship bout with Eric Reynolds, his shortened arm has played a role. "Nick took the great base he had as a wrestler and layered on a really dangerous Jiu Jitsu game," says Callendri. "Because of his shortened arm, certain moves work differently for him. His heel hooks and certain chokes come on a lot faster and tighter, with a different kind of leverage."

In certain positions, when Newell is on top controlling an opponent, the lack of a forearm means his opponent can't attack with submissions of his own. No one who had trained or coached Newell would suggest it's an advantage in the cage.  "But it's something his opponents can't really prepare for," says Callendri.

* * *

Fans crowded around close, spilling beer onto the mats. "People kept reaching through the fence trying to grab me."

Modern mixed martial arts has come a long way since the brutal days of the early UFC events, which had no weight classes or time limits. But Nick Newell's first fight, an amateur bout in his home state of Connecticut, was a far cry from the bright lights and strict rules of the Las Vegas Octagon. "My first match was in a bar. They literally just pushed the chairs and tables back to the walls, threw this tiny cage in the middle, and called it a ring." Fans crowded around close, spilling beer onto the mats. "People kept reaching through the fence trying to grab me," says Newell with a shake of his head. His first amateur bout ended in a loss. It was to be the only blemish on his MMA record.

Especially during this early part of his career, before he had a reputation and status in the fight game, finding willing opponents was tough. "People didn't see any benefit in fighting him. If they lost, it was worse because he had one hand. If they beat him, it made them look bad because he had one hand," says Jeremy Libiszewski, Nick's trainer at the Fighting Arts Academy in Springfield, Mass. "It took him twice as long to find decent opponents."

In 2010, Newell got a chance to audition for The Ultimate Fighter, the reality show competition that had inspired his early interest in MMA. TUF acts as a feeder for the UFC, and while numerous mixed martial arts leagues exist, the UFC is far and away the most popular, featuring the best talent and highest salaries. Contestants on the show compete to win a six-figure UFC contract, and several former winners have gone on to become UFC champions.

Hundreds of young hopefuls lined up for their shot during TUF's East Coast tryouts. Inside, anxious combatants hit pads and grappled in front of the UFC's top matchmakers and talent scouts. Before he even got a chance to warm up, Newell stood out. While the fights on the show are never staged, TUF is also a reality television program keen to find characters with compelling life stories. His shortened arm turned heads, and his quick submission of a well-known competitor during the grappling section ensured he made the short list of potential cast members.

The UFC flew Newell out to Las Vegas to meet with its matchmakers and producers. His good looks and natural charm helped him ace the screen test, and it seemed to Newell that he was being offered a chance to be part of the show. But a few weeks later, the UFC informed him that it had decided not to include him after all.

For Newell, it was a painful blow. Dana White, the UFC's talkative, often controversial president, made the logic behind the decision clear in a subsequent interview, when he told MMA Fighting, "It's hard to fight here with two arms. Will the state of Nevada let him fight? Will the state of California let him fight? Would some of these bigger athletic commissions let him fight? Maybe he can get away with that in some of these other states. I don't know, fighting with one arm is just craziness to me."

In Newell's mind, White has concerns about matters that aren't even in play. "I've already been licensed in Nevada, so that's not really an issue at all," Newell told reporters. "It kind of disappoints me that someone that's such a powerful figure in this sport feels that way or looks at me that way."

"Anyone else with my record, 10-0 with nine first-round stoppages, would be getting calls from the top organizations."

In the meantime, he's continuing to prove he can hang with TUF-caliber fighters. In his last bout, Newell needed only two minutes to dispatch Keon Caldwell, an alumnus of The Ultimate Fighter series.

"Anyone else with my record, 10-0 with nine first-round stoppages, would be getting calls from the top organizations," says Newell. His upcoming match was originally slated to be against Gesias "JZ" Cavalcante, a very well-known fighter who has competed in all the top organizations, including the UFC. "After he beats JZ, the UFC would look pretty bad not to consider him," said Callendri, Newell's grappling coach.

But just a few weeks before the fight, JZ pulled out. It was another chance to climb the ladder deferred. Instead, Newell will face yet another fighter with little name recognition and a record nowhere close to his own. "I finish fights, I'm exciting, people want to see me compete," Newell declared recently. "I want to see where I stand among the world's elite fighters, and I feel like I've earned my shot."

Regardless of whether the UFC ever comes calling, Newell plans to continue competing as long as he is able. "I wouldn't stop if I won another belt. I'm the kind of person who is never content, no matter what I have," he said. "It's a blessing and a curse, but it's why I'm here today."

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Producer:Chris Mottram | Video Director/Editor: Peter Mychalcewycz | Copy Editor:Sarah Hardy

SB Nation’s 2014 World Cup Draw Preview

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The World Cup draw takes place on Friday and SB Nation is here to get you ready with everything you need to know about the 32 qualified teams.

SB Nation's 2014

World Cup Draw Preview

Your complete guide to the World Cup Draw presented by

On Friday, a large group of celebrities and former players will walk down a red carpet and head into a room where they will watch grown men fumble around with ping pong balls. There will be musical guests. There will be very cheesy video packages about the wonderful culture and landscape of Brazil, the history of the World Cup and the great careers of the players participating in the draw. It will be ridiculous, but the results of the draw matter. A lot.

Upsets happen in the group stage of every World Cup, but for many teams, their fate will be sealed with the draw. They'll know instantly if they have a shot to make a deep run or if they should be happy just to get the experience of going to Brazil and playing three World Cup games.

The 32 teams that qualified for the World Cup have been organized into four pots. Usually, the teams are organized into even pots with eight teams apiece, but a lower number of European teams than usual have been seeded, resulting in one nine-team pot and one seven-team pot. One European team will end up as a wildcard and we could end up seeing the Group of Death to end all Groups of Death as a result -- it's possible that Brazil, Italy, the Netherlands and the United States all end up together.

There's also the possibility of some notoriously weak groups popping up, thanks to some less than fantastic teams getting seeded. Uruguay went to the semifinals of the last World Cup and has plenty of talent, but finished fifth in South American qualifying. Belgium is similarly stacked, but hasn't even qualified for the last two World Cups or the last three editions of the European Championship. And then there's Switzerland, which got seeded thanks to a couple of solid wins and a quirky aspect of the FIFA rankings that didn't reward playing lots of tough games unless you won all of them.

For those who haven't followed the entire qualifying process, there's a lot to get caught up on, especially since almost every team has a reasonable chance to make some noise in Brazil. Below, you'll find a preview of every team in the draw to help you do just that.

The Seeds

Brazil is only 11th in the FIFA rankings, but by virtue of hosting the tournament, they're a seeded team and will be automatically placed in Group A to allow tournament organizers to plan for home games. They're joined by quite a few of the usual suspects in Germany, Spain and Argentina, but the other four seeds are newcomers to the upper echelon of the sport. Uruguay, a semifinalist in 2010, squeaks in despite finishing fifth on their own continent in qualifying. Colombia and Belgium have earned their way into the top group with spectacular performances over the last two years, while Switzerland did a bit of gaming the system, though it's not clear whether or not they knew what they were doing.

Brazil

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Brazil

As hosts and reigning Confederations Cup champions, Brazil is expected to win the World Cup. They don't have the same kind of quality depth that Spain, Germany and neighboring rivals Argentina have, but they make up for it with their high-pressure side and a defense that's considerably better than their tournament rivals.

Neymar is undoubtedly the star of the show and hasn't skipped a beat since moving from Santos to Barcelona in the summer. Whatever learning curve between Brazilian and Spanish football exists took him a couple of months to master, and with Lionel Messi battling injuries, he's emerged as the Blaugrana's most important attacker in recent weeks.

People don't think about defense when they think about Brazilian soccer, but depth and quality at the central defense position are what sets Brazil apart from the rest of the field. Thiago Silva is arguably the best central defender in the world, and Luiz Felipe Scolari's biggest decision is which puffy-haired star Silva should be partnered with. Dante and David Luiz have both had their turns in the starting role, and it's tough to go wrong with either.

The biggest question between now and the World Cup for Brazil will be whether or not Sandro can get healthy. Tottenham Hotspur's midfield wrecking ball was among Europe's best in 2012 and an automatic starter for Brazil, but he's had a couple of setbacks in recovering from an ACL tear. If he comes back, it'll be harder to score on Brazil than it will be to stop them from scoring, which is saying a lot.

Key facts

Coach Luiz Felipe Scolari

How they qualified Hosts

2010 World Cup result Quarterfinals

Best player Neymar

FIFA ranking 11th

Argentina

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Argentina

When you think Argentina, you think Lionel Messi. Or possibly steak. Or tango. But soccer fans think of Messi. OK, younger soccer fans who don’t automatically think of Diego Maradona think of Messi. Just go with it, OK?

Not so long ago, Messi’s contributions to the Argentina national team were seen as trifling, as nothing compared to what the attacker was able to do at Barcelona. Messi wasn’t scoring; ergo, he wasn’t helping out his national side. But even if that was a line you bought into, it’s irrelevant these days: Messi scored 10 goals in CONMEBOL qualifying, more than any player other than Luis Suárez.

But Suárez practically is the Uruguay national football team, whereas on Argentina, six players scored at least three goals during qualifying. In fact, come Brazil, the biggest question will likely be which attacker has to be dropped to a bench role. Sergio Agüero, Gonzalo Higuaín, Ezequiel Lavezzi, Ángel di María … none of these are exactly unknown entities. Reading the Albiceleste roster makes one nod and go “Oh. Yes. There’s a reason they scored 35 goals in 16 matches.” But casting an eye over their defenders, many of whom are on the young side, have been recently injured, or are plying their wares outside the top leagues, explains why Argentina concede in nearly every match.

Not even the biggest madridista will be hoping Messi’s recent injuries prevent him from playing a pivotal role in the World Cup. But even in the absence of Leo, this Argentina side, with their bright attack and devil-may-care approach to defense, will be fun to watch.

Key facts

Coach Alejandro Sabella

How they qualified Top four, CONMEBOL

2010 World Cup result Quarterfinals

Best player Lionel Messi

FIFA ranking 3rd

Colombia

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Colombia

Any team with Radamel Falcao has a chance to win a match, but Colombia heads to Brazil with much more than a chance, and their goals are much bigger than winning just one match. Falcao, arguably the world's best striker, has a wonderful collection of teammates in James Rodriguez, Teo Gutierrez, Jackson Martinez, Fredy Guarin and Cristian Zapata. Give Jose Pekerman that kind of talent, and the team is bound to win, as Colombia did en route to second place in CONMEBOL qualifying and a seed for the draw.

The last time Colombia entered a World Cup with such high expectations, they bombed out of USA 1994. Then again, nothing went right for Colombia that time around, before, during or after the tournament. Chalk that up to bad luck, the nature of tournament football or Pablo Escobar, but they also didn't have the antidote to all that ailed the team 20 years ago -- Falcao.

Step forward, Falcao, the man who will take the neon-yellow men to glory. The World Cup is back in South America, and if a team from the continent is going to win it, why not Colombia? They may not be Brazil or Argentina, but they aren’t far off.

Key facts

Coach Jose Peckerman

How they qualified Top four, CONMEBOL

2010 World Cup result Did not qualify

Best player Radamel Falcao

FIFA ranking 4th

Uruguay

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Uruguay

Being a Uruguay fan can’t have been much fun for the last couple of years, with Óscar Tabárez’s team having fallen off a cliff since their brilliant win at the Copa América in 2011. Despite having literally two of the world’s best strikers at his disposal in Edinson Cavani and Luis Suárez, the coach has struggled to make the team gel as a cohesive unit, tinkering endlessly with formations and personnel. That the Celeste had to go through a playoff just to qualify for Brazil 2014 is indicative of their troubles.

They are certainly weaker at the back than up top, with aging captain Diego Lugano sadly no longer as defensively pleasing as he famously is aesthetically. Fortunately they have plenty of gritty anchormen in the midfield to shield the porous back line, while the inclusion of talented young playmaker Nicolás Lodeiro can help maintain possession and ease the attacking burden on their star strikers.

Also in Uruguay’s favour is their habit of punching above their weight at major tournaments. Despite their small population they’ve won the World Cup twice, including their first ever edition back in 1930. For all of their recent struggles, it wouldn’t be all that surprising if they find their groove when the action gets underway in Brazil. It’s difficult to envision them seriously troubling the best sides, though with Cavani and Suárez in attack, you never quite know.

Key facts

Coach Oscar Tabarez

How they qualified Intercontinental playoff

2010 World Cup result Semifinals

Best player Edinson Cavani

FIFA ranking 6th

Belgium

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Belgium

For several years now, Belgium has been fancied as the next new “It” team in international soccer. However, before qualifying for the 2014 World Cup, there has been a lot of sizzle and not much steak when it comes to the Belgians.

2014 will be Belgium’s first World Cup appearance since 2002, and they got there in style. They won their UEFA qualifying group going away, conceding only four goals in 10 games, winning eight, drawing two and losing none. Manager Marc Wilmots’ squad is littered with club stars, led by a potent attack featuring Christian Benteke, Romelu Lukaku, and Kevin Mirallas.

Midfield is where the Belgians are really loaded. It’s truly a luxury to be able to deploy Eden Hazard, Mousa Dembele, Kevin DeBruyne, Marouane Fellaini, Axel Witsel and other quality players in the middle of the park. Some may consider having that many options to be a problem, but that would be somewhat silly, since having more good players is better than not having them.

The squad is captained by center back Jan Vertonghen, who leads the impressive backline that includes Daniel Van Buyten, Thomas Vermaelen and Toby Alderweireld. Behind them, Wilmots is able to choose between two capable goalkeepers in Thibaut Courtois and Simon Mignolet.

Some may short the Belgians’ chances to win the 2014 World Cup due to a lack of big-game international experience, but there’s no question that they have the talent to win the tournament.

Key facts

Coach Marc Wilmots

How they qualified Winner, UEFA Group A

2010 World Cup result Did not qualify

Best player Eden Hazard

FIFA ranking 5th

Germany

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Germany

Germany has gone into the last few major international tournaments with the swagger of a serious contender, but has tended to disintegrate in the heat of the knockout stages. Since their last World Cup win in 1990 -- which happened to be their last tournament before reunification -- they have wound up as beaten quarterfinalists and semifinalists twice, and runner-up in 2002. So much for German reliability.

But, could Brazil 2014 finally be the tournament at which Germany picks up their first World Cup in almost a quarter of a century? Boasting an ever-more talented squad and just about the strongest domestic team in world football at the moment in Bayern Munich, expectations are high. Germany has an embarrassment of riches in midfield, including Mesut Özil, Thomas Müller and Mario Götze -- playmakers who could stake a claim for a starting spot on any team in the world.

Germany’s defense, with the exception of captain Philipp Lahm -- a player so versatile he could excel in pretty much every position on the field -- isn’t quite as strong, and coach Joachim Löw has occasionally gone Spanish and experimented with a midfielder in attack in the absence of a truly world-class center forward. However, given the team scored 36 goals in their 10 unbeaten qualifying matches, that doesn’t seem to have been a problem. A powerful side capable of destroying opponents with brutal counter-attacks, there’s no doubt that Germany is scary indeed.

Key facts

Coach Joachim Löw

How they qualified Winners, UEFA Group C

2010 World Cup result Semifinals

Best player Bastian Schweinsteiger

FIFA ranking 2nd

Spain

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Spain

Spain is the defending World Cup champions and the winners of the last two European Championships. They’ve been the dominant force in international soccer over the past six years but Spain has started to show cracks in their aura of invincibility recently.

There’s no doubt Spain remains a talented and dangerous team that is certainly among the favorites for success in Brazil. But in order to be the first European team to win a World Cup in South America, they must rediscover some of the form that defined their successful run over the past few years.

Who ends up starting in goal for Vicente del Bosque will likely be a big story leading up to next summer’s tournament. Captain and longtime starter Iker Casillas remains out of favor at Real Madrid, opening the door for Barcelona’s Victor Valdés to earn some starts recently. Casillas still seems the likely choice considering his experience and resume, but if he spends the rest of the season on the bench behind Diego Lopez, Del Bosque may be tempted to go with Valdés.

Spain’s true strength remains their midfield, where they possess a plethora of riches in terms of talent. Barcelona’s Xavi Hernandez, Andrés Iniesta and Sergio Busquets are all regulars in the starting lineup, but the biggest boost could come from the return of Real Madrid’s Xabi Alonso, who is finally healthy after a prolonged absence due to injury.

While Spain’s system doesn’t rely on a true out-and-out striker, the Spaniards will nonetheless need their forwards to be effective to find success in Brazil. Atlético Madrid’s David Villa and Manchester City’s Álvaro Negredo will be in the mix, with Villa’s Atéti teammate Diego Costa a potential wild card up front.

Del Bosque will also need a strong performance from his defense if Spain wants to become the first country to repeat as World Cup champions since Brazil won back-to-back titles in 1958 and 1962.

Key facts

Coach Vicente Del Bosque

How they qualified Winners, UEFA Group I

2010 World Cup result Winners

Best player Andres Iniesta

FIFA ranking 1st

Switzerland

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Switzerland

The Swiss may generally be seen as a fairly docile and harmless lot, though Ottmar Hitzfeld’s side is emphatically not just traveling to Brazil to provide the cheese and chocolate. Switzerland’s national team is bursting at the seams with exciting, young talent, and they will be looking to better their group-stage exit at the last World Cup in South Africa.

They have a great blend of youth and experience, with veterans Gökhan Inler, Blerim Džemaili and Valon adding steel to the midfield, while Gladbach's Granit Xhaka, Bayern Munich's Xherdan Shaqiri and Fulham's Pajtim Kasami offer a more youthful zest. It’s in midfield that the Swiss are best stocked, though emerging attackers like Real Sociedad’s Haris Seferović and Freiburg's Admir Mehmedi have kept the more experienced Eren Derdiyok and Innocent Emeghara from recent squads.

Defensively, Switzerland is rather less well endowed, despite the industry of Juventus’ Stephan Lichtsteiner at right back. It’s this defensive weakness as much as anything else that keeps Hitzfeld’s side from being a genuine dark horse. However, it’s certainly a side capable of causing an upset or two, and possibly progressing into the knockout stages. If you’re looking to adopt a nation for a month and are too hipster for Colombia or Belgium, Switzerland could be a fun choice.

Key facts

Coach Ottmar Hitzfeld

How they qualified Winners, UEFA Group E

2010 World Cup result Group stage

Best player Xherdan Shaqiri

FIFA ranking 7th


Asia, North and Central America

The United States feels better about this World Cup than most after they surged through The Hex, but like the other teams in this pot, their World Cup fate could be decided by the draw. There are possible easy paths to the knockout stage and impossible group stage draws in play for everyone. Costa Rica and Honduras will probably struggle to get out of their groups no matter what happens, but the U.S. and Mexico could go far if the draw shakes out well.

A similar dynamic exists with the Asian teams. South Korea and Japan are knockout stage veterans at this point and will pose a threat to whoever draws them. Iran and Australia, meanwhile, probably need a miracle draw to feel like they have a decent shot of getting out of their groups.

Australia

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Australia

You’d expect a nation that qualified for the World Cup for the first time 32 years in 2006 to not be so picky, but Australians are a fickle bunch. Four years after that famous underdog showing in Germany, Pim Verbeek took a side to South Africa that had been widely criticised in qualifying as being too defensive, and promptly got smashed 4-0 by the Germans.

Probably thinking that if you can’t beat them, copy them, the Socceroos appointed their own German, Holger Osieck, whose initially promising regime – starting with second place in the 2011 Asian Cup – ended ultimately in qualifying success. That’s not enough, though, for the demanding Australian public, and after successive 6-0 friendly losses to Brazil and France that exemplified the widespread concern at a lack of squad regeneration and underwhelming tactics, Osieck was sacked.

In comes Ange Postecoglou just eight months out from the tournament. Having conquered the A-League with an unprecedented possession-based brand of soccer at the Brisbane Roar – and looking ominously like doing the same at the Melbourne Victory until he got the call from head office – his appointment has tied in with a wave of fresh optimism, with supporters feeling Postecoglou is the man to oversee a long-awaited changing of the guard, away from the heroes but also veterans of 2006, and in with the newer, younger players.

It’s easier said than done, though. Australians are no longer prominent in the Premier League and far more likely to be found plying their trade in the Middle East or lower-tier European leagues. The feeling is that Brazil 2014 may come too soon for a side likely to be in transition under a new coach. Still, the appointment of Postecoglou is a significant step forward for the Socceroos, as he’s the first native in the job since 2005, and the first Australian to take the national team to a World Cup since 1974.

Key facts

Coach Luiz Ange Postecoglou

How they qualified Top two, AFC Group B

2010 World Cup result Group stage

Best player Mile Jedinak

FIFA ranking 57th

Iran

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Iran

While there’s no one as lame as North Korea hanging around this edition of the World Cup, three other countries will inevitably be pleased when they draw Iran. They’re potentially the weakest team in the field and a serious beneficiary of the success of Japan and South Korea, who have managed to play well enough in the last three tournaments to secure four automatic qualifying spots for Asia.

Iran won their qualifying group, beating South Korea in the process, but the win in Ulsan that saw them top the group happened after the Koreans had already secured qualification. Now that they’re in the big show, they’re trying to drum up some dual nationals to come over and help their cause, adding Iranian-American defender Steven Beitashour and Iranian-German goalkeeper Daniel Davari. Iranian-Dutch striker Reza Ghoochannejhad joined up during qualifying.

Yes, that is his real name. Yes, he will be starting in Brazil. Yes, the staff here are going to negotiate pay-per-letter contracts.

They’re coached by Portuguese manager Carlos Queiroz, a journeyman who you may know as the guy who outlined U.S. soccer’s youth setup, the guy who used to stand next to Alex Ferguson or the guy who guided Portugal to their most boring and unwatchable spell in their history. You’ll enjoy watching his Iran team pack 11 men behind the ball, then inevitably lose.

Key facts

Coach Carlos Queiroz

How they qualified Top two, AFC Group A

2010 World Cup result Did not qualify

Best player Jevad Nekounam

FIFA ranking 49th

Japan

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Japan

If you’re a soccer hipster whose national team didn’t qualify for the World Cup (or perhaps it did, but you’re still too cool to support it, aren’t you?), you’re most likely going to cheer on Colombia, Belgium or Japan. Probably Japan, ‘cause Colombia and Belgium are already too mainstream. You’re going to be so proud of yourself when Japan wins the World Cup.

OK, no, that won’t happen. And besides, winning anything would make Japan uncool, wouldn’t it?

Though you’ll certainly enjoy Shinji Kagawa’s Panenka in the penalty shootout against England in the first knockout stage. It’s going to give you endless satisfaction to tell everyone how idiotic Manchester United was for never believing in that guy. You’ll have even more to rant about when Japan loses to Brazil in the quarterfinals thanks to a penalty resulting from a blatant Neymar dive.

In reality, Japan probably won’t become world champions, but they just might become more than the hipsters’ choice team. Quick, modern soccer, a few great players like the already mentioned Kagawa, as well as Keisuke Honda, Yuto Nagatomo, Takashi Inui, and Alberto Zaccheroni, a coach who captured the scudetto in Italy. What’s there not to like?

Key facts

Coach Alberto Zaccheroni

How they qualified Top two, AFC Group B

2010 World Cup result Round of 16

Best player Shinji Kagawa

FIFA ranking 44th

South Korea

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South Korea

If you loved/hated South Korea in 2010, you’ll love/hate South Korea now. Park Ji-Sung has retired, along with a few other older players, but they’ve been replaced by a bunch of young K-League and J-League stars who look just as capable as their predecessors.

Don’t be too concerned by the fact that South Korea finished second in a qualifying group with Iran -- they had qualified before the final game and didn’t put their best foot forward in that last match.

Bayer Leverkusen attacking midfielder Son Heung-Min is unquestionably the star of the group and is enjoying a great season at his new Bundesliga club. He’s been touted as one of the best young talents in Germany since he just barely missed out on the last World Cup, but South Korea have some questions to answer in front of him. Attacking midfielders generally can’t do much without some help at striker, and both Park Chu-Young and Koo Ja-Cheol are seriously out of form, while Kim Shin-Wook has just two goals in 22 caps. South Korea might be depending on Lee Dong-Gook, who will be 35 when the tournament comes around, to roll back the years and give them one last big-tournament performance.

Overall, expect to see what you’ve seen from South Korea in the past: a solid, well-organized side that is neither flashy nor overly defensive. They have a lot of players who are good at everything, but not great at anything. They’re not going to win the World Cup, but they’ll provide a formidable foe for everyone they come up against.

Key facts

Coach Hong Myung-bo

How they qualified Top two, AFC Group A

2010 World Cup result Round of 16

Best player Son Heung-Min

FIFA ranking 56th

Costa Rica

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Costa Rica

Its glorious beaches and relative lack of crime when compared to other Central American countries have long made Costa Rica a popular tourist destination for anyone who wants to feel like they went on an adventure without really taking their lives into their own hands. Their soccer reputation? Not quite as fun. The country of about 4.5 million has experienced some pretty good highs -- going undefeated in the 1990 World Cup group stage and qualifying for the Round of 16 -- but hasn’t really established themselves as the CONCACAF power one might expect. After losing all three of their games in the 2006 World Cup, Costa Rica failed to qualify in 2010.

Maybe that failure woke up a sleeping giant. Flying just under the radar, Los Ticos nearly finished atop the final stage of CONCACAF qualifying by winning all five of their home games. Among those wins were a dominating victory over the United Stages (3-1 on Sept. 6). They now head into Brazil with their highest ranking since 2005 (currently No. 31).

Costa Rica does not necessarily have a roster full of international stars, but there’s enough talent there to believe they can at least make life difficult for the opponents. Bryan Ruiz (Fulham) was their leading scorer during qualifying with three goals, mostly being deployed as a wide attacking midfielder in either a 4-2-3-1 or, more recently, a 5-4-1 formation. The lone forward has usually been filled by Real Salt Lake’s Alvaro Saborio, who is his country’s current leading scorer with 31 international goals. Joel Campbell -- the 21-year-old who might best be remembered for his glorious acting job that got Matt Besler booked in Costa Rica’s game against the United States and suspended for the next match -- has blossomed into one of Greek giant Olympiacos’ top attackers.

Sure, Costa Rica will probably still be better known for their beaches than their soccer after Brazil, but it’ll still be fun.

Key facts

Coach Jorge Luis Pinto

How they qualified Top three, CONCACAF

2010 World Cup result Did not qualify

Best player Alvaro Saborio

FIFA ranking 31st

Honduras

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Honduras

Honduras makes their second straight appearance in the World Cup after a surprising third-place finish in CONCACAF qualifying, ahead of the heavily favored Mexico. Los Catrachos have never made it out of the group stages and their chances of finally breaking that streak will likely depend greatly on how friendly a draw they receive.

There’s no question that Honduras has talent but when you line up their players against the types of teams they are likely to face in Brazil, the odds quickly get long for them.

Honduras has a nice blend of experience and youth with one of their best players being midfielder Óscar Boniek García, a creative winger who plays in MLS for the Houston Dynamo. There are several MLS stars, and former MLS stars, in the Honduras fold, including the New England Revolution’s Jerry Bengston, along with Víctor Bernárdez and Marvin Chávez of the San Jose Earthquakes. Midfielder Roger Espinoza and striker Carlos Costly also spent some time in MLS.

Los Catrachos will need to solidify their defense in order to have any chance of getting out of the group stages. Throughout World Cup qualifying, Honduras was inconsistent in the back, looking like world beaters in some matches and getting picked apart in others. Defensive consistency will be the key for them in the end.

Key facts

Coach Luis Fernando Suarez

How they qualified Top three, CONCACAF

2010 World Cup result Group stage

Best player Roger Espinoza

FIFA ranking 34th

Mexico

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Mexico

While the managers, star players and styles of play have long been established for most World Cup teams, there will be nothing but questions about Mexico in the build-up to the World Cup. New manager Miguel Herrera and a squad without any European-based players demolished a poor New Zealand team, but it’s anyone’s guess what they’ll look like in late May and whether they’ll be able to compete with the world’s best.

Mexico is probably closer to the team that won the 2011 Gold Cup and smashed the Kiwis than the one that failed to finish top three in the final round of CONCACAF qualifying. Even if “Chicharito” Javier Hernandez isn’t starting regularly for Manchester United and Rafa Marquez is old, they’re still loaded relative to the rest of North America. This team probably has more talent than the one that made the knockout stage in 2010.

Still, it’s a mystery how that talent will be used or even if their biggest talents will play. There are nearly a dozen foreign-based Mexicans that are among El Tri’s best 23 players, but does Herrera think he needs them? Can he convince Carlos Vela to accept a call-up after he spent years turning down “Chepo” Jose Manuel de la Torre? Will he even try?

No one knows who Mexico is or what they’re going to look like at the World Cup. For reasons similar to not starting a fight with a crazy person, shouldn’t everyone want to avoid drawing them?

Key facts

Coach Miguel Herrera

How they qualified Intercontinental playoff

2010 World Cup result Round of 16

Best player Carlos Vela

FIFA ranking 24th

United States

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United States

The United States is headed to its seventh straight World Cup, but hold off on the party. The Americans have alternated good and bad World Cups in each of the last six, and their last one, in 2010 when they won their group for the first time in more than 70 years, was a good one. Then again, each of the Americans' bad World Cups has come when the tournament was played in Europe, and this one will be in Brazil so, theoretically, the curse will not follow them south of the equator. Toss in the fact that Jurgen Klinsmann has given the middle finger to everyone and everything to great effect since taking over as U.S. manager, and it's tough to imagine history getting in the way of the U.S. in Brazil.

One thing that could cause the Americans problems is their defense, though. The U.S. defensive record has been pretty good since Klinsmann took over, but the team still has question marks all across the back line and is short on experience at the back. With the draw likely to land the U.S. in a tough group -- a result of being the best team in their pot -- and that defense could be their undoing -- unless Klinsmann tells his defense to give the opposition and common sense the middle finger, too.

Key facts

Coach Jurgen Klinsmann

How they qualified Top three, CONCACAF

2010 World Cup result Round of 16

Best player Michael Bradley

FIFA ranking 13th

Europe

The ultimate set of wild cards exists in the pot of unseeded European teams. None of the nine are weak, but the difference between the best and worst teams in this group is significant. No one wants to see Italy, while everyone's rooting to end up with Greece. No one's going to cry about drawing England, either.

Portugal, the Netherlands and the aforementioned Italians are a scary proposition for anyone and could have been seeded in another year. Italy is coming off a great run in Euro 2012, the Netherlands was runner-up at the last World Cup and Portugal, despite recent struggles to qualify for major tournaments, has Cristiano Ronaldo. They make up the top tier of teams in this pot.

England and France are certainly no pushovers and have enough talent and depth that they could become serious threats at any time. They just haven't looked great at any point in the last two major tournaments or qualifying cycles. Russia and Bosnia were both excellent in qualifying, while Croatia have a startling number of world-class players for the size of their country and strength of their domestic league.

Bosnia and Herzegovina

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Bosnia and Herzegovina

Bosnia and Herzegovina is all set to take the stage at their first-ever World Cup as an independent country.* In case you haven’t heard anything about BiH since 1995, here’s a quick rundown … about their soccer team.

The one name you almost certainly know is Edin Džeko. If not, just wait – his lack of regular starting time at Manchester City will have him linked to your club in no time. But it took more than one 6-foot 4-inch man-giant to get Bosnia through the qualifiers with just one loss.

Talk to almost any Bosniak and they’ll tell you that the true linchpin of the side is AS Roma midfielder Miralem Pjanic. The 23-year-old playmaker is the one setting up his side for success, providing the balls that allowed Džeko to score 10 goals during the qualifying campaign or Stuttgart’s Vedad Ibišević to score eight. Speaking of Ibišević, talk about him if you want to sound smart: He spent his high school years in St. Louis and was named NCAA Freshman of the Year while at St. Louis University, but wound up pledging his international career to his native Bosnia.

This Bosnia side isn’t filled with world-renowned superstars. The majority of the team’s core are plying their trade in mid-table German sides, or in Turkey, or maybe in Russia. But Safet Sušić has his boys playing dependable, steady soccer that doesn’t require too many tricks. Pjanic provides the dazzle, and Džeko and Ibišević are there to ensure the ball goes into the back of the net. Surprisingly enough, this tried and true formula often results in rather enjoyable soccer.

*Disclaimer: Yes, Bosnia has been to the World Cup as part of the nation of Yugoslavia. That is why we’ve included the phrase “independent nation.” Please cease writing complaints in all caps now.

Key facts

Coach Safet Susic

How they qualified Winners, UEFA Group G

2010 World Cup result Did not qualify

Best player Edin Dzeko

FIFA ranking 16th

Croatia

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Croatia

Croatia is fun, talented, great to watch … and ultimately very disappointing.

Their impressive performance at Euro 2008, featuring a number of players in their early-to-mid-20s who were previously unknown to a global audience, looked to be a sign of great things to come for the country. Then they missed out on the 2010 World Cup, failed to get out of a group of death at Euro 2012 and finished behind Belgium in the most recent qualifying cycle, leading to their battling Iceland in a playoff that was closer than it should have been.

There’s no doubt that Croatia has the depth, talent and experience to be dark horse contenders at the World Cup and make a deep run in the tournament, but they’ve yet to prove that they’re capable of doing so. Ever since their shock win over Germany in 2008, they’ve had more setbacks than accomplishments.

While this shouldn’t be the last shot at a World Cup for Real Madrid’s Luka Modric, Bayern Munich’s Mario Mandzukic or captain Darijo Srna, they might be exiting their primes by the time Russia 2018 rolls around. This isn’t quite a “now or never” situation, but it’s pretty close.

Key facts

Coach Niko Kovac

How they qualified UEFA playoffs

2010 World Cup result Did not qualify

Best player Luka Modric

FIFA ranking 18th

England

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England

England just isn't comfortable in its own skin. Despite being home to the Premier League and a slew of superb players, despite being a formidable enough soccer power, the sense is that it's never enough. Forget the ghosts of 1966 -- the ghost of empire rules over the Three Lions.

The dual strands of optimism (read: arrogance) and dour realism permeate the England setup. In the leadup to this summer's World Cup, the story will be about the squad not having to deal with the same sort of pressure as usual; after they're knocked out, we'll be told that they didn't live up to expectations and would do well to take notes from [insert country]'s culture if they want to be serious about winning. Unless, that is, they play good soccer, in which case they'll lose on penalties in the quarters.

With the last remnants of a generation of greats fading out of the spotlight, the Wayne Rooney era is upon us. And frankly, it's a lot more boring than the prologue might have suggested, leaving England relying on a star player who too often looks as though he possesses the creative ability of a particularly dull rock.

Surrounding Rooney are a gaggle of (admittedly good) players who are either too limited, too old or too inconsistent to count on at the very top level, and perhaps the only position in which England has any depth at all is left back. The midfield is a mess, and the sooner everyone gets over the Andros-Townsend-will-save-us nonsense the better.

Despite the obvious problems, the Three Lions are a decent enough side. But barring a miracle, they're not coming close to winning. England, of course, confides that every man will do his duty.

Key facts

Coach Roy Hodgson

How they qualified Winners, UEFA Group H

2010 World Cup result Round of 16

Best player Wayne Rooney

FIFA ranking 10th

France

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France

Despite seemingly their best efforts to miss out on their first World Cup since 1994, France was able to scrape their way into the field for Brazil. The French overcame a two-goal deficit to the Ukraine and claimed their place with a 3-0 win, powered by two goals from Mamadou Sakho (of all people) and another from Karim Benzema.

Talent has never been a question for this French team. The squad list is loaded with stars that play for some of the biggest teams in Europe, but their results have been extremely lackluster since appearing in the World Cup Final in 2006. They famously finished last in their group in the 2010 World Cup and didn’t fare much better in Euro 2012, finishing second in their group but exiting the tournament in the quarterfinals.

The current squad features a wealth of talent, but the question remains whether they can be more than the sum of their parts. They have explosive attacking players in Benzema, Franck Ribery and the tantalizing Paul Pogba, as well as a mix of youth and experience on the backline ahead of goalkeeper Hugo Lloris. However, the question remains whether this group of French players can put it all together when the pressure is on. They overcame a huge challenge just to secure their berth in the World Cup; now it’s time to see what they can do with it.

Key facts

Coach Laurent Blanc

How they qualified UEFA playoffs

2010 World Cup result Group stage

Best player Franck Ribery

FIFA ranking 21st

Greece

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Greece

Bosnia and Herzegovina almost saved us from the eye-torture that is watching Greece play soccer by forcing the Greeks into a playoff, but they got a fortunate draw and proceeded to advance by Romania comfortably. Now, the most defensive decent team in the world will take their talents to Brazil, where they will inevitably piss off everyone who isn’t Greek.

Seriously, Greece didn’t even try to attack Liechtenstein. Liechtenstein!

While Greece manages to annoy people by being outrageously dull and having players with names that are very hard to spell, the Greeks are pretty good at what they do and have the talent to challenge anyone. Forwards Konstantinos Mitroglou and Dimitris Salpingidis are physically imposing guys who are very solid in front of goal and work hard defensively. They have very good depth in the center of defense and their midfield is always well-organized and difficult to break down.

There’s a good chance you’re going to hate Greece, and for very good reason, but no one can say that they don’t deserve to be here and that they’re not very good at what they do. Moralizing about styles of play is silly, and the Greeks have every right to do what they do.

But seriously, these guys suck to watch.

Key facts

Coach Fernando Santos

How they qualified UEFA playoffs

2010 World Cup result Group stage

Best player Kostas Mitroglou

FIFA ranking 15th

Italy

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Italy

Italy. The very name conjures up images of heaping plates of pasta, flowing glasses of red wine, and defensive soccer teams set to bore us into turning off international tournaments and pouring another glass of wine. But, in the same way Italians don’t actually tuck into oversized platters of spaghetti and meatballs, the idea of a defensive Italian national team is an outdated construct that is still perpetuated by the media.

Sure, Italy used to be known for their defensive soccer – this is the country that popularized catenaccio, after all. But although Cesare Prandelli remains conservative, the Azzurri are not a tight-knit defensive unit. Remember Spain’s 4-0 win in the Euro 2012 final? And if it’s not fair to use Spain as barometer, think of it this way: Italy kept a clean sheet in the qualifying process in just four of 10 matches. If it weren’t for Gigi Buffon, it’s highly likely many more goals would’ve slipped in.

Italy certainly have potent strikers. Mario Balotelli can get the job done, whether from a fantastic goal or going to ground at the right moment. Giuseppe Rossi is finally healthy, and already has double-digit goals in league play. But it’s the Azzurri midfield that will make the difference. Daniele De Rossi will protect the back line. Alessandro Florenzi and Marco Veratti are both young and eager to impress at the national level. But it’s Andrea Pirlo that will make or break Italy’s World Cup. At 34, the midfield maestro is finally growing a bit inconsistent; however, when he’s in tune, he’s practically unplayable.

The “Italy as a defensive powerhouse” stereotype is likely to still be around come summer 2014. But, if Prandelli plays this right, it’ll be “Italy the magnificent midfielders” after Brazil.

Key facts

Coach Cesare Prandelli

How they qualified Winners, UEFA Group B

2010 World Cup result Group stage

Best player Mario Balotelli

FIFA ranking 9th

Netherlands

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Netherlands

By the time summer rolls around it'll be four years since The Netherlands' latest glorious failure. They're not remembered as a great team -- if that match is remembered at all, it's for Nigel de Jong's flying kick into Xabi Alonso's sternum -- but as losing finalists go, they put up a very impressive showing against a Spain side that eased past Germany in 2008 and then embarrassed Italy in Kiev. Holland held out for 90 minutes before finally being undone by an Andres Iniesta strike with the relative safety of a penalty shootout within touching distance.

Nobody's expecting the Oranje to repeat their 2010 heroics, but that might be because the soccer world is badly underestimating Louis van Gaal's side. Yes, they stumbled badly two years ago, failing to get out of the group stages in Euro 2012, but they've been one of Europe's most impressive sides in qualification this time out, dropping just two points in ten games.

There are flaws in the squad. This is particularly obvious in defense. The veterans are adequate, but not top-class, and the youngsters have failed to develop as Holland might have hoped a few years ago. They're also missing some star power in the midfield – Wesley Sneijder's star has virtually extinguished itself since his Inter days, and the Kevin Strootman/Marco van Ginkel generation looks too young/too injured to make a difference at a major tournament.

But there are elite players, too. Manchester United's Robin van Persie will terrify whoever he faces; so too will Arjen Robben. Those two alone mean that the Netherlands are going to be tough opposition for more or less everyone, even if the Oranje are unlikely to go all the way to the final this time around. This is not a side to take lightly.

Key facts

Coach Louis van Gaal

How they qualified Winners, UEFA Group D

2010 World Cup result Runners up

Best player Arjen Robben

FIFA ranking 8th

Portugal

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Portugal

Portugal’s road to the 2014 World Cup culminated in one of the most eagerly anticipated playoffs in recent memory. The Portuguese, led by Cristiano Ronaldo, played Zlatan Ibrahimovic and Sweden for a place in Brazil, and the matchup lived up to the hype. Ronaldo scored all four goals for Portugal in the two games against Sweden, including a stunning hat trick in the second leg to overcome a brace from the Zlatan.

The question with Portugal isn’t Ronaldo, it’s the supporting cast around him. He has to do basically all of the heavy lifting for his side; and while he’s probably the best player in the world at the moment, he can’t win a World Cup by himself. It’s not like the Portuguese squad doesn’t have other talented players like Nani, Joao Moutinho, Raul Meireles and Fabio Coentrao, but if this team is going to make a deep run in 2014, it will need active contributions from players other than Ronaldo. Portugal received four goals during qualifying from Helder Postiga, so it’s clearly possible.

Portugal made it all the way to the World Cup semifinals in 2006, but followed that up with an exit in the first knockout round in 2010. Given Ronaldo’s current run of form and the team’s somewhat troubling depth, I’m not so sure people would be surprised if they repeated either result in 2014.

Key facts

Coach Paulo Bento

How they qualified UEFA playoffs

2010 World Cup result Round of 16

Best player Cristiano Ronaldo

FIFA ranking 14th

Russia

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Russia

Although it’s fair to say that it’s unsurprising Fabio Capello was wooed by Russia’s hefty paychecks, it was still completely unexpected for the Italian to go from England to Russia. It was also an unusual move for the country, which had previously had two Dutch coaches in charge – first, Guus Hiddink for Euro 2008, then Dick Advocaat after his predecessor failed to qualify for South Africa. In nationalistic terms, the contrast is obvious. While Advocaat was inherently counter-attacking in his approach, the side was more fluid and expressive than they are under Capello – but after supposedly also offering Harry Redknapp the job, it’s hard for Russia to complain about style when it’s obvious they didn’t even know what they wanted.

Capello’s soccer, for what it’s worth, is structured, organized and reactive. Probably guilty of being too open with England in South Africa – and promptly being eliminated by a rampant counter-attacking Germany – Capello will be far more conservative with Russia than he ever was with his previous team, illustrated by their fine defensive record in qualifying. They conceded just five times during the campaign, and after an early spell of admirable but not aesthetically pleasing results in the first part of qualification, became more attacking after a pair of 1-0 defeats to Portugal and Northern Ireland, scoring 12 goals in their final four games.

Ultimately, though, they were indebted to Portugal’s slip-up in Israel, which allowed them to escape the potential pitfall of a playoff. Attention now for Capello can turn to Brazil, where Russia will be keen to leave a good impression so as to build for the forthcoming World Cup they will host in 2018.

Key facts

Coach Fabio Capello

How they qualified Winners, UEFA Group F

2010 World Cup result Did not qualify

Best player Alan Dzagoev

FIFA ranking 19th

Africa and South America

Chile, the nerd darlings of the last World Cup, returns with a similar entertaining style. Marcelo Bielsa isn't coaching the team anymore, but his disciple Jorge Sampaoli has picked up where he left off. Ecuador has the pieces to get through the group stage, but understandably, they haven't been great since the death of star striker 'Chucho' Christian Benitez.

Ghana has just as much talent as the teams who made it to the Round of 16 in the last two tournaments, while the Ivory Coast will be hoping for some good luck, for a change. Les Elephants drew arguably the tournament's toughest group in the last two straight World Cups. Nigeria is also primed for a run to the knockout stages with a great roster and a beloved coach in Stephen Keshi, but their governing body usually finds ways to mess up a good thing. Cameroon and Algeria are the weakest teams in the pot, but their two stars -- Samuel Eto'o and Sofiane Feghouli, respectively -- are good enough to fire them to an upset or two.

Algeria

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Algeria

Thanks to Africa’s awful qualification system, the World Cup will feature Algeria instead of more talented and entertaining sides like Egypt, Senegal and Zambia. Apologies if you’re Algerian or have a soft spot for the Algerian national team, but CAF qualifying is horrible and Algeria were the beneficiaries.

You may remember Algeria from the 2010 World Cup, when they squandered a couple of early chances to score against the United States, proceeded to park the bus even though a draw did them no good, then gave up a dramatic U.S. winner in stoppage time.

Some names and faces will be recognizable, but the biggest names from that 2010 team have since retired from international play. Nadir Belhadj, Antar Yahia, Yazid Mansouri, Karim Ziani and Rafik Saifi are gone, but not forgotten. At least by us -- you probably forgot about them a long time ago, and for very good reason.

It’s tough to see Algeria making any noise in the World Cup, simply because they don’t have any of the ingredients that usually lead to an underdog making a great run. There’s no superstar player, they don’t have a coach with World Cup experience, they’re not loaded with grizzled veterans and they don’t have a specific style that they’ve mastered. This might be the strongest World Cup field ever, but Algeria is one of the few teams opponents will truly be happy to draw.

Key facts

Coach Vahid Halihodzic

How they qualified Playoff winner, CAF

2010 World Cup result Group stage

Best player Sofiane Feghouli

FIFA ranking 32nd

Cameroon

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Cameroon

In a 2010 World Cup that was thought to favor the African sides, Cameroon was expected to provide some serious opposition to the Netherlands, Denmark and Japan. Many experts picked them to finish second in the group. Instead, they made a quick exit, losing all three of their games and joining North Korea as one of two sides that didn’t get a single point in the competition.

The four-time Africa Cup of Nations winners and first ever African World Cup quarterfinalists entered a period of decline after that, exiting the 2010 Africa Cup of Nations in the quarterfinals before failing to qualify for the 2012 and 2013 editions of the tournament, as well as the 2012 Summer Olympics. Chelsea’s Samuel Eto’o, the nation’s all-time leading scorer by a considerable distance, has been suspended and reinstated, while also going through multiple aborted retirements from international football. It’s been a tough cycle for Cameroonian football, but Eto’o is back and they’ve been excellent in qualifying.

Their fate is likely to hinge on the draw. They have the talent to get through a lackluster group with teams that lack athleticism, but they’re not exactly a deep or versatile side. It wouldn’t be stunning to see Cameroon get five points from their group and make a knockout stage run, but another zero-point outing wouldn’t be a shock either.

Key facts

Coach Volker Finke

How they qualified Playoff winner, CAF

2010 World Cup result Group stage

Best player Samuel Eto’o

FIFA ranking 59th

Ivory Coast

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Ivory Coast

Ivory Coast emerged from a nervy playoff against Senegal to ensure they qualified for their third consecutive World Cup. Considering they had never made it to a finals before Germany 2006, their recent run has been a pretty good achievement. With a mix of elderly stars and younger talents, Les Éléphants are definitely one of the more dangerous African sides in the draw.

They've got bags of experience from the likes of the Touré brothers, all-time most-capped player Didier Zokora and national hero Didier Drogba, who will spearhead the attack in what will surely be his last World Cup. His former Chelsea teammate Salomon Kalou and winger Gervinho are also familiar faces in the Ivorian camp, while Swansea City’s Wilfried Bony is at the forefront of the younger generation waiting to break through into the starting 11.

However, despite their wealth of experience and depth, it’s hard to see Ivory Coast bettering their previous two appearances at the World Cup and progressing through to the knockout stages. While they certainly have a capable squad, it’s a side -- possibly with the exception of an on-form Yaya Touré -- without a truly world-class player. Anything better than a solid group-stage showing would be a great success.

Key facts

Coach Sabri Lamouchi

How they qualified Playoff winner, CAF

2010 World Cup result Group stage

Best player Yaya Toure

FIFA ranking 17th

Ghana

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Ghana

Ghana’s road to the World Cup was relatively smooth, as the African nation easily won their Round 2 group with a four-point cushion over Zambia. Their much ballyhooed final-round playoff tie against Egypt never really materialized, either, as Ghana hammered The Pharaohs in the first leg and never looked back.

No doubt many U.S. Soccer fans looked with some level of annoyance or disappointment as former USMNT head coach Bob Bradley — Egypt’s head coach — once again was denied by Ghana.

The Black Stars first qualified for the World in 2006 and have failed to miss out on a place in the finals every opportunity since. They also had excellent success in their first two appearances, reaching the Round of 16 in 2006 and the quarterfinals in 2010 (at the expense of Bradley and the USA). The bar is thus set fairly high for this group of players, which will attempt to defy the odds and try to advance even further in Brazil.

Ghana is an extremely experienced side led by veterans Michael Essien and Sulley Muntari — two players with extensive top-flight club experience in Europe — supported by a talented roster that includes Juventus’ Kwadwo Asamoah and Schalke 04’s Kevin-Prince Boateng. Striker Asamoah Gyan will also need have a strong tournament for the Black Stars to try and meet or exceed their previous results.

Key facts

Coach Akwasi Appiah

How they qualified Playoff winner, CAF

2010 World Cup result Quarterfinals

Best player Kwadwo Asamoah

FIFA ranking 23rd

Nigeria

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Nigeria

Winning their first African Nations Cup this year since 1994, Nigeria’s optimistically styled Super Eagles appear to be flying high. They’ve qualified for four of the last five World Cups, and though they haven’t made it through to the knockout stages since 1998, their recent silverware has left the most populous nation on the African continent optimistic of a good World Cup showing.

Stephen Keshi’s team is pretty inexperienced when compared to some of the sides in the draw, such as their African neighbor, Ivory Coast. Though Nigeria has a couple of veteran stars like Lille goalkeeper Vincent Enyeama and Chelsea midfielder John Obi Mikel, they largely have relied on younger players -- the highlights including Liverpool’s Victor Moses and Lazio’s Ogenyi Onazi -- in their recent endeavors.

Nigeria brought a younger squad than anyone else to the Confederations Cup earlier this summer, and their impressive pedigree at youth level was illustrated by winning the Under-17 version of the World Cup for the fourth time earlier this year. But, does their current crop stand any chance of success in Brazil next summer? Sorry, Super Eagles, but probably not. Lacking any world class players means they’ll do well to improve on a group stage exit.

Key facts

Coach Stephen Keshi

How they qualified Playoff winner, CAF

2010 World Cup result Group stage

Best player Ahmed Musa

FIFA ranking 33rd

Chile

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Chile

The road to World Cup qualification has been a rocky one for Chile, but it’s excelled under new management, winning five of their last seven qualifiers. Jorge Sampaoli has guided Chile to 16 of their 28 points in qualifying, despite being manager for less than half of their games.

If you enjoyed Chile during the last World Cup, you're going to like them just as much this time around. Sampaoli is a noted admirer of 2010 Chile manager Marcelo Bielsa and employs a similar high-pressure system with a three-man defense. Many of Chile's players became national stars while playing under Sampaoli at Universidad de Chile before moving on to play in Brazil and in Europe.

Barcelona's Alexis Sanchez is the team’s biggest star, and he's playing much better than he was at this time last year. Juventus midfielder Arturo Vidal is arguably their most important player, providing some tenacity and the ability to play anywhere in the midfield.

This World Cup could also provide an opportunity for Angelo Henriquez to become a global star. The 19-year-old forward came up under Sampaoli at La U as a 17-year-old before moving on to Manchester United. He's been excellent on loan at Real Zaragoza in La Liga this season, and a solid World Cup could see him secure a place in Man United's senior squad.

Key facts

Coach Jorge Sampaoli

How they qualified Top four, CONMEBOL

2010 World Cup result Round of 16

Best player Arturo Vidal

FIFA ranking 12th

Ecuador

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Ecuador

The main story, sadly, of Ecuador’s qualifying campaign for Brazil 2014 was the untimely passing of Christian Benitez. A fine talent, the striker was not only a key player to the team, but more significantly, an important member of the squad whose death shook many of his teammates.

Understandably, Ecuador’s form dipped after Benitez’s passing, shrouding what had seemed like assured qualification in doubt. Still, Ecuador maintained their undefeated record at home – attributable, also, to the difficult altitude of Quito – although they were dismal playing away, failing to win at all on the road but clinching qualification thanks to a superior goal difference to Uruguay, whom they beat 1-0 in the penultimate round of qualification.

Benitez’s death also meant changes to Reinaldo Rueda’s system, which had previously used the clever forward in a second striker position. For the second half of qualification, Antonio Valencia was somewhat unexpectedly shifted inside – as very much a natural wide player for Manchester United, it seemed disastrous on paper, but his power and physical strength proved useful in helping protect a midfield that had sometimes felt overrun. Rueda’s main problem, though, comes in wide areas, where left-winger Jefferson Montero headlines a generation of quick Ecuadorian wingers who are exciting going forward but tend to leave their full-backs woefully exposed.

Still, after the tragic events of August, just being there in Brazil will be enough for Ecuador.

Key facts

Coach Reinaldo Rueda

How they qualified Top four, CONMEBOL

2010 World Cup result Did not qualify

Best player Antonio Valencia

FIFA ranking 22nd

  • Editor Kevin McCauley
  • Producers Brian Floyd, Chris Mottram
  • Writers Kevin McCauley, Ryan Rosenblatt, Graham MacAree, Kirsten Schlewitz, Tim Palmer, Jeremiah Oshan, Zach Woosley, Peter Berkes, Uros Popovic, Jack Sargeant, Andi Thomas
  • Project Manager Chris Haines
  • Lead Designer Georgia Cowley
  • Lead Developer Josh Laincz
  • Designer Ramla Mahmood
  • Special Thanks Tate Tozer, Brian Anderson, Cory Williams

Sunday Shootaround: Brad Stevens' Celtics work only toward the future

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Celtics' new coach looking beyond this season

The Celtics are 9-12, which is neither good nor bad. It simply is. They are the definition of mediocrity in a conference that is home to two great teams, a handful of lousy ones and a morass of meh. Thanks to geography and nothing more, the Celtics are remarkably in first place in their division, which makes them a "playoff team" roughly a quarter of the way through the season.

There are some coaches, maybe most, who would disregard the record and focus instead on the positioning. That’s totally understandable. This is a business in which they are judged by owners with outlandish expectations and fretful GMs who seem to be forever chasing one more piece to the puzzle that will get them an extension.

Brad Stevens is not one of them. It helps that he is working for a GM who has a bigger picture in mind and for owners who allow Danny Ainge to execute his plan. It also helps that Stevens has a 6-year contract in place and an expectation that he’ll be allowed to see this rebuilding project through to the end so he doesn’t have to worry about the day-to-day minutia that consumes so many of his colleagues.

This was his response to a question about whether he pays attention to the standings after his team beat the Bucks on Tuesday and took over the top spot in the Atlantic Division from the equally underwhelming Toronto Raptors:

"I know. I know. But it has no bearing on my life. Literally none. What it is, it is," Stevens said. "You can take a snapshot of where you stand versus the competition, but it has nothing to do with your preparation on your next opponent, it has nothing to do with getting better tomorrow, it just is what’s happened. And so, yeah, I do. I know, but I have no reason to know."

It’s worth noting that the Celtics are responsible for two of the three wins Milwaukee has earned this season. It’s also worth pointing out that until Friday night’s win over the Nuggets, they had beaten two other teams could be objectively defined as decent in Miami and Atlanta. Stevens understands that, and it’s the most important development for the Celtics so far this season.

When Ainge unexpectedly hired Stevens in the offseason from Butler University he wasn’t just hiring a talented young coach. He was trying to create a culture from scratch that in time will help attract other players to the cause. The Celtics had it all with Doc Rivers and their veteran stars, but when they left so did their identity. Stevens’ growth as an NBA coach is the first step in building a new one.

He has been exactly what was advertised. Stevens is prepared and focused. His demeanor is so calm and even-keeled that when he cracked a mild joke in his pregame scrum with reporters it took everyone more than a full beat to realize that he was being funny.

Stevens is all midwestern manners. He took the time to get to know the names of all the beat writers, even those that don’t travel with the team. He answers their questions in the same placid tone that reveals nothing at all but sounds nice all the same. This is an odd juxtaposition in a place as cynical as Boston. As Rick Pitino so memorably put it once, "The negativity in this town sucks."

"[It] has no bearing on my life. Literally none." -Brad Stevens on the Celtics' place in the standings

The real takeaway is that Stevens has created a harmonious working environment in what could easily be a toxic wasteland. The Celtics roster is full of young players and veterans on their way to somewhere else, yet they all seem to like him. Even the ones that aren’t getting any time haven’t spoken up or tried to undermine him.

The trick is blending the talent on hand into a functioning whole without sacrificing the larger goal of development. That means starting rookie Kelly Olynyk when he was healthy and using Jared Sullinger as an undersized five, while bringing his veterans off the bench.

"I really like what they’re doing from a team situation by playing 10 guys," said Hall of Fame coach Hubie Brown who on hand Friday to call the game for ESPN. "By playing 10 guys they’re developing the young people on the first unit and backing it up with older players. When you put in so many young players you have to give them November and December to adjust to the coaching staff, to terminology to offensive and defensive philosophies. Then, how they handle close game situations from eight minutes down, all of that has to come from the head man."

Against the Nuggets, Stevens rode his reserves through most of the fourth quarter while they held off the Denver run. He turned it back over to the starters to close it out. It was a small move and an obvious one in the context of the game, but it also showed a flexibility that has been a hallmark of his tenure so far. An analytical mind doesn’t coach by the book. It adjusts and it adapts.

He made a smart decision early in the season when he inserted Jordan Crawford into the starting lineup and moved Avery Bradley off the ball. Crawford has been a revelation, averaging better than 13 points and 5 assists while keeping his turnovers to a minimum and his shot selection acceptable. It’s the best stretch of basketball he’s played as a professional.

The move also freed Bradley. Barely 23 years old, we are finally getting a chance to see him in extended minutes in a set role without the added point guard responsibilities that clearly don’t fit his skillset. He has good nights and bad nights like the team itself, but the effort is always there.

Lacking a viable center, Stevens has used Sullinger at the five and the second-year player has been the team’s best player. With Sullinger taking up more minutes inside, the team’s defensive rebounding has gone from woeful to encouraging despite their undersized personnel.

Then there are the forwards. Rather than shoehorn Jeff Green, Gerald Wallace and Brandon Bass into set positions, he has used them interchangeably and has them switching on screens to take advantage of their versatility. The player who earned the nickname "No Pass Bass" has even become an unlikely playmaker out of the post.

That’s the rough idea of what a Brad Stevens team looks like. It’s a team that moves the ball, pushes the pace and tries to take advantage of players’ strengths. Set positions are less important than skills. Space is everything. That’s the ideal, but it hasn’t always worked that way in practice.

They entered the weekend ranked No. 26 in offensive efficiency per Basketball-Reference and lack both 3-point shooting and a singular player who can break down defenses. They take a ton of mid-range shots and make them at about a 40 percent clip, which isn’t good enough. Aside from the occasional Jeff Green explosion, the Celtics are kind of boring offensively.

"We’ve got to really get better," Stevens said. "Offensively, I think we’ve done a better job in the last two weeks of understanding where our spots are and taking advantage of them. We go through lulls where we pass up shots and then we end up taking a shot that’s not as good as the one we pass up. We’ve gone through lulls where we’ve not screened or cut as we need to and we need to be good at all that stuff."

He added, "We’re going to be a team that has to score with our strengths. Once we get outside of those or pass those up, then we’re going to have trouble scoring points."

Stevens said all that before Friday night’s game when the Celtics went out and tore up the Nuggets for 39 first quarter points en route to 52 percent shooting and 25 assists on 43 made shots. Yet he was bothered by a six-minute stretch in the third quarter when the C’s allowed Denver to get back into the game. Their margin for error is extremely thin, which helps explain their tendency to give up big leads.

What we also know about a Brad Stevens coached team is that they seem prepared on a nightly basis, even when they don’t execute or have the talent to compete with some of the better teams. They have run a handful of gems in late-game situations that suggest a creative instinct with the clipboard in crucial moments. They rank in the top 10 in defensive rating despite not having much of an interior presence, which speaks to scheme and effort.

"What you like to hear is that people are happy with their effort on a nightly basis. That’s key," Brown said. "That’s coaching, making people accountable, and then he has an excellent demeanor about himself personality-wise. He’s low key. Right now he’s handling everything and he’s learning as he goes along. Any time you do this -- I’ve done this with young teams -- it’s a daily challenge to develop the talent, make them accountable and give them the discipline, which equals chemistry. That sounds simple, but it’s difficult to do."

And now we need to talk about Rajon Rondo, who has been a visible presence at practices and games and is scheduled for a checkup with Dr. James Andrews in the next few weeks. We will have a much better handle on Stevens and his team when Rondo is back to full speed.

We will finally get to see the Rondo/Bradley backcourt in action for extended stretches. We will finally get to see how Green and Rondo play off each other in the open court, and we may finally see how Sullinger acts as a pick-and-roll partner in the halfcourt. We will also see whether the Stevens/Rondo relationship will work. It’s been our feeling since last summer when Stevens was hired that the two are perfectly aligned in terms of temperament and philosophy to enjoy a long and successful tenure together.

"All of this will unfold as they go through November, December, January and then the All-Star game," Brown said. "Because what you’re looking for now is from the All-Star game to the end of the year, major improvement. Now you’ve added offensively and you’ve added defensively, but now everybody’s paying attention one through fifteen of who’s going where in the playoffs so now you can’t steal games. From February on, that’s when the push comes."

The standings? That’s not Stevens’ concern. At least not now.

OvertimeMore thoughts from the week that was

At some point in life things stop working. Plans go awry. Grand visions of success give way to cold doses of reality. Limbs and ligaments stop functioning like they used to in the past. Kobe Bryant has come to be defined by his refusal to accept any of that.

In his prime he chased away Shaquille O’Neal and made do with Smush Parker and Kwame Brown. He validated his stance by winning two more titles and then clung stubbornly to the idea that they could do it again when everyone knew it was over. Rather than accept a secondary role and ride out the rest of his career next to one of the game’s remaining dominant big men, he refused to cede ground to Dwight Howard.

He is noble, stubborn, brilliant or infuriating depending on how you perceive him.

From the beginning of his career it’s been impossible to have a rational conversation about Kobe Bryant. Everything from his paycheck to his hero ball tendencies have spawned a million blog posts and think pieces about the nature of stardom in the modern NBA, and it’s a debate that’s become more tiresome than illuminating. He’s a force of nature and resisting it is akin to spitting in the wind and hoping you don’t get drenched.

As he prepares to return from a torn Achilles, Kobe’s career finally has a moment in time that resonates in a way that all the count the ringzzzzz arguments never could. It’s his refusal to give in to circumstances, time or even the harshest of injuries that mark him as a true original.

The game went on without him and it will continue to go on long after he’s really gone, just like it did for all the rest. But it is infinitely more interesting when he’s a part of it.

Viewers GuideWhat we'll be watching this week

MONDAY Nuggets at Wizards

Let us take a moment during John Wall’s breakout season to remember the parade of knuckleheads that dominated the Wizards roster in his early days. In his rookie season, Wall ran a team comprised of Nick Young, Andray Blatche, Jordan Crawford and of course, JaVale McGee. All four have their talents and abilities. All four have found gainful employment in productive roles with other franchises. But having all four on the same team with your 20-year-old franchise savior is like … it’s a really bad idea, OK?

TUESDAY Heat at Pacers

With the exception of a few obvious ones -- Celtics-Lakers, etc -- rivalries come and go in the NBA as players change teams and teams change coaches and personalities. These days they are less about proximity than postseason history and there is none bigger in the East than the Heat and the Pacers. This has everything: The two best teams in their conference by far, an up and comer in Paul George against the reigning king in LeBron James and when you get down to it these teams really don’t like each other. So, why isn’t this on Christmas Day?

WEDNESDAY Clippers at Celtics

If you ask people in Boston who was most responsible for the Celtics’ success during the Kevin Garnett/Paul Pierce/Ray Allen/Rajon Rondo era, you’re likely to get a variety of responses. But if you ask people who was the enduring symbol of that team, my bet is most people would say Doc Rivers. He had his team’s respect -- and they were not an easy bunch. He had the media’s respect and we’ll turn on you in a heartbeat. He had the fans respect and they may be an even tougher audience. For those years Doc was the Celtics and now that he’s in LA, some people will try to turn this into a referendum on how he should be received when he returns to Boston. That’s easy: Standing ovation.

THURSDAY Rockets at Blazers

If you’re Darryl Morey, what do you want for Omer Asik? The smart money would seem to be a stretch four who can play alongside Dwight Howard, but considering the solid contributions of players like Terrence Jones and Omri Casspi, maybe the Rox already have that answer in house. Would a bonafide perimeter stopper be the better play to shore up that leaky defense? For all that he’s done to rebuild the roster, this is the deal he has to get right.

FRIDAY Timberwolves at Spurs

We’ve reached the point in the season where it’s officially time to worry about the Timberwolves. Their defense still rates reasonably well by most metrics, but their lack of depth and killer schedule has undone what had been a strong start. The always insightful Britt Robson respectfully put it on Rick Adelman a few weeks back, which underscores just how tenuous this whole team really is at this stage.

SATURDAY Lakers at Bobcats

Let us take the opportunity to offer more praise for Bobcats coach Steve Clifford. By most objective measures, the Bobcats have less top-end talent than the other rebuilding teams in the East. Even high lottery picks Michael Kidd-Gilchrist and Cody Zeller are slotted for role-playing status as their careers develop. Even with Al Jefferson, Charlotte is the worst shooting team in the league and a tick above abysmal on offense. But the Cats are in most games and even winning their share because of surprisingly stout defense. That’s a reflection of coaching, preparation and of course, execution and trust. It’s amazing what a coach with actual coaching experience can accomplish when given a chance.

SUNDAY Warriors at Suns

Insert your own League Pass joke here.

The ListNBA players in some made up category

It’s become all too easy to take LeBron James for granted, but James just keeps doing his thing and shockingly getting even better. His 3-point shooting is up. His free throw rate is higher than ever. His overall shooting percentages look like a 7-foot-6 big man who does nothing but dunk. So let’s give the man his due with a look back at his top five games this season.

1. Nov. 25, Phoenix: Scores 35 points on 11-for-14 shooting and helps the Heat pull away with a perfect 11-for-11 from the free throw line. He told reporters afterward that, "I'm in a very, very comfortable position right now with my game." No kidding.

2. Nov. 15, Dallas: Drops 39 on the Mavs in just 18 shots and clinches the win by backing down Monta Ellis and raining a Dirk-shot over the guard’s head. Maybe LeBron should imitate other superstars just to keep things interesting.

3. Nov. 5, Toronto: Scores 35 points, grabs eight boards and hands out eight assists against only one turnover. The truly impressive work happened early in the fourth quarter when James and crew held the Raptors scoreless for almost five minutes.

4. Nov. 16, Charlotte: Scored 30 points in 31 minutes on 13-for-18 shooting and could have had more if he wanted. That’s the thing with LeBron’s game these days. He waits for it to come to him and calls upon it at will.

5. Nov. 27, Cleveland: Just your standard 28-8-8 and oh by the way, he outscored the Cavs starters by himself.

ICYMIor In Case You Missed It

Up With Magic

An insightful look at Victor Oladipo’s development and Arron Afflalo’s rise by Tyler Lashbrook of Orlando Pinstriped Post.

The Tax Man Cometh

When should you pay the tax man? Cap master Mark Deeks breaks it down.

Playing Against Themselves

The Heat’s biggest obstacle? That would be themselves. James Herbert explains.

Spew York

The Drive & Kick talks to Howard Beck about the Knicks, Nets and dumpster fires.

The Drummond Rule

How do you fix the scourge of intentional fouling? Tom Ziller has an idea that’s so simple it’s brilliant.

Say WhatRamblings of NBA players, coaches and GMs

"We’re a pretty damn good team. And we can beat anybody."-- Portland guard Wes Matthews after the Blazers knocked off the Pacers.

Reaction: We covered Portland’s hot start in depth a few weeks ago, but unlike other would be contenders (ahem, Golden State and Minnesota) the Blazers haven’t crested yet. Credit to Terry Stotts and his entertaining offense, and also props to LaMarcus Aldridge who has reignited the great power forward debate. (For the record, I’ll still take Kevin Love first but LMA is moving up the charts).

"A lot of guys expect us to tank for (Duke’s) Jabari Parker or (Kansas’) Andrew Wiggins. You might as well throw that out the door. I don’t know why people are talking about them. We’ve got competitors around here. We just want to win."-- Celtics forward Jared Sullinger.

Reaction: Sullinger is talking about the nattering no-nothings of talk radio and talking head shows who are shocked and dismayed -- SHOCKED, WE TELL YOU! -- that the Celtics aren’t gawdawful enough to have a lottery pick all wrapped up 20 games into the season. By their own admission some of these people don’t follow the NBA, understand the salary cap or how teams are constructed in the modern age. So, whatevs.

"Lawrence has been reassigned to doing daily reports. He won’t be sitting on the bench or practice."-- Jason Kidd, explaining his demotion of assistant coach Lawrence Frank.

Reaction: The real shocker in all of this is that Lawrence Frank got a 6-year deal as an assistant coach. Who does that? Oh right, the team that willingly pays $1.25 when a dollar will suffice.

"I don’t speak Italian."-- Kevin Garnett after Andrea Bargnani was ejected for trash talking him.Reaction: KG got punked by Bargs. It pains me to even write that. The Nets are so depressing.
"Everything. I eat meatballs. I never had eaten meatballs before. A lot of burgers. Shrimps. I never tasted shrimp before."-- Bucks forward Giannis Antetokounmpo.Reaction: Giannis is delightful.

This Week in GIFsfurther explanation unnecessary

Patrick Beverley

No wonder 4-year-olds are so terrible at basketball.

Dwyane Wade

Oh, Heat.

Benny the Bull

Taking the public proposal to its illogical extreme.

Andrea Bargnani

Vengeance for all of the Euros KG has taunted over the years.

Designer:Josh Laincz | Producer:Chris Mottram | Editor:Tom Ziller

College Football Bowl Schedule 2013-2014

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Monday, December 23rd

All times Eastern. * = Taking another conference's spot.

Executive Producer:Luke Zimmermann

The only game in town: 8-man football is a way of life in Eastern Montana, where small towns fight to survive

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On a recent Saturday afternoon, 12 miles from the Canadian border, the hometown Scobey Spartans prepared to kick off to the Wibaux Longhorns in an 8-man high school football game. The Spartans were 0-6 coming into that game, but they had not always been bottom feeders of Montana's Class C Eastern Division. Only 10 years ago, they won a state title and in the 1990s they regularly played close games against the Longhorns. Corey Begger, who played offensive and defensive end for Wibaux back then, remembers one game when the wind gusted so powerfully across the prairie, punts landed behind the kickers. "There were dust clouds blowing across that field," he says, gesturing north toward Canada. "People parked busses and trucks behind the end zone to block the wind." He says Scobey had more kids going out for football then. He says it "was very different." Wibaux only won by two.

Montana 8-man football is played on a field 80 by 40 yards. All but three linemen are eligible to receive passes, and most teams run far more than they throw. When either team is ahead by 35 points or more, a mercy rule takes effect, and the clock runs without stopping until the end of the game.

making a living solely from raising beef and growing wheat has proven more difficult with each generation tasked with trying.

So far this year, Wibaux has mercy-ruled six teams in a row. None of the players or coaches or any of the 20 or so parents who made the three-hour drive north expected the game against Scobey to be any different, and soon after the Spartans kicker sent the ball end-over-end into the waiting arms of the Wibaux return man, the game was already over. Senior Jake Bakken, who also plays quarterback and safety, paused to let a wedge develop, and took off. His blockers slammed into Spartan players and kept running. Junior Trent Farnworth, who sports a mullet and who everyone calls "Boz," lowered his shoulder and flattened an undersized opponent. Wyatt Miske, a 235-pound lineman, did the same, clearing a route for Bakken, who seemed to glide through space. Ten seconds and 76 yards later, he was in the end zone. Two minutes after that, the Longhorns were up 16-0.  A quarter later, with nine minutes remaining in the first half, the score was 42-0.

Wibaux is like Scobey. It's the same as Plevna and Ekalaka and Hysham; a no-stoplight town on the extreme eastern side of Montana, the flat, dry side, where making a living solely from raising beef and growing wheat has proven more difficult with each generation tasked with trying. In a county with barely a thousand people spread across nearly 900 square miles, half live in Wibaux.

By nearly any metric — population, school enrollment, the age of the people who live there — Wibaux and so many other towns in that part of the state are dying. But Wibaux is also different. Of the eight schools that originally played in the Montana Class C Eastern Division, seven of them are now too small to field 8-man teams and have either dropped to 6-man or quit playing altogether. Only one team has bucked the trend. In one way, at least, Wibaux still thrives.

***

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storefront bars where you can buy a box of bullets with your beer.

Beaver Creek meanders through the center of town like a snake in tall grass. Wibaux was built around its curves, and there was a time when residents were sustained by its slow current. It's as wide as a tennis court and people say you can catch walleye and northern pike in the deep holes. It flows under Highway 7, past an old grain elevator, the fueling station and a dirt-pocked little league field with a rusted chain-link backstop. The creek comes within a block of downtown — its storefronts mostly vacant but not yet shuttered — and the trucks parked outside of the Shamrock and the Rainbow clubs, storefront bars where you can buy a box of bullets with your beer and where wall calendars track the birthdays of the regulars and their families.

Today, Beaver Creek is mostly used for cooling off in the summer. Wibaux is sustained by something else.

Veterans Memorial Field lies within the footprint of a dilapidated gravel and clay track on the opposite side of downtown. On the rare days when the wind doesn't blow, you can hear the growl of semis on Interstate 94, and the whistle of a coal train miles before it speeds through town without slowing down.

The week after beating Scobey, the Longhorns returned home for the final game of the regular season against a mediocre co-op squad from Froid and Medicine Lake (high schools combining student bodies to field teams is common practice in Montana Class C). As is usual during the regular season, no one in Wibaux expects much of a game — since 2001 they've only lost six times — but, like parishioners outside of their church, people still gather.

An hour before kickoff, Dodge and Chevy pickup trucks are backed up to the edge of the track, camping chairs unfolded in their beds. The adults, some parents of players, huddle around tailgates. Young girls sit in the bleachers and wear hoodies and lean into one another to fit under blankets. Younger boys roam the sidelines in packs. Behind the uprights, they play games of two-hand touch that seem never to begin or end.

Sbnation-wibaux_-_08_mediumThe LaBelle brothers.

"They don't want to let the older generation down by having a losing season."

South of the field, below a soft rise at the top of which stands a statue of Pierre Wibaux — a prominent rancher, who in 1895 decided Mingusville was an unsatisfactory name for a place — a group of blue-and-gold faithful gather between trucks and under a party tent and eat sausage and chili. Among them is Tracy Bakken, wife of assistant coach Shane Bakken, and mother of Jake, Jeff and Joe, all of whom play or played quarterback for the Longhorns. She stands with her mother, Sally Witkowski, a self-proclaimed "sports buff," who has lived in Wibaux all of her adult life. When asked how a town that in most years has fewer than 30 teenage boys can win so often, Witkowski replies as if anyone who didn't already know wouldn't understand the answer. "They're winners, they all are," she says. "They take football real seriously."

Tracy responds by describing her family. She says that when her middle son Jeffrey was in junior high, he stood on the sidelines at games, heard the crack when his older brother, Joe, slammed his helmet into the helmets of his teammates and watched as he ran onto the field and led the Longhorns to victory after victory after victory. She says her youngest son, Jake, did the same. "It's just pounded into their heads," she says. "They don't want to let the older generation down by having a losing season."

Senior lineman Heath LaBelle knows this pressure. His teammates call him Vito — for his resemblance to the MTV reality star — and at nearly 300 pounds, he's of typical size for men in the LaBelle family. His oldest brother, Jordan, graduated in 2007 and played for a state championship in 2006. Their middle brother, AJ, played for three titles before graduating in 2010. When the three of them sit together, they make furniture seem like playthings and Longhorn football seem like the center of the universe.

"It's expected. It's weird to say, but Wibaux football is just expected," says their father Greg. "We're expected to do well, and it doesn't matter who's on the team," he adds, pointing out that this pressure gave all his sons an edge. "Jordan will always say he's better than AJ and AJ says Heath isn't as good as the other two. It's community wide — that's your competition."

No LaBelle boy has lost more than five games in four years of football. And while no LaBelle has won a state title, they continue to measure success on whether or not the team finishes as the best in the state. When asked if it's possible that the Longhorn brand may be changing — considering that in 2012, Wibaux High was the smallest high school playing 8-man football in Montana and three of the four teams that made it to the semi-finals that year drew from students bodies more than twice Wibaux's size — they are incredulous. "They've said it for years, ‘They're not going to be as good, they're not going to be as good,'" says AJ. "I think Wibaux has the mentality. I don't care how many kids are in your school. Being in Wibaux is different. We have the tradition. It's a football town."

Today, that tradition and the power it wields over younger generations is evidenced by other familiar names on the Longhorns roster. There's a Bakken and a Bertelsen, a LaBelle, two Miskes, two Nelsons, two Dschaaks, two Schneiders, and a Quade — Jhett — whose uncles were Longhorns. His father, Kevin, also played and is remembered by people in town as the consummate Longhorn fan. In 2006, during a semi-final home playoff game, he hired a plane and a photographer to take aerial photographs of the 3,000 people in attendance. In photos from that day, the field is unusually green and surrounded by people on all sides. It seems to be the only thing in town still growing.

***

The tallest structure in Wibaux is a water tower, at the center of which the word "Wibaux" is painted in red so that it faces the interstate. Second tallest is the grain elevator on the other side of Beaver Creek. Otherwise, Wibaux creates a squat horizon line of two-story buildings and trees. Driving south on Highway 7 or east on I-94, it's a matter of seconds before Wibaux disappears in the rearview mirror.

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When head coach Jeff Bertelsen was in high school, he and some friends plotted to climb the tower. There was nothing much to see, they just wanted to see if they could get all the way to the top. Their plan, though, was foiled by a passing deputy sheriff, and the group scattered, running down streets and through yards to escape. Only a single member of his crew got to the top. Bertelsen laughs when he tells the story. The water tower itself is empty.

Bertelsen moved to Wibaux from the mountains and trout streams of western Montana when his dad got a job as a county agent in 1987. His freshmen year of football was the last year for then-coach Rob Bushman, the man who most Longhorn fans credit with inventing the Wibaux brand of football. "We ran the ball," he says. "Up the gut, hard-nose football." The next year, under a new coach, Wibaux suffered its first losing season since anyone could remember. It would be their last.

Everyone in town — including his players — calls him Bert. He has a face like Paul Giamatti, but he has the physique of someone you wouldn't want to mess with. He wears khaki cargo shorts to every game, no matter the weather, and when you ask him if he would change anything about his job with the Longhorns, it'd be painting the fields. He is not just the coach, but also the grounds crew. "That's the worst thing I do at this job. I measure and paint that field before every game," he says. "It used to take me six hours."

Thirty minutes before the Froid/Medicine Lake game, Bertelsen addresses the Longhorn players in a cramped locker room beneath Wibaux High's gymnasium bleachers. The game is meaningless; Wibaux has had the Eastern Division's No. 1 seed clinched for weeks. Some teams would take the starters out in the first half in a game like this, no matter the score, to preserve them for the playoffs. Not Wibaux. Bertelsen searches for a way to motivate — to remind his players that even in games that don't matter, final scores transcend win/loss columns. Complacency, not the opposition, represents the real challenge to Bert's boys.

"They're gonna come, and they're gonna come hard. You have to take that out of them. They got nothing to lose. This is their state title game for their seniors. It's the last high school football game they'll play," he says and reminds them that they, too, will someday take the field for the last time. "Think how'd you play that game."

Sbnation-wibaux_-_20_mediumHead coach Jeff Bertelsen in his signature khaki shorts.

Bertelsen knows what it's like to play that game, and unlike anyone else in the locker room, he knows what it's like to win it.  In 1991, his junior year, the Longhorns cruised to the school's first state championship. They did it again the next year, and although Bertelsen had already left to play at Dickinson State, the Longhorns did it again in 1993. Bertelsen was a star defender, and he still remembers the rush of bringing home the state title. "Once you know what that feels like, there's sort of nothing else like it," he says. "You want to have that feeling again. I want these kids to have that feeling."

The Longhorns won the program's fifth state title in 2001, Bertelsen's first year as head coach. Since then, they've gone 125-18 and have made it to the championship game five more times, but have yet to win again. "It's title or bust every year. I've heard people say, ‘Oh, he can't win the big one.' You feel the pressure and you know it comes with the job," he says. "I think sometimes I just try to be naive about it — to protect myself. Just do what we do every day and try to get better."

After Bertelsen addresses his team, Rob Bacon, a first-year assistant coach, speaks to the players. He played for the 2006 Longhorns, which Bertelsen describes as "the best Wibaux team to not win a title." After winning a semifinal game, the Longhorns lost the title in overtime. Bacon remembers returning to Wibaux late the night after the loss, the fire engine escort for the Longhorns' bus and the people who had stayed up to honk truck horns and welcome the boys home. "It was bittersweet," he says. "If you grow up saying you want to be good at football, that's one thing. But we grow up saying we want to win state. We know we're going to be good at football. We want to win state."

"We know we're going to be good at football. We want to win state."

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When Bacon talks to the Longhorn players about their opponent, he channels the frustration that comes with coming up short in the face of extraordinary expectations. "They have a new coach this year and maybe he thinks things have changed, but they haven't. It's gotten uglier ... Take some pride in that, you are the guys who are going to be knocking their dicks in the dirt. Make them get it. Make every member of that team get it," he says. "Let them know what we're about."

The players stand up and touch hands and count to three. They march out of the locker room and turn right to exit the building and run across a parking lot onto the field. Turn left instead, stairs lead to the polished wood surface of the Wibaux gymnasium, where five state title banners hang from a cinder block wall: '91, '92, '93, '00 and '01. Most people in Wibaux find it disappointing there aren't more, but most people in Wibaux, like assistant coach Shane Bakken, also think it would be cheap to hang runner-up banners. He played quarterback in the '80s and has watched his sons play in four state title games. He believes there is only one way to measure a successful season. "Once you get a taste, that's the drive. You want to get back there again, and we have it. If you're not playing to win it every year, why play?" he says.  "No one remembers second place."

***

The Longhorns score on the first series of the game against the Red Hawks. They proceed to recover the ball on an onsides kick and score again. On the first Red Hawk possession, they struggle to crack the line of scrimmage and are forced to kick from inside their own 5-yard line. The punter receives a low snap as blue jerseys crash the backfield. He doesn't appear to panic so much as make a calculation and then a quick decision. He turns his back to the field, drops the ball to his foot and gingerly boots it out of the back of the end zone. The first quarter ends with the score 38-8.

When the Longhorns are playing well, it's like watching a video game between a committed gamer and someone who left the controller on the coffee table — something doesn't quite seem fair. On a special teams play, Chase Bertelsen, who has the same stacked-brick physique as his father, Jeff, draws gasps from the sideline when he topples a Red Hawk gunner flat on his back. Jake Bakken fields a kickoff and moves through traffic like a spooked antelope, his strides covering more ground than seem possible. The Red Hawks don't tackle him so much as shoo him out of bounds.  Although every team has its stars, not every team wins so gaudily game after game, year after year. Not every team is the Longhorns.

A few minutes into the third quarter, the score is 57-8, and Bertelsen begins to take the starters out of the game. Bakken and Bertelsen, LaBelle, Miske, Farnworth and Colton Tousignant, the starting running back who is as adept at breaking up passes as he is at running around tacklers, have their places taken by underclassmen.

Colton's younger brother, Chas, a 100-pound freshman, gets in at running back. He receives a handoff and is knocked over before he makes it to the end. He is promptly taken out. When he was younger, Chas watched his older brothers play football at recess. He remembers they would pretend to be Longhorn players of the day — Travis Bertelsen, Rob Bacon, Derek Hartse — and when his brothers got to high school, Chas played recess ball himself and pretended to be his brothers — superstar athletes playing on the biggest stage in the universe. As a ninth grader, he only sees the field when the Longhorns have mercy-ruled a team, if at all. But wearing that jersey is a dream realized, and he's already experienced the chemical surge of winning and the rush it gives him. "It just comes to you," he says.

Nearly to the end of his first season, he does not yet know what losing feels like.

***

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The pavement of Hodges Road ends just after it passes the football field on the western edge of town. From there, the county uses crushed red rock to cover its clay surface. Four and a half miles west, Hodges intersects Ranch Access Road. Ranch Access winds over gentle rises and across dry creek beds for almost nine miles before dead-ending in a gulley of ash trees at the Tousignant family ranch. It is here, on land like this, land the family refers to as the "home place," where the boys who have always played football at Wibaux are born.

Bill Tousignant's mustache frames the corners of his mouth, and he is fond of telling the story of how he met his wife, Lisa, on horseback, a few miles from where they now live, just before a hailstorm. He says that despite the county's efforts, the road to his family's home is sometimes impassable. When it rains too much, the clay turns to wet cement and cakes on truck wheels until they no longer spin. When it snows, the road is sometimes unplowed for days, and his boys have to clear stretches of it themselves. It's not uncommon, he says, for his family to be stranded on their ranch "for a day or two."

Sbnation-wibaux_-_33_mediumThe Tousignant brothers.

when the weather is right, they work for 20 hours a day.

Hours before the game against the Red Hawks, Bill and his sons, Colton and Chas, woke before dawn. The boys each have a mat of tightly curled hair and electric blue eyes, which never shy from eye contact. That morning, a veterinarian was due at the ranch to do a pregnancy check on their stock of heifers. As dawn became day, the Tousignant men guided the 1,200-pound animals down a shoot of wrought iron fence, at the end of which each head of cattle was examined with an ultrasound wand. They had to work quickly, because the boys had a game.

Bill and Lisa are proud of their sons. As did their older brother before he left for college, Colton and Chas do every job the ranch demands. In February and March, they take turns waking up every two hours throughout the night to check on the pregnant cattle, and if one is in labor, they help relieve her of the 80-pound calf. They have never been on a spring vacation, and they spend their summers cutting hay and rolling it into enormous cylindrical bails. Some weeks, when the weather is right, and the grass is neither too wet with dew or too dry and brittle, they work for 20 hours a day.

On a recent Sunday morning, Bill drives his Dodge up a steep, dirt incline and gestures across a draw to where a church-sized stack of bails slumps in the wind. "That's no small feat," he says of the work his boys do each summer and adds that there are more stacks around the ranch. He says Colton and Chas cut 2,500 acres of grass last summer and put up 7,000 bails of hay. Sometime in the following months, when snow covers the ground, they will unfurl the bails one-by-one. The Tousignants' cattle will survive through the winter because of the work the boys did in the summer.

Ranch life is cyclical. Every task — preg-checking heifers, branding calves, trucking steers to auction — exists on the rim of a wheel, pushed around its axis by the changing of seasons. A job is completed only so the next one can begin, and some jobs, like mending the 40 miles of fence on the Tousignants' property, are never finished. The Tousignant boys aren't football fans — there is little time for that luxury, and these are not boys accustomed to sitting around. They show no allegiance to any team other than the one they play for. On weekends, when they are not playing football and if there is no work to be done, they'd rather play paintball or ride ATVs or hunt than sit and flick between televised football games. Colton doesn't care about Peyton Manning's comeback or concussions or who will win the Heisman. He'd rather show you the skin of a bobcat he trapped in a snare not far from his house. The pelt is silken and mottled tan and gray with dark spots. He says it's a female and rubs a hand over the teats on her belly. He says it might earn him $500 but a big tom could get $1,000. "They kind of dock you because she was milking," he says.

In Wibaux, the Tousignant boys are called "ranch kids," and while they are not the only ranch kids on the Longhorns, they are of a vanishing world. Corey Begger, the team's statistician, remembers just a few decades ago, when he was playing, there were more boys like the Tousignants, himself included. "There's not as many farm kids now as there used to be back in the early '90s. When I grew up, we were always on the farm," he says. "Wheat and putting up hay, working cows. We always had other kids helping us." He's not sure why, but he thinks that families are smaller than they used to be. And, he says, "Kids just aren't coming back to work on the farm." Wibaux, where nothing ever changes, is changing in this way.

The ways small towns die are unmistakable.

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The ways small towns die are unmistakable. One day, a family moves away, and no family moves in. The next day, the closed sign in the window of the town's only restaurant stays facing the street, and the post office announces it will only be open four days a week. The school shrinks until there are too few kids to field sports teams. So they practice with schools from neighboring towns, compromise on new uniform colors and mascots. They punctuate the team's new name with a slash. Then goes the gas station and the library. And, in time, the school closes because all of the children are gone.

Wibaux is not Ingomar. It is not Opheim or Custer, towns much closer to drying up and blowing away. But it has gotten steadily smaller, its residents steadily older, and the land there is as unforgiving as anywhere else in that part of the state. The median age in Wibaux is over 50, about 14 years older than the national average, and getting older. High school enrollment is down to about 50 students — 30 years ago there were more than 80, and today, in the playoffs, Wibaux routinely plays against school with twice as many students. But Wibaux survives, and compared to so many other towns, almost seems to flourish. Not because of sheep or cattle or wheat, but because of America's appetite for something else.

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In 1953, four years after engineers in Pennsylvania successfully used a technique for extracting oil from subsurface rock called hydraulic fracturing, a geologist named J.W. Nordquist discovered a shale formation beneath wheat fields belonging to a North Dakota farmer named Henry Bakken (no relation to the Wibaux Bakkens). In time, it was determined that the formation covered nearly 200,000 square miles and stretched from western North Dakota to southern Saskatchewan to eastern Montana. Estimates put the amount of extractable oil in the hundreds of billions of barrels.

Companies like Halliburton, Exxon, and Tesoro laid claims, and in recent years, towns like Williston and Watford City, N.D., and Sidney, Mont., have transformed into boomtowns, full of people from someplace else, where men live in trucks and trailers or else commute long distances to earn a wage.

One hundred miles to the west, Wibaux is sustained by its proximity to the explosion of industry. Bill Tousignant doesn't spend his days on the ranch. He spends about 300 days a year working as a consultant on drill rigs. He says that if he could stay home, he would. Ranching is what he loves, but without the work in North Dakota, he isn't sure his life as a rancher would persist. AJ LaBelle says he'd love to find a job in town, but "they're paying $16 an hour at the McDonald's in Dickinson." He works inspecting and selling tubing for pipelines, while his brother, Jordan, commutes to Dickinson, N.D., to work as a mechanic. Their youngest brother, Heath, wants to do the same.

Wibaux may be slowly dying, but it is also still a living place, with a high school and a post office and, significantly, a line of trucks at the ticket booth on Saturday afternoons in the fall. As long as there is football, traffic passing on I-94 will know the name "Wibaux" on that water tower means something. But what will happen when more people move off the ranch, have fewer kids and the enrollment at the high school drops to 40, to 30? What happens when the Rainbow closes, or the Shamrock? Or when there aren't enough boys to work a ranch when their father is away?

Some people say it will never happen — they refuse to admit the possibility, just as their ancestors once refused to bend before the wind. Jeff Bakken, who played quarterback and graduated in 2008, says Wibaux will never go the way of Terry, Ekalaka or Savage — former 8-man schools who can no longer field 8-man teams. He says the 6-man game, with every player eligible to catch a pass, "isn't even football."

"There is nothing else without football," he says. "I mean, what else is there?"

"If Wibaux had eight players on their football team," he says, "we'd still play 8-man football."

Jordan LaBelle agrees, because without Longhorn football, the place he grew up would cease to exist. "There is nothing else without football," he says. "I mean, what else is there?"

But others acknowledge change is coming. Wibaux High currently has large junior and freshmen classes, but elementary school numbers are critically low. Jeff Bertelsen isn't sure how much longer he will coach, but he says a drop to 6-man would force him to retire early. He is willing to concede the inevitability of the move. "It's a numbers game. Saturdays will still be here. If we're playing 6-man, they'll still be here," he says. When asked what would happen if the Longhorns were playing losing 6-man, he laughs and looks up at the ceiling. "I don't know," he says. "It's never happened."

Begger wears a Longhorn sweatshirt everywhere. He travels to every away game and records every yard gained, touchdown scored and tackle made by the Longhorns. Before home games, he listens to a recording of the 2006 radio broadcast of the playoff game in which the Longhorns snapped the 44-game winning streak of a team from the western side of the state. When he talks about Wibaux football, the corners of his mouth turn up slightly and his eyes widen, as if suddenly awakened. Standing in the lobby of the high school, he takes pleasure in revealing that the longhorn steer whose head is mounted on the wall was raised on his family's ranch.

He doesn't like to think about what may happen to his team. The idea of losing Longhorn football — the thing that in some ways has defined his life — is unbearable. But he knows it's possible. He remembers the days when Scobey played the Longhorns tough for four quarters — when they had more kids out for football. He doesn't want to predict the future, but Begger is willing to imagine it. "I can't even fathom coming into the locker room without thinking we're going to win. Nobody here believes it. It's going to be tough when it becomes a reality. I think all them dreams will — " he says and catches himself. "Once that dream goes away, do you ever start dreaming it again? I don't know."

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The ceremonies before a high school football game never vary, no matter who is playing or what they are playing for. Hours before kickoff, people mingle in the parking lot and on the bleachers, picking up conversations left off the week before. Some of them are friends and some only know each other because they feel connected to the same school, the same team and the same game. They huddle around each other until their chatter is disrupted by the chanting and shouting of the hometown players as they sprint from the locker room onto the field. It starts again, the rituals that bring them to this place each fall. The captains, sons who were themselves sons of fathers who played on this field, in freshly washed uniforms, shake hands and flip a coin. The ball is placed on a tee and the teams line up on opposite sides of the field. A whistle blows and the ball is kicked into the air and the players hurdle down the field toward one another.

The end of the game, though, has nothing to do with its beginning. Time simply runs out and suddenly the white lines painted on the grass mean nothing. The final seconds tick off the clock and the shrill of a whistle announces that the game is over, the score Wibaux 65, Froid/Medicine Lake 16. The Red Hawk and Longhorn players stand up straight, take off their helmets and reveal mops of sweaty hair. They shake hands. Parents and siblings walk onto the field and wrap arms around their shoulder pads. A group of girls surround a player and hug him so that he smiles awkwardly and appreciatively. The scene is celebratory but also cathartic. It is as if everyone gathers on the field after the game to reassure each other that it is still here — that whatever had been anticipated has come and gone, and that in another week or another year, it will happen again. No one seems to notice the younger boys, whose game of two-hand touch continues and has spilled onto the field and licks at the edges of the crowd.

As the sun begins a slow dip toward the horizon, the wind dies down and trucks begin to pull away from the track. Some folks head downtown, to the Shamrock Club or the Rainbow, to have a beer and talk about the game and prognosticate about the playoffs. Despite another blowout, Longhorn defensive backs were beat twice, resulting in Red Hawk scores. In two weeks, the Longhorns will host a playoff game as the No. 1 seed in the east, and Shane Bakken knows other teams will not be so forgiving. "I was pissed that they scored twice," he says. "We have stuff to work on. Our season really begins in two weeks."

Others drive back to their houses on cracked pavement, past the water tower and across Beaver Creek. And still others, like the Tousignants, pull away from the field and have miles of dirt and clay and red gravel to cover before reaching home. It's a road they drive every day, and they've seen it unplowed and indistinguishable under a blanket of snow. They've seen it turn to muck in a heavy rain and stick to the tires of their truck. Sometimes that road is impassable, but on a Saturday in October, it's clear and cuts through a wind-swept grassland that in a muted autumn light suggests nothing more than a season that may well never end.

On Nov. 23, Wibaux lost the state championship game against Ennis 68-56, the Longhorns' fourth loss in the title game in the past six seasons.

Producer:Chris Mottram | Editor:Glenn Stout | Copy Editor:Kevin Fixler | Photos:Jamie Rogers

They're playing basketball: An oral history of Kurtis Blow's 'Basketball' on the 30th anniversary of the groundbreaking video

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The intersection of hip-hop and basketball has been well-documented. Rappers want to be ballers, ballers want to be rappers, and every MC worth his salt has name-checked the NBA. From the early hip-hop days ofBig Bank Hank getting a color TV to watch the Knicks, through Ice Cube's good day when the Lakers beat the (dearly departed) SuperSonics, and on to young global dudes like Joe Budden honoring Drazen Petrovic and Action Bronson repping Arvydas Sabonis, rapping basketball is a time-honored tradition. And yet, for all the rhymes devoted to hoops, one 30-year-old song reigns supreme.

(Kick it.)

They're playing basssketballlll, we love that bas-ket balllllllll ...

(Step up to the mic, John Condon.)

Now rapping basketball, No. 1, Kurtis Blow.

(Do your thing, Kurt.)

Basketball is my favorite sport, I like the way they dribble up and down the court ...

This is the story of "Basketball."

THE MAN

In 1984, Kurtis Blow dropped his fifth album "Ego Trip." The Harlem native was already hip-hop royalty as the first rapper signed to a major label, the first to tour the United States and Europe, and the first with a gold record, his 1980 smash "The Breaks." Other hits include his debut record "Christmas Rappin'," the Run-DMC collaboration "8 Million Stories," and "If I Ruled the World," which would be famously sampled by Nas. Blow's had a long career and remains one of the few rap game elite who actually were down from day one.

KURTIS BLOW: I've always been a big music lover thanks to my mom, who'd been a great dancer in Harlem at the Renaissance, the Savoy and the Cotton Club. She was popular throughout the neighborhood. I followed in her footsteps. Guys used to come get me for the local dance competitions, I became a B-Boy. I also used to play all the music for the family, spinning James Brown, Motown, the Isley Brothers, Jackie Wilson — all the stuff my mom loved. The first time I ever DJ'ed was in 1972 at my buddy Tony Rome's birthday party. I was 13 and I put together two component sets, my mom's and his mom's, and we had continuous music throughout the party ...

WILLIAM "BILLY-BILL" WARING (Lyricist, "Basketball"): Kurtis and I are lifelong friends. We grew up together, maybe 100 yards apart. We started out breakdancing in 1972, house parties and block parties.

BLOW: William is three years older than me and he was the only kid my mom would let me hang around with because he was headed to college. He was doing something good with his life, not like a lot of the other thugs and criminals in Harlem. Billy-Bill was the guy who got me into all the parties to breakdance.

We learned to appreciate the elements of hip-hop before such a thing existed.

WARING: Eventually, we were dancing in the clubs. We learned to appreciate the elements of hip-hop before such a thing existed, but we didn't start writing anything down until the late 1970s.

BLOW: I was doing my thing in Harlem and the Bronx, keeping up with what the better known DJs were doing, when I met Kool Herc. This was seven or eight years before the first hip-hop record came out, but I knew that here was something new and fresh. As a DJ, I was already different because I wasn't playing disco. Billy-Bill and I saw ourselves as rebels, that was our ideology for people who came to our more obscure parties, what I called "ghetto discos."

MICHAEL OBLOWITZ (video director, "Basketball"): I was part of the No Wave movement, which came out of the downtown arts scene, punk rock and experimental film and the like. Around that time, the first hip-hop shows were taking place in the South Bronx. I‘d become good friends with Charlie Ahearn, who would go on to direct "Wild Style," and we'd cruise up there on the subway to these concerts. It was amazing, an art form that only existed in the Bronx, parts of Brooklyn, and the upper reaches of Manhattan. It was super dangerous, and I was definitely the only white kid from South Africa up there, but I'd never felt anything like it. Television was banned under the apartheid government and I was coming from a place of surfing in the morning and diving for lobsters for lunch. Here we had chain-link fences surrounding these basketball courts, and hundreds of people jammed in there to hear Afrika Bambaataa or Grandmaster Flash. I saw Kurtis Blow rap "The Breaks" up there, it was insane energy.

PAUL EDWARDS (author, "How to Rap" and "How to Rap 2"): Kurtis Blow wasn't particularly ground-breaking on a technical level, but that wasn't what he was going for, he was going for hits, sort of like the Will Smith of his day. He was a "party MC" who made dance songs that people could sing along to — and I don't say that disparagingly at all, it's a very important area of hip-hop and he was crucial in making it a viable force in the marketplace and music industry. People like to focus on the more virtuoso lyricists of the time, such as Melle Mel, Grandmaster Caz, and Kool Moe Dee, but the genre needed the balance brought by people like Blow in order to spread it far and wide and get it on the radio.

BLOW: I went to City College of New York, where I met Russell Simmons. I majored in Communications and Broadcasting and learned that building up a track record in the boondocks was the path to follow. Every record store had its own chart, its own top 10, which coincidentally, is how I learned to read, by studying the charts. I figured out to compete in the big city with the 40 or 50 other popular DJs, I needed to come in with a couple of No. 1's in a secondary market. So Russell and I opened up a club in Hollis, Queens called Night Fever Disco, where I worked on being a DJ and an MC for about two years. A writer from from "Billboard," Robert Ford, did a story on hip-hop and they listed the best DJs in the city, including a young college kid, Kurtis Blow Walker.

It sold like a son of a bitch that summer, everywhere I went "The Breaks" followed me out of those giant boom boxes.

J.B. MOORE (producer, "Basketball"): I was in ad sales at "Billboard," but I'm a musician by trade. Robert Ford covered the R&B charts and together, we'd discovered this new thing coming up from the streets, like in the early days of rock ‘n' roll. I believe Robert wrote the first ever article about hip-hop for an aboveground publication. We both knew it was going to be big, we could smell it. We wanted to produce a rap record, talked to Russell, and decided Kurtis was the guy. He was an incredible performer. I'd seen him wake up groggy as hell in the nurses office at Wollman Skating Rink, shake it off, and absolutely kill on stage. I knew it would be easier to sell the label on a perennial, so our first record was "Christmas Rappin.'" We followed that up in the 1980 with "The Breaks." It sold like a son of a bitch that summer, everywhere I went "The Breaks" followed me out of those giant boom boxes kids carried around back then. If PolyGram would have backed it, that song would've gone platinum.

BLOW: Having a major label means having major press. PolyGram was flying me all over. I'd get to the office and there would be a full day of press in every city, TV, magazines, newspapers, it was documented all over the world. London, Paris, Belgium ... I'm traveling to places I've only read about and there's paparazzi clicking my picture? It was incredible.

MC SERCH (rapper, former member of 3rd Bass, talk show host of "Serch"): In the beginnings of hip-hop, Kurtis Blow was a bigger-than-life character, almost iconic. He wasn't a battle rapper, he was designed to be a party rapper. Kurtis' influence on hip-hop is in his showmanship and the fact that he made songs, he didn't just rap over beats.

THE GAME

Coming of age in New York in the late-60s/early-70s meant rooting for Knicks teams that competed for, and actually won, NBA championships year-in and year-out. Kurtis Blow remains a Knick fan for life, but his deep love for the game was actually inspired by a high-flyer from Long Island who never called Madison Square Garden home.

BLOW: I played everything as a kid: baseball, tennis, track, swimming, football, and basketball. I was actually a better football player than basketball, because I'm kind of short, you know? As a spectator, I liked them all, but basketball became my favorite after I met my idol. I loved Walt Frazier, Dick Barnett, Earl Monroe, those Knicks teams of course, but I was a big, big fan of Julius Erving. Dr. J., he was the guy and I hated — hated— that he was in the ABA. Things would have been much better for everybody if Dr. J. was winning those championships rings in the NBA where he belonged.

WARING: In 1973, the Rucker Tournament moved from 155th Street to CCNY and Dr. J. was who everybody wanted to see. When Julius would come to Harlem, he'd have people sitting on top of the roofs and in the trees overlooking the courts. People couldn't get seats, but they had to get a glimpse of him. I was totally inspired by Dr. J., he was doing things on the court I'd never seen before.

Then Dr. J. said, "I'm glad to meet you little Kurt, you keep up the great work."

BLOW: At 14, I was in the CCNY summer youth program, which had all kinds of sports activities. My track coach, Barbara Floyd, had gone to college with Julius Erving at UMass. Coach Floyd knew I was Dr. J's biggest fan. One day, we'd returned to CCNY from a meet where I'd won three big trophies. All the sudden, here comes Dr. J. getting ready to play in the Rucker. He's walking down the block and stops to get a hot dog. I tell Coach Floyd, ‘You know him! Call him over! Call him over!' She said, ‘Julius, come over here and give me a bite of that hot dog!' He took a bite, and handed her the rest. She introduced me, and Dr. J. saw my trophies and said, ‘Man, you had a good day.' I could hardly breath, ‘Iwonthe50yarddash Iwonthe100yarddash Iwonthe4by400relay itwasagreatday.' Then Dr. J. said, ‘I'm glad to meet you little Kurt, you keep up the great work.' From that moment on, basketball and music was it. I grew up without a dad, so I created these fictional "Pops" in my head. James Brown and Dr. J. were two of my Pops.

THE SONG

"Basketball" was the second single off of "Ego Trip." Breaking it down into its components, the song is made up of the concept, the lyrics, the hook/chorus, the sound effects, and the guys-at-the-playground-riffing-about-hoops that closes it out.

"You need to make a song about basketball, it's the No. 1 sport for African-Americans and nobody has done it yet."

BLOW: The idea came from my wife, who was my girlfriend at the time. She said, "You need to make a song about basketball, it's the No. 1 sport for African-Americans and nobody has done it yet."

MOORE: First time Kurtis mentioned it, I knew it was a terrific concept precisely because it hadn't been done. I thought it could have a larger life than some of our other records. We'd been disappointed with the reception to "Party Time," which we thought would be a breakout hit, but I still had confidence in the basketball idea. I was a fan, but Robert Ford knew everything about the sport. One time, he was in Indiana at a VFW or something and he got into a conversation about basketball. He knew more about the Indiana teams than they guys at the bar. Ford knew oceans about hoops, so if he believed the record would be a good thing ...

MC SERCH: Kurtis always had that amazing ability to pick regular everyday themes, like Christmas or basketball, and turn something ordinary to extraordinary.

Lyrics_mediumHover to read "Basketball" lyrics

BLOW: Billy-Bill and I think a lot alike and we talked basketball all the time, so he knew exactly who to put in the song. He chose the players and included all the greats. We wanted the guys we grew up watching who were all out of the league by the time the song came out, and the best of that time.

WARING: The only explicit thing Kurtis told me was Dr. J. had to come first.

BLOW: Almost every guy in the song is in the Hall of Fame, except for maybe Darryl Dawkins — but we had to have him, he was the first guy shattering backboards — and Ralph Sampson. But during that time, Sampson was the hottest cat. He was destined for the Hall of Fame, it's hard to believe he didn't make it. He got hurt a lot, and got sidetracked or whatever, so he's forgotten a little bit, but in college, Sampson was the man. End of story.

WARING: I wrote the lyrics quick. Sometimes creatively, it just comes to you. Only a few little things got changed. I didn't write the line "Or when Willis Reed stood so tall ..." at first. My original was "When Marv Albert made the call, Yes and It Counts! That's basketball." When I submitted it, I guess they knew the legal ramifications of getting clearances from Marv or whatever, but there's also an old practice where producers put in a line or two to get a songwriting credit. I'm not mad at ‘em. I was cool with the change because it was still about the Knicks.

MOORE: We recorded it at the Power Station, which has a 8088 Neve console that allowed us to just kick the shit out of the track. The tremendous equipment and supremely talented engineers allowed us to do some mind-boggling stuff. We wanted "Basketball" to sound a bit removed from what was going on then in hip-hop. It all starts with that catchy vocal hook.

Blow was instrumental in introducing choruses to hip-hop, as most of the earlier records were just one long continuous rap with no hook.

EDWARDS: Blow was instrumental in introducing choruses to hip-hop, as most of the earlier records were just one long continuous rap with no hook. Kool Moe Dee even calls Kurtis, "The inventor of the rap hook."

BLOW: The hook was all mine. That was my thing, hooks were my specialty. I did the hooks on "8 Million Stories," "Fat Boys," "Fat Boys are Back," "If I Ruled the World ..." Simple sing-y melodic hooks stick in your head.

MOORE: To our very good fortune, we had Alyson Williams doing the backing vocals. She nailed it. I also had Jimmy Bralower, the drum machinist, make a sample of a basketball being dribbled on the studio floor. We got the best recording of it we could, pre-digital, and sent it off to be burned into a chip. Every drum on the record has a bit of that basketball in it. I don't know if it made any difference, it's hard to tell, but it was a nice piece of ear candy.

WARING: I was thrilled when I came into the studio and they had John Condon doing his thing, "Now rapping basketball ..." I don't think he knew what he was getting into, but he was the voice of the Knicks, the guy we saw from the Garden every Sunday, and I knew fans would love it. He died a few years later, so we have history on top of history on that track.

MOORE: One underrated or forgotten part of the record is the riffing, the guys just talking hoops.

WARING: I wanted to rap on the record, but they didn't let me. I did get on the track though, at the end. That whole section was ad-libbed. I'm the guy who says, "Did you see that kid Michael Jordan?" He was still in college. I'm a prophet, for better or worse.

EDWARDS: If you're making a concept track, which this essentially is, then it helps to stay on topic, which "Basketball" does. It includes a surprising amount of detail with its references. It's nothing intricate, but it moves way past the simple "wave your hands in the air" style of most party tracks.

MOORE: Everything just came together, that song kicks ass six ways from Thursday.

MC SERCH: The main thing that makes "Basketball" so special is that Kurtis was reflecting on what we all dug about the game. He was talking about athletes of the time, running plays, streetball vs. NBA ball, taking the temperature of fans and what they loved about the sport both on-and-off the court.

THE RECEPTION

Kurtis Blow actually had bigger selling records, but "Basketball" took off in ways no previous recording of his ever did.

BLOW: "Basketball" got huge radio play. But as a record, it didn't sell like "The Breaks," which as a 12-inch almost went platinum at 940,000 units. "Basketball" was also put out as a single, but only 50,000 records were released. Once those were gone, the record company put out more copies of the album "Ego Trip," which went gold.

WARING: Kurtis ended up meeting a lot of NBA stars, they loved it. I didn't travel around with him as much, but I remember the Knicks had a backup forward named Eric Fernsten who got us tickets to a game. That was cool.

It was bigger than the NBA though, it became the theme song for teams everywhere.

BLOW: I met ‘em all, Ewing, Starks, MJ, Oakley is a good friend of mine, Isiah ... I made a point to reach out to the guys in the league. It was bigger than the NBA though, it became the theme songs for teams everywhere. College, high school, summer youth, elementary school. I heard all the time from professionals and amateurs that "Basketball" was the backdrop for the layup lines. I can absolutely say it's the No. 1 layup line song of all time.

WARING: I don't think it's the best song I ever wrote, but it certainly had the most impact.

BLOW: When the song was peaking, the NBA started flying me around to do shows. They would send me to a game like the Cleveland Cavaliers vs. the New Jersey Nets, games that weren't even close to being sold out. I would do a live performance right after the game to fill the arena. We sold out the San Antonio Spurs stadium and Goerge Gervin came to the show. The Iceman was the first player mentioned in "Basketball" that I met. That was amazing, but in Philly, Dr. J. came backstage and gave me a huge hug. He thanked me for putting him in the song and he's still a good buddy of mine today.

THE VIDEO

At a time when few black artists, and no rappers, were seen on MTV, a crazy "Basketball" video was shot featuring cheerleaders, martial arts, Adam West-esque Batman graphics, players dunking on short hoops, nunchuks, a blue sky, a lightning bolt jumpsuit, an old-timey photographer, random black-and-white shots of Michael Ray Richardson, Lite Beer from Miller jerseys, a mascot in a chicken costume, the Fat Boys, Whodini, and a man inexplicably eating a giant hot dog slathered in mustard.

I knew next to nothing about basketball. I was basically straight off the boat from South Africa, I'd never seen it.

OBLOWITZ: I made this experimental avant-garde punk film called "King Blank" that played as a midnight movie double feature with "Eraserhead" at the old Waverly Theatre. Somebody saw it, and off of that, hired me to direct these really slick videos for Carly Simon of all people. I think I may have directed the first videos ever shown on VH1. Anyway, from that, I got hired to do "Basketball," which was ironic because there is a sequence in "King Blank" set to rap music, which I also don't think had been done before. At first I thought I was being hired to do a video for a re-release of "The Breaks," so I was really excited. I even wrote a treatment for it. I so wanted "The Breaks," it would have been a game-changer, a life-changer, and the song talks about universal experiences. I knew next to nothing about basketball. I was basically straight off the boat from South Africa, I'd never seen it. I came from a country where black people were basically enslaved. The main sport the government supported was rugby, a brutal sport of the white ruling class where big drunken burly descendants of Germans and Dutchmen banged their fucking heads into one another like Vikings. And here you have a finesse sport where tall graceful descendants of Nigeria fly around the court. It was so far out of my frame of reference. To me, basketball was the hip iconic image of America. When I got to New York City, streetball was everywhere, it was part of the Bob Dylan line, "Music in the cafes and revolution in the air." It was fucking great.

BLOW: The video was shot before the song became a hit, so the NBA didn't want anything to do with it. Our initial idea was to get footage of all the players in the song and we couldn't get clearance for anyone except Michael Ray Richardson. That was the only guy they gave us, so we used his photos. He's not even in the song. Not quite the same as having Dr. J. soaring to the hoop.

MOORE: Unfortunately, Kurtis split with Robert and I before the video was made. Had we known what was going to happen I think we would've marched into the studio with a gun to put an end to it. Ford had all these personal connections to the NBA and I think he could have gotten the footage, which would have made for an all-time classic video.

OBLOWITZ: It was the first thing I ever made through my own production company and we had a $25,000 budget. My concept was to use those motifs from the Bronx, the chain-link fence, the gang-bangers, the martial arts. I wanted it to be edgy. I wanted to get some of those gnarly dudes from the Bronx involved, recreate what I'd seen, but PolyGram had other ideas.

All the cheerleaders in the video are white. Oh, do you know the problems I had with black women around the country?

BLOW: I didn't have any understanding of why the director wanted the martial arts and the gangs and stuff. Looking back, it's a little bit cheesy to me, but I was excited to have cameras focused on me, now I'm a super-duper-star. Let's do it.

OBLOWITZ: One thing the label demanded was blonde MTV babes.

BLOW: All the cheerleaders in the video are white. Oh, do you know the problems I had with black women around the country? All the African-American militants started coming at me, saying I wasn't real and I sold out ... I wasn't thinking about all that, I was just happy we had cheerleaders. I mean, c'mon, they were cute girls.

OBLOWITZ: One of the cheerleaders is a light-skinned black girl, but I guess that's a cop-out. I decided to just go with it, to make it a pastiche of all the things I'd seen on TV and at Madison Square Garden. This is what PolyGram wants? Let's have fun with it, let's just make it a blur of colors, cheerleaders, a guy wolfing down a huge hot dog, a guy in a chicken suit, the Fat Boys shuffle, and a fetishization of television itself. It was supposed to be funny, but Kurtis and I had a seriousness of purpose, to get in heavy rotation on MTV.

BLOW: It was cool to get my friends in the video, the Fat Boys and Whodini came and did a guest appearance, but some stuff I didn't understand. What was with that guy in the chicken suit?

WARING: I wasn't in the video. I'm not disappointed about that.

OBLOWITZ: I couldn't believe how much flack we got for the white cheerleaders, for selling out, for not being street enough. I got slammed, but what choice did we have? Without the record label, the "Basketball" video doesn't exist. Besides, we had a hell of a lot of fun making it. I built a court and we had hoops of all different sizes. We had vivid colors and a real Pop Art aesthetic. It was all stylized. I shot from the ground, and used slow motion, and we had trampolines, all to give the appearance of guys flying through the air. And they were real players, semi-pro or something, who showed up with matching jerseys, which I thought was fantastic. Whodini is here? Let's put them in. The Fat Boys? Go for it. One thing I remember from the shoot is how much pizza The Fat Boys ate. Mountains of pizza and piles and piles of cardboard boxes.

MOORE: When I first saw it I was pissed off, "What the fuck is this?" It was so stupid, so not Kurtis Blow. I knew it wouldn't do a whole lot of damage because it never played on MTV.

When I first saw it I was pissed off, "What the fuck is this?" It was so stupid, so not Kurtis Blow.

BLOW: I believe that was the first rap video that got on MTV, but Run-DMC claims it was one of theirs, so I don't know, but there was no rap videos before us, that's for sure.

OBLOWITZ: We did what we set out to do, it played on MTV and millions of people got to see Kurtis Blow, this ball of energy who hadn't been exposed to the country.

EDWARDS: It's a slick, commercial rap video, before that kind of thing became widely prevalent. Girls, basketball, flashy editing for the time ... it even has a martial arts thing going on in the background at times, nearly 10 years before there was such a thing as a Wu-Tang Clan.

MOORE: So this was all PolyGram's doing? My apologies to the director. I take it all back. I've been bad-mouthing the poor guy since 1984.

OBLOWITZ: It was sanitized, sure, but I still think the "Basketball" video works as a surreal moment of its time. The HOF International Film Festival in Germany recently did a retrospective of my work, and "Basketball" was one of  two videos of mine they selected, the other being "Chill Out" by John Lee Hooker and Santana, and it's not like MTV ever showcased blues legends either. I blew it up to 2K, real cinema HD, and it really popped. The crowd went nuts. The world at-large loves it. I love it. The video was fucking full-on fresh. Even today, it really flows. "Basketball" doesn't have over two million YouTube views by accident.

THE LEGACY

On its 30-year anniversary, "Basketball" is still played wherever people gather to shoot or watch hoops. And while Kurtis Blow hasn't had a hit rap record in years, he's had a long career performing Christian music, leading the Hip Hop Church, a musical youth ministry for any church to teach kids about the gospels, Jesus, and salvation, all with a hip-hop flair. He's even branched out into rock music, collaborating with Bride Dressed in Black on the new release "Hip-Rock."

BLOW: A classic song never dies, but "Basketball" did get new life when Michael Jordan put it in NBA 2K12. It's the first thing you hear when you pop in the game. Nothing lasts forever though. Last year, I was at All-Star weekend, I introduced myself to LaMarcus Aldridge, told him I did "Basketball" and that I had him on my fantasy team. He just shook my hand and walked away. Younger kids don't know me, but the OGs do, so it's all worth it.

WARING: Kurtis and I have talked about updating it, getting all those guys we missed out on like Barkley, Olajuwon, LeBron, Duncan ... I think we could pull it off.

BLOW: I have connections with the Miami Heat and I've thought about a new version and letting guys like LeBron and Wade rap on the record.

MOORE: I think a 2013 "Basketball" is a great idea and I'd love to do it. I think the world is ready for a record that's all whacked up like we used to do it, old-school style.

MC SERCH: Rap in the 1980s existed in a New York bubble, you didn't think about rhyming for California, Texas or Florida, it was for your city, your borough, your neighborhood, for the dudes on your block. In 3rd Bass, we made a song about streetball, "Soul in the Hole," and other artists have attempted to make songs about the sport, but Kurtis still owns it. The original survives. It's not that the record was that great as it was great back then. I'm always happy to hear it on Backspin in that moment, but I don't want to hear it 60 times a week. It takes me to when I was young, so I don't know if it's a good idea, no matter how talented Kurtis is, to duplicate or remake it. Maybe if he did it with A$AP Rocky or Action Bronson, some of the young guys to get their take on basketball, that would be interesting ... I'm torn to say the least. I think he should leave it alone. Certain things should just live in their own cosmos.

His songs stand the test of time. I take a lot of pride in the music we made together.

WARING: We were first, we were pioneers in that way. It was a group of talented people doing what they do best. We taught people the history of the game.

MOORE: To this day, I regret that I didn't listen to Russell and move Kurtis in a harder-edged direction, which is where rap was going. But his songs stand the test of time, why else would we be talking about "Basketball" 30 years later? I take a lot of pride in the music we made together.

OBLOWITZ: I was a draft dodger from South Africa, I skipped out on my country because fighting on behalf of an apartheid government was not something I was ever going to do. But living in downtown New York City back in those days was still living apart from the United States. The country ended at the Verrazano Bridge. We never left. Working with Kurtis Blow was my gateway to America. It opened all kinds of doors for me and got me all kinds of work.  After "Basketball," for the first time, I felt like I had a place in America.

BLOW:The live performance of "Basketball" is big time. Everyone knows the hook, so when it starts I ask all the ladies to sing along, then I do a thing where I ask the crowd, "What is the name of your favorite team?" And say I'm in L.A., I go through the Knicks, Heat,  Bulls, and say the Lakers last. Huge crowd roar. Then I ask their favorite player, "Is it LeBron?" Booooo "Kevin Durant?" Booooo "Kobe Bryant?" Big cheers. Then I end it with, "I know everyone loves Michael Jorrrrrrrrrrrrrdan!" The fans scream, go nuts. "Basketball" is a house rocker.

After all these years, people still love it. I thank God for basketball, the song and the sport.

Producer:Chris Mottram | Copy Editor:Kevin Fixler

This train: When two unlikely teams met in the SEC Championship, we saw a glimpse into the future of the conference

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"This train is bound for _____." The MARTA train splits Atlanta into four quadrants and greets you with this introduction every time you board. It is both a statement of fact and a nod to Atlanta's - and Georgia's - strange, wonderful, contradictory history.

"This Train" is a song that, like Atlanta itself, encompasses the entire South in origin and influence. It was recorded by artists from Mississippi and Tennessee, among others, and it was first made popular by Rosetta Tharpe, an Arkansan by birth. Around the time Sister Rosetta was making headway with the song, Gone With the Wind was debuting in Atlanta, a city of about 275,000 at the time.

This train don't carry no gamblers, no whiskey drinkers, and no high flyers

This train don't carry no gamblers, this train

This train is bound for glory, don't carry nothing but the righteous and the holy

This train is bound for glory, this train

This train don't carry no liars, no hypocrites and no high flyers

This train don't carry no liars, this train

This train is solid black; when you go there, you don't come back

This train is bound for glory, this train

This train don't fit no transportation, no Jim Crow and no discrimination

This train is bound for glory, this train

This train don't care if you're white or black; everybody's treated just like a man

This train is bound for glory, this train

Atlanta in its current state is a heavy city,
lifted up by its accomplishments and weighed down by its flaws.

It is, like the 1930s themselves, a song at once optimistic and tragic, hopeful and pointed. It tells us what is right and almost acknowledges that we're all wrong. It is a heavy, heavy song. And Atlanta in its current state is a heavy city, lifted up by its accomplishments and weighed down by its flaws. Its history as one of America's great cities is short, relatively speaking, but it is loaded with canonical events, history and sports.

Atlanta has tried, and still tries, to get everything wrong. The MARTA takes you through so much of this contradiction. Oakland Cemetary, the crowded, disturbingly pretty home of everyone from Bobby Jones to Margaret Mitchell, is about a mile from downtown, or too far removed from a couple of the stadiums that have to be vacated the moment they are erected. When it gets something wrong, it tries again. When it gets something right, it tries again.

All of our best and worst tendencies are magnified in Atlanta, from our love (and occasional forgetfulness) of history to our dependence on sweet, sweet, empty calories. Atlanta residents seem to resent all there is to resent about this place, then defiantly love it anyway. They want to flee right up until they decide they'll never leave. "I can talk bad about this place, but you better not." That sort of thing.

If you are a fan of an SEC school, Atlanta is exactly where you want to find yourself on the first weekend of December. The Georgia Dome has hosted the last 20 conference championship games after Birmingham's Legion Field held the first two. It is where Florida won its second, third, and fourth SEC titles of the Steve Spurrier era. It is where Kevin Prentiss tiptoed down the sidelines in 1998 and Peerless Price responded in kind. It is where LSU eliminated Tennessee from the national title game in 2001, where Georgia head coach Mark Richt broke through in 2002, and where Nick Saban won his first conference title in 2003. It is where Georgia stunned No. 3 LSU in 2005, where No. 2 Florida took down No. 1 Alabama in 2008, and where No. 2 Alabama whipped No. 1 Florida in 2009. It is where the Honey Badger solidified his legend in 2011 and where Georgia came up six yards short in 2012.

As the SEC positioned itself as the dominant force in college football - and while it may not be the best conference every season (one could certainly make a case for the Pac-12 this season), it is easily the best on average - Atlanta became the capital of the sport. (This is doubly true now that downtown Atlanta has booted baseball, even if only in a, "You can't quit; you're fired!" kind of way.) In the Georgia Dome on the first Saturday in December, a makeshift national semifinal tends to take place; the winner of the SEC Championship Game has made the national title game for eight straight seasons.

When I arrived in Atlanta for my initial SEC Championship experience, it was a full 60 degrees warmer than it was in my home town. The locals were worried about a cold front moving through; it might get into the 40s! But for the weekend as a whole, the weather was neither pretty nor unpleasant. The city is both at all times.

★★★
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THIS TRAIN IS BOUND FOR GWCC

The SEC Championship is basically the conference's annual banquet. The Georgia Dome next door is the main ballroom, but the Georgia World Congress Center contains the breakout rooms - the SEC Fanfare event, the school alumni association "tailgates," the pep rallies, etc. - and the refreshments.

People are wearing company colors, wearing placards, and walking by posters and sponsorship signs. (The number of corporate sponsors for this event is, as Gary Pinkel might say, mammoth. Acknowledging each sponsor during the game takes up almost an entire, CBS-sized timeout.) As it will be in the stadium, those in black and gold are drastically outnumbered by those in orange and blue, but that was to be expected. Auburn is about six times closer to Atlanta than Columbia, its ticket base is larger, and its fans didn't have to cross a swath of ice and snow and hell to get to the game.

Members of both sides mingle politely, talking about how concerned they are about the opponent's given strength (Auburn's pass rush and option game, Missouri's defensive front and big receivers) and getting along swimmingly.

This has been a big year for Missouri. In the Tigers' second season in the SEC, they took their first East division title; they have now been to as many conference title games as Mississippi State and South Carolina and more than four other schools (Ole Miss, Kentucky, Vanderbilt, Texas A&M), three of which have been in the SEC much, much longer.

Pinkel and Missouri can compete in the league that was supposed to chew up newcomers and spit them out.

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After the struggles of 2012, in which Missouri suffered a wealth of injuries at quarterback and on the offensive line and limped to a 5-7 finish, its first without a bowl game since 2004, the Tigers didn't only bounce back in Year 2: They surged. And while there were changes in scheme and structure - more blocking from the tight end, tighter splits on the offensive line, etc. - this is a Gary Pinkel team, stocked with two- and three-star athletes and chips on shoulders. The Pinkel process of unearthing diamonds in the recruiting rough, winning a small handful of bigger recruiting battles, developing, developing, developing, and plugging his players into a tactically sound system is not likely to produce a Spurrier-at-Florida-esque run of conference titles. But if 2013 proved anything, it's that Pinkel and Missouri can compete in the league that was supposed to chew up newcomers and spit them out.

(This last point, by the way, has been a source of insecurity for some. CBS color commentator Gary Danielson, who will spend part of the upcoming game chuckling about how Mizzou might regret coming to the league and calling a long, strong touchdown by MU receiver Dorial Green-Beckham a "cute little play," told a radio audience that the early success of Missouri and Texas A&M have weakened the conference. For some in the league, the appearance of strength is more important than strength itself. That Missouri and Texas A&M were able to improve the SEC actually hurt it, because they proved it could be improved.)

Missouri fans, exhilarated, along for the ride, and for now humble and pleasant, have made a lot of new friends. They kept Steve Spurrier out of the conference title game, which made Georgia fans and others rather happy. And they sure seemed to have a lot of new friends in Tuscaloosa the week before the game began.

Mind you, the admiration will wear off. Opposing fans simply haven't gotten to know Mizzou well enough to hate it; if the Tigers continue to win some big games and threaten for division titles, the pleasantries will fade. But for now, there's a freshness and an eagerness to please.

Auburn fans, meanwhile, are wearing shirts that say "Powered by Gusoline" and riding an incredible wave of good fortune perhaps not seen since, well, Auburn's national title run in 2010. That year's Tigers were powered by one of the SEC's greatest players (quarterback Cam Newton) and seven wins by a touchdown or less, improved steadily, and peaked at the right time. They stunned Alabama with a huge comeback and took both the SEC and national titles.

It's not supposed to work this way, by the way. In the years after Auburn's national championship, head coach Gene Chizik changed up the offense - he let offensive coordinator Gus Malzahn leave for a head coaching job at Arkansas State and moved to a "pro-style" offense that wins recruits and has no idea what it wants to accomplish - and generally wasted a couple of years of good recruiting. AU fell to 8-5 in 2011, then 3-9 in 2012, and Chizik was fired fewer than 24 months after lifting college football's crystal ball. Malzahn took over, and while he was familiar enough with the surroundings and a lot of the players, it still seemed presumptuous to assume much improvement in his first season. I was confident enough in marginal first-year progress that I agreed to a bet with an Auburn fan. Now that they have drastically overachieved my own predictions, I will be sporting an Auburn Twitter avatar (limited time only) pretty soon.

I still stand by my thought process, though. Immediate turnarounds are a lot rarer than we want them to be, and let's just say that if you picked a season like this from Auburn, you were using criteria that will make you wrong about 99.9 percent of the time. But you would have been right this time.

Auburn was mediocre to above average in September, good in October, and both very good and blessed in November, winning two games with absurd finishes; the Tigers beat Georgia with a tipped, 73-yard, fourth-and-long touchdown with 25 seconds left, then tied Alabama with 32 seconds left and won with the first walk-off return of a missed field goal in the sport's history. Even with spectacular tactical acumen - something Malzahn clearly possesses - a turnaround like this would both take a bit of luck and prove that the last head coach was mismanaging his talent to a pretty serious degree.

But apparently Gene Chizik might have been doing just that.

★★★
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THIS TRAIN IS BOUND FOR THE END ZONE

Everything good goes corporate eventually. On Saturday, we witnessed the absorption of MACtion by college football's strongest collection of businesses. We have grown to love those mid-week MAC games on one of the ESPN channels because of the bunches of yards and points, the trick plays, the big turnovers, and the general wackiness. The first half of Saturday's SEC Championship featured all of those things.

Missouri set up a field goal with one fumble recovery and returned another for a touchdown. Auburn ran for yards and yards and yards and seemed to take complete control of the game. Missouri struck back with a key stop and the "cute" bomb from quarterback James Franklin to Green-Beckham, and despite Auburn's running game playing the hot knife in the Missouri defense's metaphorical butter, the score was 28-27, Auburn, at halftime.

You know a game is great when all of the known entities, all of the known stars, come up big.

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Halftime was the damnedest thing. The bands played, and some fans clapped. But in all it was just about the most sedate halftime I've ever seen. After a two-hour first half that featured 55 points and nearly 700 yards, everybody needed to regroup. The action would start again soon enough.

You know a game is great when all of the known entities, all of the known stars, come up big and, in some cases, exceed expectations.

Auburn's Nick Marshall, the magician in charge of Gus Malzahn's offense completed six of six passes (all to star receiver Sammie Coates) for 94 yards and a touchdown while running option keepers for 51 yards and a score in the first half. He would rush for another 50 yards and pass for 38 more in the second half.

Missouri's Green-Beckham, the No. 1 overall recruit in the recruiting class of 2012 by numerous recruiting services, caught a one-on-one touchdown in the first quarter (one that might have been overturned as incomplete had it been reviewed), blazed by the Auburn secondary late in the first half, took a screen pass from west to east and south to north in a 37-yard gain in the third quarter, and finished with 144 yards on six catches.

Auburn's star corner (and Iron Bowl hero) Chris Davis, meanwhile, got the best of DGB on a couple of key fourth downs late in the game and navigated a couple of nice punt returns.

Missouri's Henry Josey, subject of a College GameDay profile earlier on Saturday thanks to his complete recovery from a one-in-a-million knee injury, ripped off a 65-yard run to set up a much-needed Missouri score late in the third quarter.

Missouri's star defensive end Kony Ealy, partner to SEC Defensive Player of the Year Michael Sam, racked up three tackles for loss and stripped Marshall twice. Auburn's four defensive ends, so good against Texas A&M's Johnny Manziel (and others), combined for two sacks and four hurries.

But through all the star power, the afternoon (and early evening) belonged to Auburn running back Tre Mason. The junior from Palm Beach who chose Auburn in January 2011, fresh off of the 2010 national title, was both the beneficiary of perfect play-calling and blocking and a superb breaker of tackles. He rushed for a title game record 304 yards on 46 carries.

Mason's work between the tackles, always good, was superb. His ability to hit the corner before a sealed-off running lane could close was impeccable. He was powerful and fast. If we still made posters like we did in the early-'90s, we could say he posterized each and every Missouri safety, sometimes running through their tackles and often simply leaving them grasping at air. If he wasn't a Heisman finalist at the beginning of the day, he had left no doubt that he would become one by nightfall.

That Missouri was able to keep up as long as it did was confirmation of the resilience and maturity of Pinkel's Tigers. They took a 34-31 lead 10 minutes into the third quarter, but just as it looked like the Mizzou defense was figuring out ways to slow down the Auburn attack, Malzahn's offense responded with perhaps its most brutal stretch of the game. Within minutes, the score was 45-34, and though Missouri responded with Josey's long run and a Franklin touchdown to make it 45-42, Auburn had no plans of stopping. The Tigers from the Plains scored quickly to make it 52-42, and Mizzou finally began to crack. A long, first-down pass to a well-covered L'Damian Washington keyed a key three-and-out, and Missouri's final two possessions ended in fourth-down failures. Mizzou averaged 7.5 yards per play for the game and gained 534 yards, but they forever needed more.

At halftime, it felt like Auburn should be winning by more than one point. In those instances, the second half follows one of two narratives. Either the team that should be winning begins to get frustrated and fray a bit, making uncharacteristic mistakes and allowing the opponent to take control, or it simply keeps grinding and eventually pulls away. Auburn did the latter and claimed the SEC title with a thrilling, exhausting, sea-change of a 59-42 win.

★★★
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THIS TRAIN IS BOUND FOR THE FUTURE

Points scored in the SEC Championship game: 101. Points scored in Friday night's MAC title game: 74. Points scored in the Big 12's makeshift, winner-take-all title game (Baylor-Texas): 40.

watching Auburn's offense click at this super-human level was startling.

One game does not typically change the world; it does not signal a new way of life. It's just one game. But watching Auburn's offense click at this super-human level was startling. It raised some existential questions in this football fan.

I have 12 games of visual and statistical evidence that I can use to confidently tell you Missouri's defense is pretty good. Ole Miss gained a school-record 751 yards on Troy the week before the Rebels played the Tigers. Texas A&M gained 628 yards on Alabama. In 120 minutes against these two offenses, Missouri allowed 757 yards and 31 points. In 60 minutes against Auburn, Missouri allowed 677 and 59.

It wasn't the fact that Tre Mason went crazy, or that the play-calling was sound that was so startling; it was the ease with which Auburn created numbers advantages. On the first possession of the game, Missouri proved ready for power running. Auburn blocking back Jay Prosch was lined up in the backfield at an H-back position, as Missouri assumed he would be, and the Tigers first stuffed Marshall for a loss, then sacked and stripped him. But by the second possession, Malzahn was already adapting.

First, he lined up Prosch wide, motioning him into, and sometimes back out of, the backfield. Sensing his team was struggling to block Kony Ealy, he made Ealy the read defender in Auburn's nearly flawless zone read, leaving him unblocked and reacting to his reactions. The result, first, was some big gains by Marshall on option keepers. And as Missouri moved to a frequent 3-3-5 look to counter Auburn's counter, Auburn simply used motion to create four-on-two and five-on-three blocker-to-defender advantages. AU still needed its young offensive line to gel at a higher level than what it showed in September, and the line did just that. And the Tigers needed a back as fast as Mason to get to the edge and take advantage, and he did just that. Talent matters, but the way the talent was deployed was stunning.

For the rest of the game, Missouri moved from 3-3-5 to 4-2-5 to 4-3. It didn't matter. By the second or third possession of the game, Malzahn was two or three steps ahead of Mizzou defensive coordinator Dave Steckel, and when Auburn was able to break a (frequent) big gain, the Tigers used tempo to prevent substitution, to keep the same mismatches on the field, and to break Missouri again and again. Knowing it didn't have time to experiment or change defenses much, Missouri stuck to its base zone defense. And it kept getting burned.

After the game, Gary Pinkel was asked how one should go about stopping this offense when Malzahn has it going at this level. His response: "You know what, I'm the wrong person to ask, because I'd have stopped it if I could have. [...] Gus (Malzahn) does a great job with it and [has] a great quarterback. He has a lot of good people that can damage you. They have a lot of talent. You put that with a good scheme, and you've got problems. So obviously, I'm not the coach to ask that."

"I'm the wrong person to ask, because I'd have stopped it if I could have."

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When you pull off a game like this on such a big, national stage, people tend to notice. And when you do this a week after you rushed for 296 yards against Nick Saban's Alabama defense, people perhaps start to copy you as well. As Smart Football's Chris Brown is fond of saying, football is about numbers. If you can create scenarios in which you have more blockers than the defense has defenders, you're in business. But it's not supposed to be this easy, especially against a defense that, for so much of the season, took away opponents' strengths and prevented big plays. Sometimes Missouri's gameplans simply fail; Mizzou fans still haven't moved on from when Navy trounced the Tigers with a completely different style of option football in the 2009 Texas Bowl. But Auburn's precision and execution in this game were so strong that it didn't seem to matter what Missouri wanted to do. This was Steve Stone's curveball, Michael Jordan's shrugged shoulders. From a schematic standpoint, this was one of the most impressive arrangements (and counter-arrangements) of chess pieces I've seen in person.

Football is as cyclical as any sport. It might be the most cyclical of all. Offensive coaches figure out some new ways to move the ball; copycats move in, and after a while, a majority of teams have taken on the look of what was once rare and deadly. It happened with the Split T, it happened with the Wishbone, it happened with the pro-style offense of the late-1980s and 1990s, and it has happened with the spread over the last half-decade or so. (Some were doing it before then, yes.) Defenses always adapt. The 5-2 defense was a pretty logical counter to the Split-T. Wishbones lost a bit of their effectiveness when defenses shifted to faster, more flexible 4-3 defenses. And in recent years, we've seen defenses try to get even smaller and faster to counter the effects of the spread. To some degree, it has worked.

But after a couple of decades of tinkering at virtually every level of high school and college football, Malzahn has settled on a set of components that can keep his offense a step ahead of most defenses. It took a while for his offense to reach this point - after all, Auburn barely beat Washington State and needed a huge passing day from Marshall to beat Mississippi State because the Bulldogs kept the Tigers ground game grounded. Those teams' combined records: 12-12. But in recent weeks, Malzahn, Marshall, Mason and company have reached a new level of understanding.

We'll see if they can keep it up in the BCS title game. When you are in this sort of rhythm, the last thing you want to do is wait four or weeks for the next game; just ask 2008 Oklahoma. We'll see if the Tigers can find the same man-on-man advantages against a Florida State defense that might be the best in the country. And we'll see if they can keep it up next year, once opponents have had time to collectively react and adjust (and catch their breath).

Last year, Nick Saban famously asked, "Is this what we want football to be?" in reaction to the high-paced attacks that had even begun to permeate the vaunted SEC. The reaction from many corners of the college football universe (especially those based online) was a resounding "YES."

After watching this Auburn offense reach its most potent (I think) possible level, I can without hesitation say that I want Malzahn and Marshall and company to reach an even higher place next year, and for two main reasons. First, it's hypnotic and beautiful to watch. This is old-school power and new-school spread and everything in between. But second, I want to see how the great defensive staffs of teams like Alabama and LSU react and adjust. LSU caught an Auburn offense in only third gear or so and built a big lead before having to hold on for dear life in a 35-21 win, Auburn's only loss of the season; Alabama, meanwhile, was victimized in a way that Alabama is rarely victimized. Let's see how they counter.

★★★
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THIS TRAIN IS BOUND FOR DALLAS

Missouri's seniors look old. And they should. They've been through a lot in their four or five years in Columbia. James Franklin, once a baby-faced freshman who manned the Wildcat formation for a 10-3 Missouri team, has been beaten up through the years. His eyes have sunk back into his face a bit. He has suffered an impressive number of ailments in his career, from a torn labrum to a sprained MCL to a concussion to a severely sprained shoulder. He suffered the slings and arrows of his own fanbase. And then he went a full year without losing a start.

Missouri's seniors look old. And they should. They've been through a lot in their four or five years in Columbia.

Offensive lineman Max Copeland graduated high school in Billings, Montana, and just showed up in Columbia one fall. He started for most of the last two years, first because of necessity (Missouri barely had five healthy linemen in 2012), then because of experience. His beard is wild even by offensive lineman standards, and he has a wound on his nose that reopens each game.

Cornerback Randy Ponder was a walk-on from Edmond, Oklahoma, who was first told he would probably never get a scholarship, then went out and earned it. He kneeled and prayed so long in the end zone before the SEC Championship that a teammate came over and played Coach Norman Dale to his Strap: "God wants you on the field."

Receiver L'Damian Washington became a guardian to his two younger brothers when their parents died with them at a young age. He had ample opportunity to go down the wrong path; he did not. He caught what ended up being the deciding touchdown against Georgia (Mizzou beat Georgia 41-26. Not really a deciding touchdown if you win by two scores, right?) and reeled in a 96-yard touchdown against South Carolina, and with one game remaining in his senior season, he has 853 yards and 10 touchdowns.

Like Washington, Michael Sam was a recruiting afterthought. He fielded spare offers from mid-majors before Missouri swooped in after missing on bigger-name targets and landed him just before Signing Day. Almost 60 months later, he was named the best defensive player in what is generally regarded as the best defensive conference.

This group of seniors helped Missouri to a 10-3 finish and a win over BCS No. 1 Oklahoma in 2010 (Franklin had a key fourth-quarter touchdown in that game), held steady at 8-5 in 2011, collapsed to 5-7 in 2012, and rebounded to win the SEC East. They fit the hell-and-back cliché.

This team was told it didn't belong in its new league by anybody who could get its collective ear.

The "FIRE EVERYONE" portion of the Missouri fan base was out in full force by the second half (probably earlier) on Saturday, and while that's as predictable as the wind blowing in Oklahoma or the weather changing hourly in Missouri, it was still frustrating. This team was told it didn't belong in its new league by anybody who could get its collective ear: national talking heads, regional media, opponents, opposing fans. Given long odds of finishing better than about 6-6 or 7-5, Missouri came within one quarter of finishing the regular season undefeated. After a gut-wrenching loss to South Carolina, the Tigers were forced to win their final four games to take the East division, and they did it, only once winning by fewer than 14 points. With nearly every moment of expected comeuppance, the Tigers responded with victory. That they were only the second-best turnaround story in the Georgia Dome says everything in the world about Auburn but takes nothing away from Pinkel's squad.

Still, from Randy Ponder to Internet fans, everybody knew the gravity of this moment. You don't get many chances at a breakthrough in this conference; you get even fewer chances at an SEC title. Mississippi State has waited 15 years for a second chance. Three schools have waited more than 20 years for a first chance. Arkansas got three chances in 12 years, failed in all three, and have waited seven years and counting for a fourth opportunity.

Missouri will get another chance at some point. Hell, the Tigers might get another chance next year. With a division still in flux and the division's top three teams all losing their starting quarterbacks - Franklin, South Carolina's Connor Shaw, Georgia's Aaron Murray - perhaps the experience Maty Mauk got in replacing Franklin and, at times, thriving will give the Tigers a strong chance at a second straight title. But after 2014, a lot of this year's key pieces leave. Pinkel will be relying on a new cycle of recruits, his first from a new recruiting region, to keep the machine moving forward. There's no guarantee that he will. There's no telling what the future holds, and there's no promising that whatever happens will result in a return trip to the Georgia Dome.

The only guarantee: Missouri will get a shot at old conference-mate Oklahoma State next month in the Cotton Bowl. A win would give the Tigers their 12th and a shot at their second top 6-7 finish in seven seasons. A loss wouldn't take away the 11 games this resilient group has already banked.

★★★
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THIS TRAIN IS BOUND FOR PASADENA

The breaks went right, of course. With the way Auburn's luck has been over the last month or so, one simply had to assume that the Tigers, likely in need of a Michigan State win over Ohio State in the Big Ten title game to reach the BCS Championship, would get just that. The Spartans rolled in Indianapolis, and Auburn will roll on to Pasadena.

This was unthinkable even three weeks ago. But just when we think we have everything figured out, leave it to Auburn to throw us all for a loop. Gusoline powered Auburn through the SEC's December banquet, and Atlanta was once again the home base for stories of failure and redemption. Auburn will fail again one day, then return to Atlanta some day after that. It is the story of life in the SEC, and on the Plains, both the good and bad parts of the story tend to move along at a pretty rapid rate, just like Auburn's offense did in the Georgia Dome on Saturday afternoon.

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